IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/hin/complx/6048186.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Research on Dynamic Game Model and Application of China’s Imported Soybean Price in the Context of China-US Economic and Trade Friction

Author

Listed:
  • Yi Wang
  • Hui Wang
  • Shubing Guo

Abstract

China’s soybean price fluctuates due to the current economic and trade frictions between China and the United States. Brazil and the United States are regarded as two oligarchs in China’s soybean import market. A dynamic price game model is established, and price elasticity parameters are estimated by using statistical data and Rotterdam model. The stability of Nash equilibrium point is discussed through bifurcation diagram, maximum Lyapunov exponent, evolutionary trajectory, and time series diagram. The influence of price adjustment speed on equilibrium price is analyzed. The numerical simulation of price adjustment speed is carried out, which is compared with the actual situation of imported soybean price before and after the trade friction. The results show that the model constructed in this paper can reflect the changing trend of price and demand and predict the short-term import soybean prices of Brazil and the United States. The forecast accuracy of price fluctuation is high. The results provide model and theoretical reference for price game under trade disputes and provide methodological reference for forecasting the price of imported goods.

Suggested Citation

  • Yi Wang & Hui Wang & Shubing Guo, 2019. "Research on Dynamic Game Model and Application of China’s Imported Soybean Price in the Context of China-US Economic and Trade Friction," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-13, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:hin:complx:6048186
    DOI: 10.1155/2019/6048186
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/8503/2019/6048186.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/8503/2019/6048186.xml
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1155/2019/6048186?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Xin Su & Haolong Liu & Shunqi Hou, 2018. "The Trilateral Evolutionary Game of Agri-Food Quality in Farmer-Supermarket Direct Purchase: A Simulation Approach," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-11, February.
    2. Agiza, H.N. & Elsadany, A.A., 2003. "Nonlinear dynamics in the Cournot duopoly game with heterogeneous players," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 320(C), pages 512-524.
    3. Jianlei Zhang & Zimin Xu & Zengqiang Chen, 2018. "Effects of strategy switching and network topology on decision-making in multi-agent systems," International Journal of Systems Science, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(9), pages 1934-1949, July.
    4. Xin (Shane) Wang & Yuying Xie & Harsharanjeet S. Jagpal & Sengun Yeniyurt, 2016. "Coordinating R&D, Product Positioning, and Pricing Strategy: A Duopoly Model," Customer Needs and Solutions, Springer;Institute for Sustainable Innovation and Growth (iSIG), vol. 3(2), pages 104-114, June.
    5. Alessandro Bonatti & Gonzalo Cisternas & Juuso Toikka, 2017. "Dynamic Oligopoly with Incomplete Information," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 84(2), pages 503-546.
    6. Fabio Tramontana & Laura Gardini & T?nu Puu, 2010. "New properties of the Cournot duopoly with isoelastic demand and constant unit costs," Working Papers 1006, University of Urbino Carlo Bo, Department of Economics, Society & Politics - Scientific Committee - L. Stefanini & G. Travaglini, revised 2010.
    7. Agiza, H.N. & Hegazi, A.S. & Elsadany, A.A., 2002. "Complex dynamics and synchronization of a duopoly game with bounded rationality," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 58(2), pages 133-146.
    8. Pu†yan Nie, 2018. "Comparing Horizontal Mergers Under Cournot with Bertrand Competitions," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(1), pages 55-80, March.
    9. Ismail Saglam, 2018. "Ranking Supply Function and Cournot Equilibria in a Differentiated Product Duopoly with Demand Uncertainty," Games, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-13, August.
    10. Anna Nagurney & Tilman Wolf, 2014. "A Cournot–Nash–Bertrand game theory model of a service-oriented Internet with price and quality competition among network transport providers," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 475-502, October.
    11. Jianlei Zhang & Yuying Zhu & Qiaoyu Li & Zengqiang Chen, 2018. "Promoting cooperation by setting a ceiling payoff for defectors under three-strategy public good games," International Journal of Systems Science, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(10), pages 2267-2286, July.
    12. Julian M. Alston & James A. Chalfant, 1993. "The Silence of the Lambdas: A Test of the Almost Ideal and Rotterdam Models," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 75(2), pages 304-313.
    13. Dong Li & Anna Nagurney, 2017. "Supply chain performance assessment and supplier and component importance identification in a general competitive multitiered supply chain network model," Journal of Global Optimization, Springer, vol. 67(1), pages 223-250, January.
    14. Tramontana, Fabio, 2010. "Heterogeneous duopoly with isoelastic demand function," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 350-357, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xinxin Liao & Zhuo Ning, 2022. "Welfare Implications of Border Carbon Adjustments on the Trade of Harvested Wood Products," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-16, December.
    2. Yu, Yu & Yu, Weisheng, 2021. "The stability and duality of dynamic Cournot and Bertrand duopoly model with comprehensive preference," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 395(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fanti, Luciano & Gori, Luca, 2012. "The dynamics of a differentiated duopoly with quantity competition," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 421-427.
    2. Lorenzo Cerboni Baiardi & Ahmad K. Naimzada, 2018. "An evolutionary model with best response and imitative rules," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 41(2), pages 313-333, November.
    3. Sameh S Askar & Abdulrahman Al-Khedhairi, 2020. "Local and Global Dynamics of a Constraint Profit Maximization for Bischi–Naimzada Competition Duopoly Game," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-16, August.
    4. Du, Jian-guo & Fan, Yue-qian & Sheng, Zhao-han & Hou, Yun-zhang, 2013. "Dynamics analysis and chaos control of a duopoly game with heterogeneous players and output limiter," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 507-516.
    5. Cerboni Baiardi, Lorenzo & Naimzada, Ahmad K., 2018. "An oligopoly model with best response and imitation rules," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 336(C), pages 193-205.
    6. Zhang, Ming & Wang, Guanghui & Xu, Jin & Qu, Cunquan, 2020. "Dynamic contest model with bounded rationality," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 370(C).
    7. Peng, Yu & Lu, Qian & Xiao, Yue, 2016. "A dynamic Stackelberg duopoly model with different strategies," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 128-134.
    8. Cavalli, Fausto & Naimzada, Ahmad & Pireddu, Marina, 2015. "Heterogeneity and the (de)stabilizing role of rationality," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 226-244.
    9. Xin, Baogui & Chen, Tong, 2011. "On a master-slave Bertrand game model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 1864-1870, July.
    10. Luciano Fanti & Luca Gori, 2013. "Stability Analysis in a Bertrand Duopoly with Different Product Quality and Heterogeneous Expectations," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 13(4), pages 481-501, December.
    11. Shi, Lian & Sheng, Zhaohan & Xu, Feng, 2015. "The dynamics of competition in remanufacturing: A stability analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 245-253.
    12. Georges SARAFOPOULOS & Kosmas PAPADOPOULOS, 2017. "On A Cournot Duopoly Game With Differentiated Goods, Heterogeneous Expectations And A Cost Function Including Emission Costs," Scientific Bulletin - Economic Sciences, University of Pitesti, vol. 16(1), pages 11-22.
    13. Cerboni Baiardi, Lorenzo & Naimzada, Ahmad K., 2019. "An oligopoly model with rational and imitation rules," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 254-278.
    14. Fausto Cavalli & Ahmad Naimzada & Marina Pireddu, 2015. "Effects of Size, Composition, and Evolutionary Pressure in Heterogeneous Cournot Oligopolies with Best Response Decisional Mechanisms," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2015, pages 1-17, May.
    15. Lorenzo Cerboni Baiardi & Ahmad K. Naimzada, 2019. "An evolutionary Cournot oligopoly model with imitators and perfect foresight best responders," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(3), pages 458-475, July.
    16. PAPADOPOULOS Kosmas & SARAFOPOULOS Georges, 2019. "Dynamics of a Cournot Game with Differentiated Goods and Asymmetric Cost Functions based on Relative Profit Maximization," European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Bucharest Economic Academy, issue 02, June.
    17. Fanti, Luciano & Gori, Luca, 2011. "Cross-ownership and stability in a Cournot duopoly," MPRA Paper 34574, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Xin, Baogui & Ma, Junhai & Gao, Qin, 2009. "The complexity of an investment competition dynamical model with imperfect information in a security market," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 2425-2438.
    19. Andaluz, J. & Elsadany, A.A. & Jarne, G., 2017. "Nonlinear Cournot and Bertrand-type dynamic triopoly with differentiated products and heterogeneous expectations," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 86-99.
    20. Fanti, Luciano & Gori, Luca, 2011. "The dynamics of a Bertrand duopoly with differentiated products and bounded rational firms revisited," MPRA Paper 33268, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hin:complx:6048186. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Mohamed Abdelhakeem (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.hindawi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.