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Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Agricultural Water Availability in Cimanuk Watershed, Indonesia

Author

Listed:
  • Nani Heryani

    (Research Center for Limnology and Water Resources, Research Organization for Earth Sciences and Maritime, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong Science Center, Jl. Raya Jakarta-Bogor Km 46, Cibinong, Bogor 16911, Indonesia)

  • Budi Kartiwa

    (Research Center for Limnology and Water Resources, Research Organization for Earth Sciences and Maritime, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong Science Center, Jl. Raya Jakarta-Bogor Km 46, Cibinong, Bogor 16911, Indonesia)

  • Hendri Sosiawan

    (Research Center for Limnology and Water Resources, Research Organization for Earth Sciences and Maritime, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong Science Center, Jl. Raya Jakarta-Bogor Km 46, Cibinong, Bogor 16911, Indonesia)

  • Popi Rejekiningrum

    (Research Center for Limnology and Water Resources, Research Organization for Earth Sciences and Maritime, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong Science Center, Jl. Raya Jakarta-Bogor Km 46, Cibinong, Bogor 16911, Indonesia)

  • Setyono Hari Adi

    (Research Center for Limnology and Water Resources, Research Organization for Earth Sciences and Maritime, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong Science Center, Jl. Raya Jakarta-Bogor Km 46, Cibinong, Bogor 16911, Indonesia)

  • Yayan Apriyana

    (Research Center for Climate and Atmosphere, Research Organization for Earth Sciences and Maritime, National Research and Innovation Agency, Jalan Dr. Djundjunan No. 133, Bandung 40173, Indonesia)

  • Aris Pramudia

    (Research Center for Climate and Atmosphere, Research Organization for Earth Sciences and Maritime, National Research and Innovation Agency, Jalan Dr. Djundjunan No. 133, Bandung 40173, Indonesia)

  • Muhammad Prama Yufdy

    (Research Center for Horticultural and Estate Crops, Research Organization for Agriculture and Food, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong Science Center, Jl. Raya Jakarta-Bogor Km 46, Cibinong, Bogor 16911, Indonesia)

  • Chendy Tafakresnanto

    (Research Center for Geospatial, Research Organization for Earth Sciences and Maritime, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong Science Center, Jl. Raya Jakarta-Bogor Km 46, Cibinong 16911, Indonesia)

  • Achmad Arivin Rivaie

    (Research Center for Food Crops, Research Organization for Agriculture and Food, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong Science Center, Jl. Raya Jakarta-Bogor Km 46, Cibinong, Bogor 16911, Indonesia)

  • Suratman

    (Research Center for Geospatial, Research Organization for Earth Sciences and Maritime, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong Science Center, Jl. Raya Jakarta-Bogor Km 46, Cibinong 16911, Indonesia)

  • Ai Dariah

    (Research Center for Horticultural and Estate Crops, Research Organization for Agriculture and Food, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong Science Center, Jl. Raya Jakarta-Bogor Km 46, Cibinong, Bogor 16911, Indonesia)

  • Afrizal Malik

    (Research Center for Behavioral and Circular Economics, Research Organization for Governance, Economy, and Community Welfare, National Research and Innovation Agency, Gatot Subroto Science Center, Jl. Gatot Subroto 10, Jakarta 12710, Indonesia)

  • Yusuf

    (Research Center for Horticultural and Estate Crops, Research Organization for Agriculture and Food, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong Science Center, Jl. Raya Jakarta-Bogor Km 46, Cibinong, Bogor 16911, Indonesia)

  • Cahyati Setiani

    (Research Center for Behavioral and Circular Economics, Research Organization for Governance, Economy, and Community Welfare, National Research and Innovation Agency, Gatot Subroto Science Center, Jl. Gatot Subroto 10, Jakarta 12710, Indonesia)

Abstract

Climate change has been affecting agricultural water resources dynamics spatially and temporally. This article presents analysis results of climate change impact on agricultural water availability in Cimanuk Watershed, Indonesia. STREAM was utilized to model agricultural water availability through FAO MOSAICC web application. Climate spatial data time-series were generated using 3 Global Climate Model (GCM), i.e.,: CanESM2, CNRM-CM5, and MPI-ESM-MR following two climate change scenarios of RCP4.5 and 8.5. Model inputs were split into three periods of 1981–2010 (historical), 2010–2039 (near-future), and 2040–2069 (far-future). Historical data model validation showed the efficiency coefficient of the observed and simulated discharge data ratio was 0.68. The results showed a decreasing volumetric water availability from all generated climate data and scenarios, identified by comparing the discharge normal distribution of the historical and future data periods. Whereas, trend analysis of RCP4.5 scenario showed increasing maximum discharge of Cimanuk river using CanESM2 and MPI-ESM-MR GCM’s data, with a Mann–Kendall coefficient of 3.23 and 3.57. These results indicate a different agricultural water balance status within the watershed area, particularly a “very critical” water balance in Indramayu and Majalengka, “critical” in Garut, and “close to critical” in Sumedang Regency.

Suggested Citation

  • Nani Heryani & Budi Kartiwa & Hendri Sosiawan & Popi Rejekiningrum & Setyono Hari Adi & Yayan Apriyana & Aris Pramudia & Muhammad Prama Yufdy & Chendy Tafakresnanto & Achmad Arivin Rivaie & Suratman &, 2022. "Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Agricultural Water Availability in Cimanuk Watershed, Indonesia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-18, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:23:p:16236-:d:994272
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    References listed on IDEAS

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