IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v15y2023i8p6586-d1122640.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Dynamic Correlation and Volatility Spillover among Green Bonds, Clean Energy Stock, and Fossil Fuel Market

Author

Listed:
  • Chaofeng Tang

    (Graduate School of Humanities and Management, Guangdong Medical University, No.1 New Town Avenue, Songshan Lake Hi-Tech Industrial Development Zone, Dongguan 523121, China)

  • Kentaka Aruga

    (Graduate School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Saitama University, 255 Shimo-Okubo, Sakura-ku, Saitama 338-8570, Japan)

  • Yi Hu

    (Graduate School of Humanities and Management, Guangdong Medical University, No.1 New Town Avenue, Songshan Lake Hi-Tech Industrial Development Zone, Dongguan 523121, China)

Abstract

This study employs mainly the Bayesian DCC-MGARCH model and frequency connectedness methods to respectively examine the dynamic correlation and volatility spillover among the green bond, clean energy, and fossil fuel markets using daily data from 30 June 2014 to 18 October 2021. Three findings arose from our results: First, the green bond market has a weak negative correlation with the fossil fuel (WTI oil, Brent oil, natural gas, heating oil, and gasoline) and clean energy markets, which means that green bonds play a critical hedging role against fossil fuel and clean energy. Second, the green bond and clean energy are net volatility receivers from WTI crude oil and heating oil for the short term, indicating that investors and policymakers need to pay attention to the WTI oil volatility spillover risk when promoting green bonds and clean energy. Third, the correlation and volatility spillover from WTI crude oil to green bonds and clean energy is stronger than that of Brent oil, which implies that investors and policymakers need to consider the price movements of WTI crude oil more than Brent oil when investing in the green bond market. In summary, our conclusion is that investors should be aware that green bond investing addresses the two-pronged investment strategy of (i) risk diversification and (ii) carbon mitigation. Thus, this study can provide essential information for energy investors and policymakers to achieve sustainable investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Chaofeng Tang & Kentaka Aruga & Yi Hu, 2023. "The Dynamic Correlation and Volatility Spillover among Green Bonds, Clean Energy Stock, and Fossil Fuel Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-23, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:8:p:6586-:d:1122640
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/8/6586/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/8/6586/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Juan Piñeiro-Chousa & M.Ángeles López-Cabarcos & Jérôme Caby & Aleksandar Šević, 2021. "The influence of investor sentiment on the green bond market," Post-Print hal-02960892, HAL.
    2. Dirk G. Baur & Brian M. Lucey, 2010. "Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks, Bonds and Gold," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 45(2), pages 217-229, May.
    3. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    4. Madurika Nanayakkara & Sisira Colombage, 2019. "Do investors in Green Bond market pay a premium? Global evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(40), pages 4425-4437, August.
    5. Zerbib, Olivier David, 2019. "The effect of pro-environmental preferences on bond prices: Evidence from green bonds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 39-60.
    6. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Aikins Abakah, Emmanuel Joel & Gabauer, David & Dwumfour, Richard Adjei, 2022. "Dynamic spillover effects among green bond, renewable energy stocks and carbon markets during COVID-19 pandemic: Implications for hedging and investments strategies," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    7. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Raheem, Ibrahim D. & Zeitun, Rami & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Ahmad, Nasir, 2023. "Do oil shocks affect the green bond market?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    8. Martin Lebelle & Souad Lajili Jarjir & Syrine Sassi, 2020. "Corporate Green Bond Issuances: An International Evidence," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-21, February.
    9. Piñeiro-Chousa, Juan & López-Cabarcos, M.Ángeles & Caby, Jérôme & Šević, Aleksandar, 2021. "The influence of investor sentiment on the green bond market," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    10. Shiferaw, Yegnanew A., 2019. "Time-varying correlation between agricultural commodity and energy price dynamics with Bayesian multivariate DCC-GARCH models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 526(C).
    11. Tu, Chuc Anh & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan & Sarker, Tapan, 2020. "Investigating solutions for the development of a green bond market: Evidence from analytic hierarchy process," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    12. Pham, Linh, 2021. "Frequency connectedness and cross-quantile dependence between green bond and green equity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    13. Broadstock, David C. & Cheng, Louis T.W., 2019. "Time-varying relation between black and green bond price benchmarks: Macroeconomic determinants for the first decade," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 17-22.
    14. Reboredo, Juan C. & Ugolini, Andrea, 2020. "Price connectedness between green bond and financial markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 25-38.
    15. Kentaka Aruga, 2015. "Testing the International Crude Oil Market Integration with Structural Breaks," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(1), pages 641-649.
    16. Reboredo, Juan C., 2018. "Green bond and financial markets: Co-movement, diversification and price spillover effects," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 38-50.
    17. Pham, Linh & Luu Duc Huynh, Toan, 2020. "How does investor attention influence the green bond market?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    18. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Li, Yong-Yi, 2021. "Oil price shocks, geopolitical risks, and green bond market dynamics," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    19. Maghyereh, Aktham I. & Abdoh, Hussein & Awartani, Basel, 2019. "Connectedness and hedging between gold and Islamic securities: A new evidence from time-frequency domain approaches," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 13-28.
    20. Linh Pham, 2016. "Is it risky to go green? A volatility analysis of the green bond market," Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(4), pages 263-291, October.
    21. Olivier David Zerbib, 2019. "The effect of pro-environmental preferences on bond prices: Evidence from green bonds," Post-Print halshs-02008641, HAL.
    22. Fama, Eugene F, 1991. "Efficient Capital Markets: II," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(5), pages 1575-1617, December.
    23. Souad Lajili Jarjir & Martin Lebelle & Syrine Sassi, 2020. "Corporate Green Bond Issuances: An International Evidence," Post-Print hal-03044129, HAL.
    24. Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Multiscale spillovers, connectedness, and portfolio management among precious and industrial metals, energy, agriculture, and livestock futures," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    25. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oteng-Abayie, Eric Fosu, 2023. "An analysis of the time-varying causality and dynamic correlation between green bonds and US gas prices," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 186(PA).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zorana Zoran Stanković & Milena Nebojsa Rajic & Zorana Božić & Peđa Milosavljević & Ancuța Păcurar & Cristina Borzan & Răzvan Păcurar & Emilia Sabău, 2024. "The Volatility Dynamics of Prices in the European Power Markets during the COVID-19 Pandemic Period," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-16, March.
    2. Lu, Xunfa & Huang, Nan & Mo, Jianlei & Ye, Zhitao, 2023. "Dynamics of the return and volatility connectedness among green finance markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liu, Min, 2022. "The driving forces of green bond market volatility and the response of the market to the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 288-309.
    2. Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Ghardallou, Wafa & Umar, Zaghum, 2022. "Is greenness an optimal hedge for sectoral stock indices?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    3. Pham, Linh & Cepni, Oguzhan, 2022. "Extreme directional spillovers between investor attention and green bond markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 186-210.
    4. Umar, Zaghum & Abrar, Afsheen & Hadhri, Sinda & Sokolova, Tatiana, 2023. "The connectedness of oil shocks, green bonds, sukuks and conventional bonds," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    5. Bhutta, Umair Saeed & Tariq, Adeel & Farrukh, Muhammad & Raza, Ali & Iqbal, Muhammad Khalid, 2022. "Green bonds for sustainable development: Review of literature on development and impact of green bonds," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    6. Pham, Linh & Nguyen, Canh Phuc, 2021. "Asymmetric tail dependence between green bonds and other asset classes," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    7. Arif, Muhammad & Hasan, Mudassar & Alawi, Suha M. & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2021. "COVID-19 and time-frequency connectedness between green and conventional financial markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    8. Anh Huu Nguyen & Thinh Gia Hoang & Duy Thanh Nguyen & Loan Quynh Thi Nguyen & Duong Thuy Doan, 2023. "The Development of Green Bond in Developing Countries: Insights from Southeast Asia Market Participants," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 35(1), pages 196-218, February.
    9. Arif, Muhammad & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Farid, Saqib & Nepal, Rabindra & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2022. "Diversifier or more? Hedge and safe haven properties of green bonds during COVID-19," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    10. Lin, Boqiang & Su, Tong, 2022. "Green bond vs conventional bond: Outline the rationale behind issuance choices in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    11. Román Ferrer & Rafael Benítez & Vicente J. Bolós, 2021. "Interdependence between Green Financial Instruments and Major Conventional Assets: A Wavelet-Based Network Analysis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-20, April.
    12. Kocaarslan, Baris & Soytas, Ugur, 2023. "The role of major markets in predicting the U.S. municipal green bond market performance: New evidence from machine learning models," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    13. Li, Yanxi & Yu, Conghui & Shi, Jinyan & Liu, Yuanyuan, 2023. "How does green bond issuance affect total factor productivity? Evidence from Chinese listed enterprises," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    14. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Aikins Abakah, Emmanuel Joel & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2023. "What do we know about the price spillover between green bonds and Islamic stocks and stock market indices?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    15. Doğan, Buhari & Trabelsi, Nader & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Ghosh, Sudeshna, 2023. "Dynamic dependence and causality between crude oil, green bonds, commodities, geopolitical risks, and policy uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 36-62.
    16. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oteng-Abayie, Eric Fosu, 2023. "An analysis of the time-varying causality and dynamic correlation between green bonds and US gas prices," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 186(PA).
    17. Munir Khamis & Dalal Aassouli, 2023. "The Eligibility of Green Bonds as Safe Haven Assets: A Systematic Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-27, April.
    18. Joao Leitao & Joaquim Ferreira & Ernesto Santibanez‐Gonzalez, 2021. "Green bonds, sustainable development and environmental policy in the European Union carbon market," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(4), pages 2077-2090, May.
    19. Jiang, Yonghong & Wang, Jieru & Ao, Zhiming & Wang, Yujou, 2022. "The relationship between green bonds and conventional financial markets: Evidence from quantile-on-quantile and quantile coherence approaches," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    20. Jiongye Jin & Jianing Zhang, 2023. "The Stock Performance of Green Bond Issuers During COVID-19 Pandemic: The Case of China," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 30(1), pages 211-230, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:8:p:6586-:d:1122640. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.