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Oil Price and Economic Resilience. Romania’s Case

Author

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  • Monica Dudian

    (The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Piața Romană 6, 010374 București, Romania)

  • Mihaela Mosora

    (The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Piața Romană 6, 010374 București, Romania)

  • Cosmin Mosora

    (The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Piața Romană 6, 010374 București, Romania)

  • Stefanija Birova

    (The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Piața Romană 6, 010374 București, Romania)

Abstract

The emerging economies that do not face fiscal, monetary and foreign debt pressures can use the savings generated by lower oil prices for investments in order to generate economic growth. Hence, there is no doubt that the oil price affects the economy’s resilience to shocks. The importance of this impact derives from the magnitude of the price change and its diffusion within the economy. Moreover, the sustainability of any company and of the economy as a whole is subject to the availability and the price of the energy resources. The cost of these resources is an important variable used in the majority of the models regarding the assessment of sustainable development. Therefore, this article examines the impact of the oil price changes on industrial production in Romania. We found that, similar to other countries, in Romania, the growth rate of industrial production responds more strongly to a rise in oil prices. Thus, the oil Brent price has an asymmetric effect on the production evolution. This finding suggests that macroeconomic stabilization is more difficult to achieve when the oil price rises.

Suggested Citation

  • Monica Dudian & Mihaela Mosora & Cosmin Mosora & Stefanija Birova, 2017. "Oil Price and Economic Resilience. Romania’s Case," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-8, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:9:y:2017:i:2:p:273-:d:90389
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Adrian Neacsa & Jianu Daniel Muresan & Marian Catalin Voica & Otilia Manta & Mihail Vincentiu Ivan, 2023. "Oil Price—A Sensor for the Performance of Romanian Oil Manufacturing Companies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-18, February.
    2. Hongxun Liu & Jianglong Li, 2018. "The US Shale Gas Revolution and Its Externality on Crude Oil Prices: A Counterfactual Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-17, March.
    3. Korotin, Vladimir & Dolgonosov, Maxim & Popov, Victor & Korotina, Olesya & Korolkova, Inna, 2019. "The Ukrainian crisis, economic sanctions, oil shock and commodity currency: Analysis based on EMD approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 156-168.
    4. K. W. Chau & Gaolu Zou, 2018. "Energy Prices, Real Estate Sales and Industrial Output in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-15, July.

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