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Global Implications of Lower Oil Prices

Author

Listed:
  • Mr. Aasim M. Husain
  • Mr. Rabah Arezki
  • Mr. Peter Breuer
  • Mr. V. Haksar
  • Mr. Thomas Helbling
  • Mr. Paulo A Medas
  • Mr. Martin Sommer

Abstract

The sharp drop in oil prices is one of the most important global economic developments over the past year. The SDN finds that (i) supply factors have played a somewhat larger role than demand factors in driving the oil price drop, (ii) a substantial part of the price decline is expected to persist into the medium term, although there is large uncertainty, (iii) lower oil prices will support global growth, (iv) the sharp oil price drop could still trigger financial strains, and (v) policy responses should depend on the terms-of-trade impact, fiscal and external vulnerabilities, and domestic cyclical position.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Aasim M. Husain & Mr. Rabah Arezki & Mr. Peter Breuer & Mr. V. Haksar & Mr. Thomas Helbling & Mr. Paulo A Medas & Mr. Martin Sommer, 2015. "Global Implications of Lower Oil Prices," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 2015/015, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfsdn:2015/015
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