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Determinanten der Studierbereitschaft in Ostdeutschland : eine empirische Anwendung der Humankapital- und Werterwartungstheorie am Beispiel sächsicher Abiturienten in den Jahren 1996 und 1998 (Determinants of inclination to higher education in east Germany * an empirical application of the subjective expected utility theory to saxony school-leavers holding an upper secondary leaving certificate)

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  • Becker, Rolf

Abstract

"Ausgangspunkt der empirischen Untersuchung ist die seit dem Zusammenbruch der DDR rückläufige Studierneigung ostdeutscher Abiturienten. Diese Entwicklung wird anhand der Humankapital- und Werterwartungstheorie zu erklären versucht. Demnach hängt die Studierneigung eines Individuums vom antizipierten Nutzen eines Studiums, von den erwarteten Kosten und der subjektiv eingeschätzeten Wahrscheinlichkeit, aufgrund eigener schulischer Leistungen erfolgreich studieren zu können, ab. Daraus wird die These abgeleitet, dass die Studierneigung wegen subjektiv wahrgenommener sinkender Bildungsnutzen und gleichzeitig antizipierter steigender Bildungskosten in der Zeit abgenommen hat. Für die empirische Überprüfung dieser These werden Querschnittsinformationen über sächsische Abiturienten der beiden Abschlussjahrgänge 1996 und 1998 herangezogen. Bei Kontrolle der sozialen Herkunft und des Geschlechts dieser befragten Abiturienten bestätigen die empirischen Befunde die These über die Veränderung in den subjektiv bewerteten Kosten-Nutzen-Relationen für oder gegen ein Studium nur teilweise. Ausschlaggebend für die abnehmende Studierwilligkeit ist die zunehmend ungünstige Einschätzung der beruflichen Verwertbarkeit eines Studiums. Offensichtlich lassen sich einerseits Abiturienten aus unteren und zunehmend auch aus mittleren Sozialschichten und andererseits Abiturientinnen wegen ungünstiger Arbeitsmarktentwicklungen vom Studium abschrecken." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

Suggested Citation

  • Becker, Rolf, 2000. "Determinanten der Studierbereitschaft in Ostdeutschland : eine empirische Anwendung der Humankapital- und Werterwartungstheorie am Beispiel sächsicher Abiturienten in den Jahren 1996 und 1998 (Determi," Mitteilungen aus der Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 33(2), pages 261-276.
    • Handle: RePEc:iab:iabmit:v:33:i:2:p:261-276
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    References listed on IDEAS

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