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A System Dynamics Approach to Modeling Groundwater Dynamics: Case Study of the Choshui River Basin

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  • Yun-Hsun Huang

    (Department of Resources Engineering, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan 701, Taiwan)

  • Yan-Jiang Lai

    (Department of Resources Engineering, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan 701, Taiwan)

  • Jung-Hua Wu

    (Department of Resources Engineering, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan 701, Taiwan)

Abstract

Land subsidence resulting from the overexploitation of groundwater is an important issue in the Choshui River Basin, Taiwan. In the current study, we employed system dynamics simulation in modeling the supply of surface and groundwater, as well as the demand for water by industry, water deficits, and mechanisms underlying land subsidence. The proposed model was then used to estimate the magnitude of land subsidence and evaluate various management strategies. Our simulation results revealed that the vigorous enforcement of well sealing would have a modest effect on land subsidence; however, it would also have notable adverse effects on the agricultural community. We determined that reducing the demand for irrigation water (e.g., by switching to less water-intensive crops) would reduce land subsidence, while preserving profitability in those areas. In the future, this policy could be complemented by promoting the adoption of advanced irrigation technology and automatic systems to further slow the excessive exploitation of groundwater, with a corresponding effect on land subsidence.

Suggested Citation

  • Yun-Hsun Huang & Yan-Jiang Lai & Jung-Hua Wu, 2022. "A System Dynamics Approach to Modeling Groundwater Dynamics: Case Study of the Choshui River Basin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-19, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:3:p:1371-:d:733563
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cheinway Hwang & Wei-Chia Hung & Chih-Hsi Liu, 2008. "Results of geodetic and geotechnical monitoring of subsidence for Taiwan High Speed Rail operation," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 47(1), pages 1-16, October.
    2. Muhammad Azeem Qureshi, 2009. "Human development, public expenditure and economic growth: a system dynamics approach," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 36(1/2), pages 93-104, January.
    3. Richard G. Taylor & Bridget Scanlon & Petra Döll & Matt Rodell & Rens van Beek & Yoshihide Wada & Laurent Longuevergne & Marc Leblanc & James S. Famiglietti & Mike Edmunds & Leonard Konikow & Timothy , 2013. "Ground water and climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(4), pages 322-329, April.
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    1. Khawar Naeem & Adel Zghibi & Adel Elomri & Annamaria Mazzoni & Chefi Triki, 2023. "A Literature Review on System Dynamics Modeling for Sustainable Management of Water Supply and Demand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-24, April.

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