IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/hur/ijarbs/v7y2017i10p157-171.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysis of Exchange Rate-Foreign Trade Relationship with Asymmetric Causality Tests: Sample of Gaziantep

Author

Listed:
  • Ibrahim Cutcu
  • Mehmet Vahit Eren

Abstract

Aim of this study is that testing the existence of exchange rate-foreign trade relationship. Also, it aims to analyze direction of the relationship via different economic tests by using two models which include monthly data of 2002:01-2016:02 periods. According to Hatemi-J co-integration and asymmetric causality test findings, it is accepted that there is causality and long termed relationship with structural break between exchange rate and importation. Also, with the aim of determining the existence of causality relationship, advanced time varying asymmetric causality test is used. Periodical relations are found.

Suggested Citation

  • Ibrahim Cutcu & Mehmet Vahit Eren, 2017. "Analysis of Exchange Rate-Foreign Trade Relationship with Asymmetric Causality Tests: Sample of Gaziantep," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 7(10), pages 157-171, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:hur:ijarbs:v:7:y:2017:i:10:p:157-171
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hrmars.com/hrmars_papers/Analysis_of_Exchange_Rate-Foreign_Trade_Relationship_with_Asymmetric_Causality_Tests_Sample_of_Gaziantep.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://hrmars.com/hrmars_papers/Analysis_of_Exchange_Rate-Foreign_Trade_Relationship_with_Asymmetric_Causality_Tests_Sample_of_Gaziantep.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Christopher Brooks & Melvin Hinich, 1998. "Episodic nonstationarity in exchange rates," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(11), pages 719-722.
    2. Schwert, G William, 2002. "Tests for Unit Roots: A Monte Carlo Investigation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 5-17, January.
    3. Lee, Jaewoo & Chinn, Menzie D., 2006. "Current account and real exchange rate dynamics in the G7 countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 257-274, March.
    4. Toda, Hiro Y. & Yamamoto, Taku, 1995. "Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1-2), pages 225-250.
    5. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J, 2012. "Asymmetric causality tests with an application," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 447-456, August.
    6. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J, 2008. "Tests for cointegration with two unknown regime shifts with an application to financial market integration," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 497-505, November.
    7. R. Scott Hacker & Abdulnasser Hatemi-J, 2006. "Tests for causality between integrated variables using asymptotic and bootstrap distributions: theory and application," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(13), pages 1489-1500.
    8. Josef C. Brada & José A. Méndez, 1988. "Exchange Rate Risk, Exchange Rate Regime and the Volume of International Trade," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(2), pages 263-280, May.
    9. Koch, Paul D. & Rosensweig, Jeffrey A., 1992. "The dollar and the U.S. terms of trade," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 467-486.
    10. Arslanturk, Yalcin & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin, 2011. "Time-varying linkages between tourism receipts and economic growth in a small open economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 664-671.
    11. repec:bla:kyklos:v:41:y:1988:i:2:p:263-80 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Prof.Dr. Rahmi YAMAK & Abdurrahman KORKMAZ, 2005. "Reel Döviz Kuru Ve Dis Ticaret Dengesi Iliskisi," Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University, vol. 2(1), pages 16-38, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Esra Soyu Yıldırım & Cuma Demirtaş & Munise Ilıkkan Özgür, 2022. "Causality Relationship Between Economic, Financial, Political Risk and Growth: The Case of Turkey," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 165-186, January.
    2. Veli YILANCI & Sertaç HOPOĞLU & Hakan ERYÜZLÜ, 2023. "The impact of the economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks on tourism demand of Mexico," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(3(636), A), pages 147-164, Autumn.
    3. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ferrer, Román & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Haouas, Ilham, 2017. "Is the tourism-economic growth nexus time-varying? Bootstrap rolling-window causality analysis for the top ten tourist destinations," MPRA Paper 82713, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Nov 2017.
    4. Erdoğan, Seyfettin & Gedikli, Ayfer & Kırca, Mustafa, 2019. "A note on time-varying causality between natural gas consumption and economic growth in Turkey," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    5. Camgöz, Mevlüt & Topal, Mehmet Hanefi, 2022. "Identifying the asymmetric price dynamics of Islamic equities: Implications for international investors," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    6. İbrahim Özmen & Mihai Mutascu, 2024. "Public Debt and Growth: New Insights," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 8706-8736, June.
    7. Xiaojuan He & Dervis Kirikkaleli & Melike Torun & Zecheng Li, 2021. "Modeling Economic Risk in the QISMUT Countries: Evidence From Nonlinear Cointegration Tests," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(4), pages 21582440211, October.
    8. Durusu-Ciftci, Dilek & Soytas, Ugur & Nazlioglu, Saban, 2020. "Financial development and energy consumption in emerging markets: Smooth structural shifts and causal linkages," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    9. Gunay, Samet, 2020. "Seeking causality between liquidity risk and credit risk: TED-OIS spreads and CDS indexes," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    10. Yildirim, Ertugrul & Aslan, Alper & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2012. "Coal consumption and industrial production nexus in USA: Cointegration with two unknown structural breaks and causality approaches," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(8), pages 6123-6127.
    11. Muhammad Shahbaz & Román Ferrer & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Ilham Haouas, 2018. "Is the tourism–economic growth nexus time-varying? Bootstrap rolling-window causality analysis for the top 10 tourist destinations," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(24), pages 2677-2697, May.
    12. Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser, 2020. "Asymmetric Panel Causality Tests with an Application to the Impact of Fiscal Policy on Economic Performance in Scandinavia," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 73(3), pages 389-404.
    13. Kırca, Mustafa & Karagöl, Veysel, 2019. "Symmetric and asymmetric causality between current account balance and oil prices: The case of BRICS-T," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 56, pages 25-44.
    14. Sarmiento, Julio & Cayon, Edgardo & Collazos, María & Sandoval, Juan S., 2017. "Positive asymmetric information in volatile environments: The black market dollar and sovereign bond yields in Venezuela," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 547-555.
    15. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Abdulrahman Al Shayeb & Eduardo Roca, 2017. "The effect of oil prices on stock prices: fresh evidence from asymmetric causality tests," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(16), pages 1584-1592, April.
    16. Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar & Ali, Md. Sumon & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Mahi, Masnun Al & Liu, Yang & Park, Donghyun, 2022. "Is Bangladesh on the right path toward sustainable development? An empirical exploration of energy sources, economic growth, and CO2 discharges nexus," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    17. Chor Foon Tang & Salah Abosedra, 2016. "Tourism and growth in Lebanon: new evidence from bootstrap simulation and rolling causality approaches," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 679-696, March.
    18. Adeel Saleem & Ghulam Sarwar & Jahanzaib Sultan & Zulfiqar Ali, 2022. "Determinants of Public Healthcare Investment: Cointegration and Causality Evidence from Pakistan," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 4(2), pages 01-13.
    19. Mehmet Levent ERDAS & Abdullah Emre CAGLAR, 2018. "Analysis of the relationships between Bitcoin and exchange rate, commodities and global indexes by asymmetric causality test," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 9, pages 27-45, December.
    20. Pınar GÖKTAŞ, 2019. "Asymmetric Transition Effects of the Exchange Rate on Consumer Prices in Turkey," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 27(42).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hur:ijarbs:v:7:y:2017:i:10:p:157-171. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Hassan Danial Aslam (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://hrmars.com/index.php/pages/detail/IJARBSS .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.