IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v15y2023i15p12065-d1211955.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Risk Topics Discovery and Trend Analysis in Air Traffic Control Operations—Air Traffic Control Incident Reports from 2000 to 2022

Author

Listed:
  • Wenquan Liu

    (College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China
    National Key Laboratory of Air Traffic Flow Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China)

  • Honghai Zhang

    (College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China
    National Key Laboratory of Air Traffic Flow Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China)

  • Zongbei Shi

    (College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China
    National Key Laboratory of Air Traffic Flow Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China)

  • Yufei Wang

    (College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China
    National Key Laboratory of Air Traffic Flow Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China)

  • Jing Chang

    (College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China
    National Key Laboratory of Air Traffic Flow Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China)

  • Jinpeng Zhang

    (College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China
    National Key Laboratory of Air Traffic Flow Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China)

Abstract

The safety of air traffic control (ATC) operations is an important cornerstone for the sustainable development of the civil aviation industry. In order to clarify the risk factors in the control operation process and to achieve digital representation of the safety risks of civil aviation control operations, starting from the ATC incident reports, we fully mine the safety risk information and unspoken rules of ATC operations. A risk perception model for air traffic control operations safety based on the Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) topic model and the Semantic Network Based on BERT (BSN) model is suggested. First, 17 risk topics and keywords were found in the incident reports collected using the LDA topic model. These topics included those pertaining to the stage of aircraft operation, human factors in control operation, and the sector or airspace operation status and structure. The findings indicate that while most risk subjects have not changed significantly, they do show an upward tendency. Human factors and operational rules and procedures account for the highest share of all key causes, and they also have a significant impact on how risk topics evolve over time. Finally, the BSN model in the air traffic control field was built based on the keywords of each risk issue in order to highlight any potential correlations between distinct risk topics. The results show that some risk topics have interrelated risk characteristics, and there are regularities of mutual evolution between these risk topics. The relevant research results can better mine air traffic control unsafe information and lay a foundation for accurately perceiving air traffic control operations risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Wenquan Liu & Honghai Zhang & Zongbei Shi & Yufei Wang & Jing Chang & Jinpeng Zhang, 2023. "Risk Topics Discovery and Trend Analysis in Air Traffic Control Operations—Air Traffic Control Incident Reports from 2000 to 2022," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-17, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:15:p:12065-:d:1211955
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/15/12065/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/15/12065/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tamasi, Galileo & Demichela, Micaela, 2011. "Risk assessment techniques for civil aviation security," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(8), pages 892-899.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ewa DUDEK & Karolina KRZYKOWSKA-PIOTROWSKA & Mirosław SIERGIEJCZYK, 2020. "Risk Management In (Air) Transport With Exemplary Risk Analysis Based On The Tolerability Matrix," Transport Problems, Silesian University of Technology, Faculty of Transport, vol. 15(2), pages 143-156, June.
    2. Tu, Huizhao & Li, Hao & van Lint, Hans & van Zuylen, Henk, 2012. "Modeling travel time reliability of freeways using risk assessment techniques," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(10), pages 1528-1540.
    3. S. Towers & B. Amdouni & R. Cordova & K. Funderburk & C. Montalvo & M. Thakur & J. Velazquez-Molina & C. Castillo-Chavez, 2021. "The rising prevalence of weapons in unsafe arming configurations discovered in American airports," Journal of Transportation Security, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 1-18, June.
    4. Hong Sun & Fangquan Yang & Peiwen Zhang & Yunxiang Zhao, 2023. "Flight Training Risk Identification and Assessment Based on the HHM-RFRM Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-20, January.
    5. Skorupski, Jacek, 2015. "The risk of an air accident as a result of a serious incident of the hybrid type," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 37-52.
    6. Hunt, Kyle & Agarwal, Puneet & Zhuang, Jun, 2022. "On the adoption of new technology to enhance counterterrorism measures: An attacker–defender game with risk preferences," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).
    7. Jia-ni Zhao & Li-na Shi & Li Zhang, 2017. "Application of improved unascertained mathematical model in security evaluation of civil airport," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 8(3), pages 1989-2000, November.
    8. Can Chen & Tienan Li & Jian Sun & Feng Chen, 2016. "Hotspot Identification for Shanghai Expressways Using the Quantitative Risk Assessment Method," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-15, December.
    9. Hunt, Kyle & Agarwal, Puneet & Zhuang, Jun, 2021. "Technology adoption for airport security: Modeling public disclosure and secrecy in an attacker-defender game," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    10. Skorupski, Jacek & Uchroński, Piotr, 2020. "Multi-criteria group decision-making approach to the modernization of hold baggage security screening system at an airport," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:15:p:12065-:d:1211955. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.