IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v15y2023i21p15473-d1271455.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Impact of Migration on Forecasting Budget Expenditures on Education: The Sustainability Context

Author

Listed:
  • Tetiana Zatonatska

    (Faculty of Economics, Taras Shevchenko National University, 03-022 Kyiv, Ukraine)

  • Olena Liashenko

    (Faculty of Economics, Taras Shevchenko National University, 03-022 Kyiv, Ukraine)

  • Yana Fareniuk

    (Faculty of Economics, Taras Shevchenko National University, 03-022 Kyiv, Ukraine)

  • Łukasz Skowron

    (Faculty of Management, Lublin University of Technology, 20-618 Lublin, Poland)

  • Tomasz Wołowiec

    (Institute of Public Administration and Business, WSEI University, 20-209 Lublin, Poland)

  • Oleksandr Dluhopolskyi

    (Institute of Public Administration and Business, WSEI University, 20-209 Lublin, Poland
    Faculty of Economics and Management, West Ukrainian National University, 46-020 Ternopil, Ukraine)

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of migration and changes in the population’s age structure on government expenditures on education in Ukraine. The cohort method, considering a group of people attending four main types of education, namely, preschool, general secondary, vocational and technical, and higher education, is used to analyze and forecast government expenditures in the medium and long term. The study results show that migration significantly impacts government budget expenditures on education, with the most significant impact being seen on preschool education, followed by higher education, while the impact on general secondary and vocational education is minimal. The number of people receiving education in one of the four main types of institutions funded by state and local budgets was predicted to gradually decrease during the forecast period, except for secondary and vocational education. The overall volume of state expenditures would gradually decrease, both in absolute terms and as a percentage of GDP. Improving educational processes and the quality of budget spending should become an area for state regulation to ensure quality education in all funding conditions. This research’s leading theoretical and practical results show the efficiency of this methodology for analyzing and forecasting budget expenditures on education. They can be helpful in the short and medium terms, considering all potential changes in demographic indicators regarding the population.

Suggested Citation

  • Tetiana Zatonatska & Olena Liashenko & Yana Fareniuk & Łukasz Skowron & Tomasz Wołowiec & Oleksandr Dluhopolskyi, 2023. "The Impact of Migration on Forecasting Budget Expenditures on Education: The Sustainability Context," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-21, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:21:p:15473-:d:1271455
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/21/15473/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/21/15473/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marwa Sahnoun & Chokri Abdennadher, 2022. "Returns to Investment in Education in the OECD Countries: Does Governance Quality Matter?," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(3), pages 1819-1842, September.
    2. Grazyna Kozun-Cieslak, 2022. "How Does Ukraine Deal with the Efficiency of Public Spending on Education Compared to European Union Countries?," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 1008-1024.
    3. Esa Karonen & Mikko Niemelä, 2022. "Necessity-Rich, Leisure-Poor: The Long-Term Relationship Between Income Cohorts and Consumption Through Age-Period-Cohort Analysis," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 599-620, September.
    4. Debora Di Gioacchino & Laura Sabani & Stefano Usai, 2022. "Intergenerational Upward (Im)mobility and Political Support of Public Education Spending," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 8(1), pages 49-76, March.
    5. Maciej Duszczyk & Agata Górny & Paweł Kaczmarczyk & Andrzej Kubisiak, 2023. "War refugees from Ukraine in Poland – one year after the Russian aggression. Socioeconomic consequences and challenges," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(1), pages 181-199, February.
    6. Olga Samoshkina & Iryna Adamenko, 2019. "Budget expenditures as an instrument for demographic development," University Economic Bulletin, Hryhorii Skovoroda University in Pereiaslav, Faculty of Financial, Economic and Vocational Education, issue 41, pages 202-212, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Debora Di Gioacchino & Laura Sabani & Stefano Usai, 2023. "Why does education expenditure differ across countries? The role of income inequality, human capital and the inclusiveness of education systems," Working Papers in Public Economics 236, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Roma.
    2. Martin Guzi & Maciej Duszczyk & Peter Huber & Ulrike Huemer & Marcela Veselková, 2024. "Pathways to Inclusion: Labour Market Perspectives on Ukrainian Refugees," Contributions to Economics, in: László Mátyás (ed.), Central and Eastern European Economies and the War in Ukraine, chapter 0, pages 293-315, Springer.
    3. Sologon, Denisa Maria & O'Donoghue, Cathal & Linden, Jules & Kyzyma, Iryna & Loughrey, Jason, 2022. "Welfare and Distributional Impact of Soaring Prices in Europe," IZA Discussion Papers 15738, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Jian Li & Eryong Xue & Yukai Wei & Yunshu He, 2024. "How popularising higher education affects economic growth and poverty alleviation: empirical evidence from 38 countries," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-11, December.
    5. Anna Pacześniak & Maria Wincławska, 2024. "Migrants’ Political Participation and Representation in Poland: What Do Political Parties Have to Offer?," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 12.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:21:p:15473-:d:1271455. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.