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Forecasting and Mapping the Environmental and Health Impacts of Sustainable Regional Transport Policies

Author

Listed:
  • Rita Prior Filipe

    (Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering, University of Bath, Bath BA2 7AY, UK)

  • Andrew Heath

    (Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering, University of Bath, Bath BA2 7AY, UK)

  • Nick McCullen

    (Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering, University of Bath, Bath BA2 7AY, UK)

  • Theresa Smith

    (Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Bath, Bath BA2 7AY, UK)

Abstract

Research on evaluating sustainable transport policies is predominantly focused on their urban effects, often overlooking similar challenges in suburban and rural mobility. Therefore, the development of regionally integrated sustainable transport strategies becomes essential to comprehensively address these concerns. This study aims to bridge this gap by introducing a GIS-supported methodology that combines multiple linear regressions with hazard ratio models to quantify and map the impacts of environmentally driven regional transport policies on air pollution and human health. The main findings of an illustrative case study highlighted the importance of stronger efforts to promote the transition to shared and active transport and address the articulation between urban and rural mobility. This study offers a novel contribution to transport researchers and policymakers by proposing a methodology that (1) forecasts the impacts of regional transport policies using open data and software, ensuring its applicability for diverse regional settings, (2) provides the results in quantitative and visual formats, facilitating output analysis and visualisation and, consequently, decision-making and public consultation on proposed sustainable transport policies, and (3) sets the groundwork for including future transport-related dimensions.

Suggested Citation

  • Rita Prior Filipe & Andrew Heath & Nick McCullen & Theresa Smith, 2024. "Forecasting and Mapping the Environmental and Health Impacts of Sustainable Regional Transport Policies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-14, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:11:p:4728-:d:1407230
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. J. Jason West & Steven J. Smith & Raquel A. Silva & Vaishali Naik & Yuqiang Zhang & Zachariah Adelman & Meridith M. Fry & Susan Anenberg & Larry W. Horowitz & Jean-Francois Lamarque, 2013. "Co-benefits of mitigating global greenhouse gas emissions for future air quality and human health," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(10), pages 885-889, October.
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