IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v17y2025i3p1247-d1583391.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Demand Forecasting and Allocation Optimization of Green Power Grid Supply Chain Based on Machine Learning Algorithm: A Study Based on the Whole-Process Data of Power Grid Materials

Author

Listed:
  • Hanyu Rao

    (Carey Business School, Johns Hopkins University, 555 Pennsylvania Avenue, Washington, DC 20001, USA
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Jiancheng Li

    (School of Economics, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Xiaojun Sun

    (School of Foreign Languages, Hubei University of Economics, Wuhan 430205, China)

Abstract

The efficient management of the green power grid supply chain is of great significance in addressing global energy transformation and achieving sustainable development goals. However, traditional methods struggle to effectively cope with the complexity and dynamics of demand forecasting and the multi-objective optimization problems in material allocation. In response to this challenge, this paper proposes a machine-learning-based demand forecasting and allocation optimization method, aiming to improve the management efficiency of the supply chain and reduce environmental impacts. First, based on the whole-process data of power grid materials, a multi-model fusion strategy is adopted for demand forecasting. By combining machine learning models such as long short-term memory (LSTM), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and random forest, the prediction accuracy and the generalization ability of the model are significantly improved. Moreover, a “distributed collaborative optimization algorithm” is proposed. By decomposing the power grid regions, this paper optimizes transportation routes and inventory management, and comprehensively reduces transportation, inventory, and environmental protection costs while taking into account the real-time requirements in a complex supply chain environment. Finally, an empirical analysis is carried out in combination with the optimized allocation plan, verifying the practical effectiveness of the proposed method. The results indicate that the optimized scheme significantly outperforms the traditional method in terms of total cost, transportation efficiency, and carbon emissions. Specifically, the optimized scheme achieves a 13% reduction in transportation costs, a 10% decrease in inventory costs, and a 25% cut in environmental protection expenses. Additionally, it decreases transportation-related carbon emissions by approximately 250 tons. The demand forecasting and allocation optimization method based on machine learning has obvious economic and environmental advantages in the green power grid material supply chain. By effectively integrating various algorithms, this paper enhances the accuracy and stability of material management while substantially reducing operating costs and carbon emissions. This is in line with the sustainable goals of green power grid development. The paper provides an optimized framework with practical value for managing the green supply chain in the power grid industry.

Suggested Citation

  • Hanyu Rao & Jiancheng Li & Xiaojun Sun, 2025. "Demand Forecasting and Allocation Optimization of Green Power Grid Supply Chain Based on Machine Learning Algorithm: A Study Based on the Whole-Process Data of Power Grid Materials," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-18, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:3:p:1247-:d:1583391
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/3/1247/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/3/1247/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Deng, Yue & Jiang, Wanyi & Wang, Zeyu, 2023. "Economic resilience assessment and policy interaction of coal resource oriented cities for the low carbon economy based on AI," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Jiménez-Cordero, Asunción & Morales, Juan Miguel & Pineda, Salvador, 2021. "A novel embedded min-max approach for feature selection in nonlinear Support Vector Machine classification," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 293(1), pages 24-35.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lu Zhang & Guodong Lin & Xiao Lyu & Wenjie Su, 2024. "Suppression or promotion: research on the impact of industrial structure upgrading on urban economic resilience," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-14, December.
    2. Goodell, John W. & Ben Jabeur, Sami & Saâdaoui, Foued & Nasir, Muhammad Ali, 2023. "Explainable artificial intelligence modeling to forecast bitcoin prices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    3. Ma, Xuejiao & Che, Tianqi & Jiang, Qichuan, 2025. "A three-stage prediction model for firm default risk: An integration of text sentiment analysis," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    4. Lin, Boqiang & Song, Yijie, 2024. "Coal price shocks and economic growth: A province-level study of China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    5. Hui Zhang & Jing Li & Tianshu Quan, 2023. "Strengthening or Weakening: The Impact of an Aging Rural Workforce on Agricultural Economic Resilience in China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, July.
    6. Ozcan, Erhan C. & Görgülü, Berk & Baydogan, Mustafa G., 2024. "Column generation-based prototype learning for optimizing area under the receiver operating characteristic curve," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 314(1), pages 297-307.
    7. Feihong Zheng & Rongxin Diao & Hongsheng Che, 2024. "Environmental Decentralization, Digital Financial Inclusion, and the Green Transformation of Industries in Resource-Based Cities in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-26, September.
    8. Fanbao Xie & Xin Guan & Xiaoyan Peng & Yanzhao Zeng & Zeyu Wang & Tianqiao Qin, 2024. "Application of Fuzzy Control and Neural Network Control in the Commercial Development of Sustainable Energy System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-22, May.
    9. Fajemisin, Adejuyigbe O. & Maragno, Donato & den Hertog, Dick, 2024. "Optimization with constraint learning: A framework and survey," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 314(1), pages 1-14.
    10. Yang, Dongchuan & Guo, Ju-e & Li, Yanzhao & Sun, Shaolong & Wang, Shouyang, 2023. "Short-term load forecasting with an improved dynamic decomposition-reconstruction-ensemble approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PA).
    11. Xiaoyan Peng & Xin Guan & Yanzhao Zeng & Jiali Zhang, 2024. "Artificial Intelligence-Driven Multi-Energy Optimization: Promoting Green Transition of Rural Energy Planning and Sustainable Energy Economy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-20, May.
    12. Labbé, Martine & Landete, Mercedes & Leal, Marina, 2023. "Dendrograms, minimum spanning trees and feature selection," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 308(2), pages 555-567.
    13. Lin, Fengming & Fang, Shu-Cherng & Fang, Xiaolei & Gao, Zheming & Luo, Jian, 2024. "A distributionally robust chance-constrained kernel-free quadratic surface support vector machine," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 316(1), pages 46-60.
    14. Ruoxi Yu & Xingneng Xia & Tao Huang & Sheng Zhang & Wenguang Zhou, 2024. "Has the Establishment of High-Tech Zones Improved Urban Economic Resilience? Evidence from Prefecture-Level Cities in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-24, February.
    15. Fuqiang Chen & Shitong Ye & Jianfeng Wang & Jia Luo, 2025. "Multi-Strategy Improved Binary Secretarial Bird Optimization Algorithm for Feature Selection," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-46, February.
    16. Mi, Yunlong & Quan, Pei & Shi, Yong & Wang, Zongrun, 2022. "Concept-cognitive computing system for dynamic classification," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 301(1), pages 287-299.
    17. Díaz, Verónica & Montoya, Ricardo & Maldonado, Sebastián, 2023. "Preference estimation under bounded rationality: Identification of attribute non-attendance in stated-choice data using a support vector machines approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(2), pages 797-812.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:3:p:1247-:d:1583391. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.