IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v14y2022i15p9113-d871141.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Power Factor Prediction in Three Phase Electrical Power Systems Using Machine Learning

Author

Listed:
  • José Manuel Gámez Medina

    (Unidad Académica de Ingeniería I, Universidad Autónoma de Zacatecas, Zacatecas P.C. 98000, Mexico)

  • Jorge de la Torre y Ramos

    (Unidad Académica de Ingeniería Eléctrica, Universidad Autónoma de Zacatecas, Zacatecas P.C. 98000, Mexico)

  • Francisco Eneldo López Monteagudo

    (Unidad Académica de Ingeniería Eléctrica, Universidad Autónoma de Zacatecas, Zacatecas P.C. 98000, Mexico)

  • Leticia del Carmen Ríos Rodríguez

    (Unidad Académica de Docencia Superior, Universidad Autónoma de Zacatecas, Zacatecas P.C. 98000, Mexico)

  • Diego Esparza

    (Unidad Académica de Ingeniería Eléctrica, Universidad Autónoma de Zacatecas, Zacatecas P.C. 98000, Mexico)

  • Jesús Manuel Rivas

    (Unidad Académica de Ingeniería Eléctrica, Universidad Autónoma de Zacatecas, Zacatecas P.C. 98000, Mexico)

  • Leonel Ruvalcaba Arredondo

    (Unidad Académica de Docencia Superior, Universidad Autónoma de Zacatecas, Zacatecas P.C. 98000, Mexico)

  • Alejandra Ariadna Romero Moyano

    (Unidad Académica de Docencia Superior, Universidad Autónoma de Zacatecas, Zacatecas P.C. 98000, Mexico)

Abstract

The power factor in electrical power systems is of paramount importance because of the influence on the economic cost of energy consumption as well as the power quality requested by the grid. Low power factor affects both electrical consumers and suppliers due to an increase in current requirements for the installation, bigger sizing of industrial equipment, bigger conductor wiring that can sustain higher currents, and additional voltage regulators for the equipment. In this work, we present a technique for predicting power factor variations in three phase electrical power systems, using machine learning algorithms. The proposed model was developed and tested in medium voltage installations and was found to be fairly accurate thus representing a cost reduced approach for power quality monitoring. The model can be modified to predict the variation of the power factor, taking into account removable energy sources connected to the grid. This new way of analyzing the behavior of the power factor through prediction has the potential to facilitate decision-making by customers, reduce maintenance costs, reduce the probability of injecting disturbances into the network, and above all affords a reliable model of behavior without the need for real-time monitoring, which represents a potential cost reduction for the consumer.

Suggested Citation

  • José Manuel Gámez Medina & Jorge de la Torre y Ramos & Francisco Eneldo López Monteagudo & Leticia del Carmen Ríos Rodríguez & Diego Esparza & Jesús Manuel Rivas & Leonel Ruvalcaba Arredondo & Alejand, 2022. "Power Factor Prediction in Three Phase Electrical Power Systems Using Machine Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-14, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:15:p:9113-:d:871141
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/15/9113/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/15/9113/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Theocharides, Spyros & Makrides, George & Livera, Andreas & Theristis, Marios & Kaimakis, Paris & Georghiou, George E., 2020. "Day-ahead photovoltaic power production forecasting methodology based on machine learning and statistical post-processing," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Manuela Panoiu & Caius Panoiu & Sergiu Mezinescu & Gabriel Militaru & Ioan Baciu, 2023. "Machine Learning Techniques Applied to the Harmonic Analysis of Railway Power Supply," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-20, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dou, Weijing & Wang, Kai & Shan, Shuo & Li, Chenxi & Wang, Yiye & Zhang, Kanjian & Wei, Haikun & Sreeram, Victor, 2024. "Day-ahead Numerical Weather Prediction solar irradiance correction using a clustering method based on weather conditions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 365(C).
    2. Zheng, Lingwei & Su, Ran & Sun, Xinyu & Guo, Siqi, 2023. "Historical PV-output characteristic extraction based weather-type classification strategy and its forecasting method for the day-ahead prediction of PV output," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    3. Derong Lv & Guojiang Xiong & Xiaofan Fu & Yang Wu & Sheng Xu & Hao Chen, 2022. "Optimal Power Flow with Stochastic Solar Power Using Clustering-Based Multi-Objective Differential Evolution," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-21, December.
    4. Jayesh Thaker & Robert Höller, 2022. "A Comparative Study of Time Series Forecasting of Solar Energy Based on Irradiance Classification," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-26, April.
    5. Monica Borunda & Adrián Ramírez & Raul Garduno & Gerardo Ruíz & Sergio Hernandez & O. A. Jaramillo, 2022. "Photovoltaic Power Generation Forecasting for Regional Assessment Using Machine Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-25, November.
    6. Fotopoulou, Maria & Rakopoulos, Dimitrios & Petridis, Stefanos & Drosatos, Panagiotis, 2024. "Assessment of smart grid operation under emergency situations," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 287(C).
    7. Si, Zhiyuan & Yang, Ming & Yu, Yixiao & Ding, Tingting, 2021. "Photovoltaic power forecast based on satellite images considering effects of solar position," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    8. Armando Castillejo-Cuberos & John Boland & Rodrigo Escobar, 2021. "Short-Term Deterministic Solar Irradiance Forecasting Considering a Heuristics-Based, Operational Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-24, September.
    9. Yuan-Kang Wu & Cheng-Liang Huang & Quoc-Thang Phan & Yuan-Yao Li, 2022. "Completed Review of Various Solar Power Forecasting Techniques Considering Different Viewpoints," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-22, May.
    10. Weihui Xu & Zhaoke Wang & Weishu Wang & Jian Zhao & Miaojia Wang & Qinbao Wang, 2024. "Short-Term Photovoltaic Output Prediction Based on Decomposition and Reconstruction and XGBoost under Two Base Learners," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(4), pages 1-19, February.
    11. Zhi, Yuan & Yang, Xudong, 2023. "Scenario-based multi-objective optimization strategy for rural PV-battery systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 345(C).
    12. Zhang, Yijie & Ma, Tao & Yang, Hongxing, 2022. "Grid-connected photovoltaic battery systems: A comprehensive review and perspectives," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    13. Hassan, Muhammed A. & Bailek, Nadjem & Bouchouicha, Kada & Nwokolo, Samuel Chukwujindu, 2021. "Ultra-short-term exogenous forecasting of photovoltaic power production using genetically optimized non-linear auto-regressive recurrent neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 191-209.
    14. Şahin, Utkucan & Ballı, Serkan & Chen, Yan, 2021. "Forecasting seasonal electricity generation in European countries under Covid-19-induced lockdown using fractional grey prediction models and machine learning methods," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    15. Tahir, Muhammad Faizan & Yousaf, Muhammad Zain & Tzes, Anthony & El Moursi, Mohamed Shawky & El-Fouly, Tarek H.M., 2024. "Enhanced solar photovoltaic power prediction using diverse machine learning algorithms with hyperparameter optimization," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    16. Martina Radicioni & Valentina Lucaferri & Francesco De Lia & Antonino Laudani & Roberto Lo Presti & Gabriele Maria Lozito & Francesco Riganti Fulginei & Riccardo Schioppo & Mario Tucci, 2021. "Power Forecasting of a Photovoltaic Plant Located in ENEA Casaccia Research Center," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-22, January.
    17. Qiu, Lihong & Ma, Wentao & Feng, Xiaoyang & Dai, Jiahui & Dong, Yuzhuo & Duan, Jiandong & Chen, Badong, 2024. "A hybrid PV cluster power prediction model using BLS with GMCC and error correction via RVM considering an improved statistical upscaling technique," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 359(C).
    18. Mayer, Martin János, 2022. "Impact of the tilt angle, inverter sizing factor and row spacing on the photovoltaic power forecast accuracy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    19. Nguyen, Thi Ngoc & Müsgens, Felix, 2022. "What drives the accuracy of PV output forecasts?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    20. Peng, Jieyang & Kimmig, Andreas & Niu, Zhibin & Wang, Jiahai & Liu, Xiufeng & Ovtcharova, Jivka, 2021. "A flexible potential-flow model based high resolution spatiotemporal energy demand forecasting framework," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:15:p:9113-:d:871141. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.