Greening the Gulf: A Deep-Dive into the Synergy Between Natural Resources, Institutional Quality, Foreign Direct Investment, and Pathways to Environmental Sustainability

Environmental quality is a global concern, especially in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries where abundant mineral resources, economic growth, and globalization have strained the environment through urbanization and resource exploitation. This study examines the impact of globalization (GLOL), urbanization (URBN), natural resource extraction (NRER), institutional quality (INSQ), and foreign direct investment (FDI) on environmental quality in GCC countries from 1999 to 2021. Cross-sectional dependence (CSD) was assessed using the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) and cross-dependence (CD) techniques, and stationarity was confirmed with the Levin–Lin–Chu test. The Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) co-integration test verified long-term relationships, and Pooled Mean Group Autoregressive Distributed Lag (PMG-ARDL) methodology assessed short- and long-term effects. Our findings show that FDI, GLOL, and INSQ have negative long-term impacts on environmental quality, while NRER and URBN are beneficial. In the short term, FDI and INSQ improve green quality, while GLOL, URBN, and NRER have detrimental effects. Policy recommendations include discouraging FDI in non-renewable projects, promoting sustainable FDI, addressing income inequality to improve environmental quality, and investing in urban development to reduce ecological footprints (ECFTs) and enhance environmental quality in GCC countries.