IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v15y2023i14p11375-d1199637.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Risk Assessment and Zonation of Roof Water Inrush Based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process, Principle Component Analysis, and Improved Game Theory (AHP–PCA–IGT) Method

Author

Listed:
  • Baoxin Zhao

    (School of Earth and Environment, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan 232001, China)

  • Qimeng Liu

    (School of Earth and Environment, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan 232001, China)

  • Jingzhong Zhu

    (School of Resource and Geosciences, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China)

Abstract

With the large-scale mining of deeply buried coal seams, the risk of roof water inrush increases during mining. In order to ensure safe mining, it is necessary to predict the risk potential of water inrush from the roof aquifer. This study introduces a coupling evaluation method, including the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), principal component analysis (PCA), and improved Game theory (IGT). This paper takes the water inrush from the roof aquifer of the 11-2 coal seam in Kouzidong mine as the research object. An evaluation index system is constructed by selecting six evaluation factors, including the aquitard effective thickness, aquiclude thickness, the ratio of sandstone to mudstone, rock quality designation, fault fractal dimension, and wash water quantity of geological log. The comprehensive weighting method based on IGT is used to optimize the subjective and objective weighting values obtained by AHP and PCA methods in turn, and an AHP–PCA–IGT evaluation model is established to divide and evaluate the water inrush risk zonation of the roof aquifer. The risk degree of the water inrush gradually decreases from the center to the north–south, and the main areas with relatively high risks and higher risks are distributed in a small part of the western and eastern regions. Finally, combining various drilling data examples, drilling pumping tests, and water inrush sites, the accuracy of the predicted results is validated through the vulnerability fitting percentage (VFP). The predictions are basically consistent with the actual results, and this study lays a theoretical foundation for the prevention and control of water inrush hazards.

Suggested Citation

  • Baoxin Zhao & Qimeng Liu & Jingzhong Zhu, 2023. "Risk Assessment and Zonation of Roof Water Inrush Based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process, Principle Component Analysis, and Improved Game Theory (AHP–PCA–IGT) Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-17, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:14:p:11375-:d:1199637
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/14/11375/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/14/11375/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wang, Jinman & Wang, Ruogu & Zhu, Yucheng & Li, Jiayan, 2018. "Life cycle assessment and environmental cost accounting of coal-fired power generation in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 374-384.
    2. Hongxia Li & Lei Chen & Fangyuan Tian & Lin Zhao & Shuicheng Tian & Xunjie Gou, 2022. "Comprehensive Evaluation Model of Coal Mine Safety under the Combination of Game Theory and TOPSIS," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2022, pages 1-15, October.
    3. Zhenming Sun & Wenpeng Bao & Mei Li, 2022. "Comprehensive Water Inrush Risk Assessment Method for Coal Seam Roof," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-17, August.
    4. Daolei Xie & Jing Han & Huide Zhang & Kai Wang & Zhongwen Du & Tianyu Miao, 2022. "Risk Assessment of Water Inrush from Coal Seam Roof Based on Combination Weighting-Set Pair Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-17, September.
    5. Wen Zhai & Wei Li & Yanli Huang & Shenyang Ouyang & Kun Ma & Junmeng Li & Huadong Gao & Peng Zhang, 2020. "A Case Study of the Water Abundance Evaluation of Roof Aquifer Based on the Development Height of Water-Conducting Fracture Zone," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-16, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tao Yan & Chuanqu Zhu & Qingfeng Li & Qian Xu, 2023. "Investigating Disaster Mechanisms Triggered by Abrupt Overburden Fracture Alterations in Close-Seam Mining Beneath an Exceptionally Thick Sandstone Aquifer," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-15, September.
    2. Lele Xiao & Fan Li & Chao Niu & Gelian Dai & Qian Qiao & Chengsen Lin, 2022. "Evaluation of Water Inrush Hazard in Coal Seam Roof Based on the AHP-CRITIC Composite Weighted Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-20, December.
    3. Xiaonan Wang & Licheng Wang & Jianping Chen & Shouting Zhang & Paolo Tarolli, 2020. "Assessment of the External Costs of Life Cycle of Coal: The Case Study of Southwestern China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-26, August.
    4. Zheqi Yang & Xuming Dou & Yuqing Jiang & Pengfei Luo & Yu Ding & Baosheng Zhang & Xu Tang, 2022. "Tracking the CO 2 Emissions of China’s Coal Production via Global Supply Chains," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-10, August.
    5. Xue, Jian & Guo, Na & Zhao, Laijun & Zhu, Di & Ji, Xiaoqin, 2020. "A cooperative inter-provincial model for energy conservation based on futures trading," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    6. Yishu, Li, 2019. "A photovoltaic ecosystem: improving atmospheric environment and fighting regional poverty," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 69-79.
    7. Xin Li & Bo Li & Ye Luo & Tao Li & Hang Han & Wenjie Zhang & Beibei Zhang, 2023. "Water-Richness Zoning Technology of Karst Aquifers at in the Roofs of Deep Phosphate Mines Based on Random Forest Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-17, September.
    8. Fumin Deng & Yanan Jin & Meng Ye & Shuangyi Zheng, 2019. "New Fixed Assets Investment Project Environmental Performance and Influencing Factors—An Empirical Analysis in China’s Optics Valley," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-21, December.
    9. Daria Surovtseva & Enda Crossin & Robert Pell & Laurence Stamford, 2022. "Toward a life cycle inventory for graphite production," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 26(3), pages 964-979, June.
    10. Lingyan Xu & Fenglian Huang & Jianguo Du & Dandan Wang, 2020. "Decisions in Power Supply Chain with Emission Reduction Effort of Coal-Fired Power Plant under the Power Market Reform," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-30, August.
    11. Xiuchang Shi & Guangluo Lyu, 2023. "Mechanism of Bed Separation Water Inrush during the Mining of Extra-Thick Coal Seam under Super-Thick Sandstone Aquifer," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-17, July.
    12. Wu, Huijun & Zeng, Xiaoyu & Zhang, Ling & Liu, Xin & Jiang, Songyan & Dong, Zhanfeng & Meng, Xiangrui & Wang, Qianqian, 2023. "Water-energy nexus embedded in coal supply chain of a coal-based city, China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    13. Huiyong Yin & Fangying Dong & Yiwen Zhang & Wenju Cheng & Peihe Zhai & Xuyan Ren & Ziang Liu & Yutao Zhai & Xin Li, 2022. "Height Prediction and 3D Visualization of Mining-Induced Water-Conducting Fracture Zone in Western Ordos Basin Based on a Multi-Factor Regression Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-16, May.
    14. Lombardi, Lidia & Francini, Giovanni, 2020. "Techno-economic and environmental assessment of the main biogas upgrading technologies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 440-458.
    15. Zhang, Qi & Gao, Jintong & Wang, Yujie & Wang, Lin & Yu, Zaihai & Song, Dayong, 2019. "Exergy-based analysis combined with LCA for waste heat recovery in coal-fired CHP plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 247-262.
    16. Pan, Ting & Ocłoń, Paweł & Cisek, Piotr & Nowak-Ocłoń, Marzena & Yildirim, Mehmet Ali & Wang, Bohong & Van Fan, Yee & Varbanov, Petar Sabev & Wan Alwi, Sharifah Rafidah, 2024. "A comparative life cycle assessment of solar combined cooling, heating, and power systems based on RESHeat technology," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 359(C).
    17. Yang Yang & Ji-Qin Ni & Wanbin Zhu & Guanghui Xie, 2019. "Life Cycle Assessment of Large-scale Compressed Bio-natural Gas Production in China: A Case Study on Manure Co-digestion with Corn Stover," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-16, January.
    18. Chunyu Wang & Ling Zhu, 2021. "Life Cycle Assessment of Coal-to-Liquid Process," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(10), pages 14453-14471, October.
    19. Aorui Bi & Shuya Huang & Xinguo Sun, 2023. "Risk Assessment of Oil and Gas Pipeline Based on Vague Set-Weighted Set Pair Analysis Method," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-21, January.
    20. Yachen Xie & Jiaguo Qi & Rui Zhang & Xiaomiao Jiao & Gabriela Shirkey & Shihua Ren, 2022. "Toward a Carbon-Neutral State: A Carbon–Energy–Water Nexus Perspective of China’s Coal Power Industry," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-24, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:14:p:11375-:d:1199637. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.