IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v15y2023i13p10055-d1178923.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modeling Structural Changes in Intra-Asian Maritime Container Shipping Networks Considering Their Characteristics

Author

Listed:
  • Keigo Shibuya

    (School of Engineering, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo 113-8656, Japan)

  • Ryuichi Shibasaki

    (School of Engineering, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo 113-8656, Japan)

Abstract

In East Asia, where several large hub ports exist, maritime container shipping (MCS) has developed rapidly, and the MCS network has become more complex. This study develops a link prediction model that reproduces the changes in the structure of the intra-Asian oceangoing MCS network using graph theory. To improve the prediction accuracy, we propose a method that reflects the generation of a link considering the node and link characteristics of the MCS network, including the port performance and shipping distance between ports. Consequently, we conclude: (1) The intra-Asian oceangoing MCS network has expanded from 2011 to 2021 as the trading partners and trade volume have increased. (2) The usefulness of the proposed model is confirmed. In particular, the proposed model is good at predicting the new links between ports with short distances. (3) The prediction accuracy of link disappearance remains to be improved.

Suggested Citation

  • Keigo Shibuya & Ryuichi Shibasaki, 2023. "Modeling Structural Changes in Intra-Asian Maritime Container Shipping Networks Considering Their Characteristics," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-22, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:13:p:10055-:d:1178923
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/13/10055/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/13/10055/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jun-Woo Jeon & Okan Duru & Gi-Tae Yeo, 2019. "Cruise port centrality and spatial patterns of cruise shipping in the Asian market," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(3), pages 257-276, April.
    2. Tagawa, Hoshi & Kawasaki, Tomoya & Hanaoka, Shinya, 2022. "Evaluation of international maritime network configuration and impact of port cooperation on port hierarchy," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 14-24.
    3. Notteboom, Theo E. & Parola, Francesco & Satta, Giovanni & Pallis, Athanasios A., 2017. "The relationship between port choice and terminal involvement of alliance members in container shipping," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 158-173.
    4. César Ducruet & Sung-Woo Lee & Adolf K.Y. Ng, 2010. "Centrality and vulnerability in liner shipping networks: revisiting the Northeast Asian port hierarchy," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(1), pages 17-36, January.
    5. H. Kato & R. Shibasaki & César Ducruet, 2020. "Global Logistics Network Modelling and Policy. Quantification and Analysis for International Freight," Post-Print hal-03246516, HAL.
    6. Maneerat Kanrak & Hong-Oanh Nguyen, 2022. "Structure, characteristics and connectivity analysis of the Asian-Australasian cruise shipping network," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(6), pages 882-896, August.
    7. Hu, Yihong & Zhu, Daoli, 2009. "Empirical analysis of the worldwide maritime transportation network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(10), pages 2061-2071.
    8. Meng, Qiang & Wang, Shuaian, 2011. "Liner shipping service network design with empty container repositioning," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(5), pages 695-708, September.
    9. Tavasszy, Lóránt & Minderhoud, Michiel & Perrin, Jean-François & Notteboom, Theo, 2011. "A strategic network choice model for global container flows: specification, estimation and application," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 1163-1172.
    10. Panayides, Photis M. & Wiedmer, Robert, 2011. "Strategic alliances in container liner shipping," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 25-38.
    11. Chengliang Liu & Jiaqi Wang & Hong Zhang, 2018. "Spatial heterogeneity of ports in the global maritime network detected by weighted ego network analysis," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(1), pages 89-104, January.
    12. Sugimura, Yoshihisa & Akakura, Yasuhiro & Yotsushima, Tatsuki & Kawasaki, Tomoya, 2023. "Evaluation of Japanese port policies through network analysis," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 59-70.
    13. Yu, Hongchu & Fang, Zhixiang & Lu, Feng & Murray, Alan T. & Zhang, Hengcai & Peng, Peng & Mei, Qiang & Chen, Jinhai, 2019. "Impact of oil price fluctuations on tanker maritime network structure and traffic flow changes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 390-403.
    14. César Ducruet, 2015. "Maritime Networks. Spatial Structures and Time Dynamics," Post-Print hal-03246485, HAL.
    15. Zuzanna Kosowska-Stamirowska, 2020. "Network effects govern the evolution of maritime trade," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 117(23), pages 12719-12728, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nicanor García Álvarez & Belarmino Adenso-Díaz & Laura Calzada-Infante, 2021. "Maritime Traffic as a Complex Network: a Systematic Review," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 387-417, June.
    2. César Ducruet, 2020. "The geography of maritime networks: A critical review," Post-Print halshs-02922543, HAL.
    3. Laure Rousset & César Ducruet, 2020. "Disruptions in Spatial Networks: a Comparative Study of Major Shocks Affecting Ports and Shipping Patterns," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 423-447, June.
    4. Ducruet, César, 2020. "The geography of maritime networks: A critical review," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    5. Jordi Caballé Valls & Peter W. Langen & Lorena García Alonso & José Ángel Vallejo Pinto, 2020. "Understanding Port Choice Determinants and Port Hinterlands: Findings from an Empirical Analysis of Spain," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 22(1), pages 53-67, March.
    6. Laure Rousset & César Ducruet, 2020. "Disruptions in Spatial Networks: a Comparative Study of Major Shocks Affecting Ports and Shipping Patterns," Post-Print halshs-02588551, HAL.
    7. Zhang, Qiang & Pu, Shunhao & Luo, Lihua & Liu, Zhichao & Xu, Jie, 2022. "Revisiting important ports in container shipping networks: A structural hole-based approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 239-248.
    8. Ducruet, César, 2017. "Multilayer dynamics of complex spatial networks: The case of global maritime flows (1977–2008)," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 47-58.
    9. Zuzanna Kosowska-Stamirowska & César Ducruet & Nishant Rai, 2016. "Evolving structure of the maritime trade network: evidence from the Lloyd’s Shipping Index (1890–2000)," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 1-17, December.
    10. Wu, Jiaxin & Lu, Jing & Zhang, Lingye & Fan, Hanwen, 2024. "Spatial heterogeneity among different-sized port communities in directed-weighted global liner shipping network," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    11. Milan Janić, 2018. "Multidimensional examination of the performances of a liner shipping network: trunk line/route operated by conventional (Panamax Max) and mega (ULC - ultra large container) ships," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-35, December.
    12. Justin Berli & Mattia Bunel & César Ducruet, 2018. "Sea-Land Interdependence in the Global Maritime Network: the Case of Australian Port Cities," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 447-471, September.
    13. Achilleas Tsantis & John Mangan & Agustina Calatayud & Roberto Palacin, 2023. "Container shipping: a systematic literature review of themes and factors that influence the establishment of direct connections between countries," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 25(4), pages 667-697, December.
    14. Sugimura, Yoshihisa & Akakura, Yasuhiro & Yotsushima, Tatsuki & Kawasaki, Tomoya, 2023. "Evaluation of Japanese port policies through network analysis," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 59-70.
    15. Cheung, Kam-Fung & Bell, Michael G.H. & Pan, Jing-Jing & Perera, Supun, 2020. "An eigenvector centrality analysis of world container shipping network connectivity," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    16. Maneerat Kanrak & Yui-yip Lau & Jingen Zhou & Jiawei Ge & Saksuriya Traiyarach, 2023. "Empirical Analysis of the Cruise Shipping Network in Asia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-16, January.
    17. Zhu, Shengda & Fu, Xiaowen & Bell, Michael G.H., 2021. "Container shipping line port choice patterns in East Asia the effects of port affiliation and spatial dependence," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    18. Tobias Buer & Rasmus Haass, 2018. "Cooperative liner shipping network design by means of a combinatorial auction," Flexible Services and Manufacturing Journal, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 686-711, December.
    19. Dadashpoor, Hashem & Arasteh, Mojtaba, 2020. "Core-port connectivity: Towards shaping a national hinterland in a West Asia country," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 57-68.
    20. Viljoen, Nadia M. & Joubert, Johan W., 2016. "The vulnerability of the global container shipping network to targeted link disruption," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 462(C), pages 396-409.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:13:p:10055-:d:1178923. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.