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Impact of Climate and Land Use Changes on Water and Food Security in Jordan: Implications for Transcending “The Tragedy of the Commons”

Author

Listed:
  • Jawad Taleb Al-Bakri

    (Faculty of Agriculture, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan)

  • Mohammad Salahat

    (Faculty of Natural Resources & Environment, The Hashemite University, Zarqa, Jordan)

  • Ayman Suleiman

    (Faculty of Agriculture, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan)

  • Marwan Suifan

    (National Center for Agricultural Research and Extension (NCARE), Baqa'a, Jordan)

  • Mohammad R. Hamdan

    (Faculty of Graduate Studies, Dean, Arab American University, Jenin, Palestine)

  • Saeb Khresat

    (Faculty of Agriculture, Jordan University of Science and Technology, Irbed, Jordan)

  • Tarek Kandakji

    (Faculty of Agriculture, The University of Jordan, Amman, Jordan)

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of climate change and land use change on water resources and food security in Jordan. The country is dominated by arid climate with limited arable land and water resources, where the per capita share of water is less than 145 m 3 /year. The study focused on crop production and water resources under trends of anticipated climate change and population growth in the country. Remote sensing data were used to determine land use/cover changes and rates of urbanization, which took place at the cost of the cultivable land. Recession of irrigated areas led to lesser food production and food security. Outputs from crop production and water requirements models, in addition to regression analysis, were used to estimate the projected increase in agricultural water demand under the scenarios of increased air temperature and reduced rainfall by the years 2030 and 2050. Results indicated that problems of water scarcity and food insecurity would be exacerbated by climate change and increased population growth. To move from the tragedy of the commons towards transcendence, the study emphasized the need for adaptive measures to reduce the impacts of climate change on water resources and food security. The challenge, however, would remain the development and the efficient use of new water resources as a means for future sustainable development.

Suggested Citation

  • Jawad Taleb Al-Bakri & Mohammad Salahat & Ayman Suleiman & Marwan Suifan & Mohammad R. Hamdan & Saeb Khresat & Tarek Kandakji, 2013. "Impact of Climate and Land Use Changes on Water and Food Security in Jordan: Implications for Transcending “The Tragedy of the Commons”," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-25, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:5:y:2013:i:2:p:724-748:d:23605
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fayez Abdulla & Tamer Eshtawi & Hamed Assaf, 2009. "Assessment of the Impact of Potential Climate Change on the Water Balance of a Semi-arid Watershed," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(10), pages 2051-2068, August.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Heba Akasha & Omid Ghaffarpasand & Francis D. Pope, 2023. "Climate Change, Air Pollution and the Associated Burden of Disease in the Arabian Peninsula and Neighbouring Regions: A Critical Review of the Literature," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-20, February.
    3. Himangshu Dutta, 2023. "The Environmental Aspects of Refugee Crises: Insights from South Asia, Middle East, and Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of International Migration and Integration, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 913-938, June.
    4. Joachim Ayiiwe Abungba & Kwaku Amaning Adjei & Charles Gyamfi & Samuel Nii Odai & Santosh Murlidhar Pingale & Deepak Khare, 2022. "Implications of Land Use/Land Cover Changes and Climate Change on Black Volta Basin Future Water Resources in Ghana," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-17, September.
    5. repec:ocp:dbbook:book:1 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Amani Al-Assaf & Abeer Albalawneh & Mohammad Majdalawi & Lana Abu Nowar & Rabab Kabariti & Amgad Hjazin & Safaa Aljaafreh & Wafa’a Abu Hammour & Mai Diab & Nizar Haddad, 2021. "Local Communities’ Willingness to Accept Compensation for Sustainable Ecosystem Management in Wadi Araba, South of Jordan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-15, May.
    7. Hanbing Liu & Guobao Luo & Peilei Zhou & Haibin Wei & Wenjun Li & Di Yu, 2019. "Flexural-Fatigue Properties of Sustainable Pervious Concrete Pavement Material Containing Ground Tire Rubber and Silica Fume," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-16, August.
    8. Nabeel Bani Hani & Fakher J. Aukour & Mohammed I. Al-Qinna, 2022. "Investigating the Pearl Millet ( Pennisetum glaucum ) as a Climate-Smart Drought-Tolerant Crop under Jordanian Arid Environments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-21, September.
    9. Qiangyi Li & Lan Yang & Fangxin Jiang & Yangqing Liu & Chenyang Guo & Shuya Han, 2022. "Distribution Characteristics, Regional Differences and Spatial Convergence of the Water-Energy-Land-Food Nexus: A Case Study of China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-28, September.
    10. Tewodros M. Tena & Phenny Mwaanga & Alick Nguvulu, 2019. "Impact of Land Use/Land Cover Change on Hydrological Components in Chongwe River Catchment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-13, November.
    11. Zhihui Li & Xiangzheng Deng & Feng Wu & Shaikh Shamim Hasan, 2015. "Scenario Analysis for Water Resources in Response to Land Use Change in the Middle and Upper Reaches of the Heihe River Basin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-23, March.
    12. A’kif Al-Fugara & Ali Nouh Mabdeh & Saad Alayyash & Awni Khasawneh, 2023. "Hydrological and Hydrodynamic Modeling for Flash Flood and Embankment Dam Break Scenario: Hazard Mapping of Extreme Storm Events," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-28, January.
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