IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v13y2021i21p11750-d663790.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation of Tourism Market Recovery Strategy after COVID-19 in Yunnan, China

Author

Listed:
  • Yumei Luo

    (School of Business and Tourism Management, Yunnan University, Kunming 650500, China)

  • Yuwei Li

    (School of Business and Tourism Management, Yunnan University, Kunming 650500, China)

  • Guiping Wang

    (School of Business and Tourism Management, Yunnan University, Kunming 650500, China)

  • Qiongwei Ye

    (Business School, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming 650500, China)

Abstract

The tourism industry hit severely by COVID-19 faces the challenge of developing effective market recovery strategies. Nonetheless, the existing literature is still limited regarding the dynamic evolution process and management practice. Hence, this study chose several famous spots in the Yunnan Province of China as the focus for a case study and utilized an agent-based simulation method for the decision-making process of tourists’ destination selection and the dynamic recovery process of the destinations under different price and information strategies. The study found that the recovery effects of information strategies are positive, negative, or have no effect in different destinations. In contrast, price strategies can significantly stimulate an increase in the market share of destinations. When price strategy and information strategy are applied simultaneously, the interaction effects are inconsistent in different destinations. The findings contribute to the prediction of the recovery effect of strategies, can reduce trial and error costs, and can improve the scientific understanding of tourism market recovery.

Suggested Citation

  • Yumei Luo & Yuwei Li & Guiping Wang & Qiongwei Ye, 2021. "Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation of Tourism Market Recovery Strategy after COVID-19 in Yunnan, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-24, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:21:p:11750-:d:663790
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/21/11750/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/21/11750/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Okuyama, Tadahiro, 2018. "Analysis of optimal timing of tourism demand recovery policies from natural disaster using the contingent behavior method," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 37-54.
    2. Siwarit Pongsakornrungsilp & Pimlapas Pongsakornrungsilp & Vikas Kumar & Bhuritt Maswongssa, 2021. "The Art of Survival: Tourism Businesses in Thailand Recovering from COVID-19 through Brand Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-17, June.
    3. Yuguo Yuan & Weimin Zheng, 2018. "How to Mitigate Theme Park Crowding? A Prospective Coordination Approach," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-11, April.
    4. Chien-Hung Wu, 2021. "A Study on the Current Impact on Island Tourism Development under COVID-19 Epidemic Environment and Infection Risk: A Case Study of Penghu," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-16, September.
    5. Zhang, Hanyuan & Song, Haiyan & Wen, Long & Liu, Chang, 2021. "Forecasting tourism recovery amid COVID-19," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    6. Andreea Orîndaru & Maria-Floriana Popescu & Alina Petronela Alexoaei & Ștefan-Claudiu Căescu & Margareta Stela Florescu & Anca-Olguța Orzan, 2021. "Tourism in a Post-COVID-19 Era: Sustainable Strategies for Industry’s Recovery," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-22, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Weiwei Zhang & Shiyong Liu & Nathaniel Osgood & Hongli Zhu & Ying Qian & Peng Jia, 2023. "Using simulation modelling and systems science to help contain COVID‐19: A systematic review," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(1), pages 207-234, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chung-Wei Kuo, 2021. "Can We Return to Our Normal Life When the Pandemic Is under Control? A Preliminary Study on the Influence of COVID-19 on the Tourism Characteristics of Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-17, August.
    2. Takumi Tagashira, 2023. "Signal effect of a targeted travel subsidy on consumer behavior during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic," Marketing Letters, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 483-496, September.
    3. Hanyuan Zhang & Jiangping Lu, 2022. "Forecasting hotel room demand amid COVID-19," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(1), pages 200-221, February.
    4. Ardvin Kester S. Ong & Yogi Tri Prasetyo & Kerr Lorenzo Picazo & Kim Aaron Salvador & Bobby Ardiansyah Miraja & Yoshiki B. Kurata & Thanatorn Chuenyindee & Reny Nadlifatin & Anak Agung Ngurah Perwira , 2021. "Gym-Goers Preference Analysis of Fitness Centers during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Conjoint Analysis Approach for Business Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-17, September.
    5. Castaldo, Sandro & Ciacci, Andrea & Penco, Lara & Profumo, Giorgia, 2024. "Which trust layer better counterbalances the risk impact on travel intentions in a crisis scenario?," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    6. Anca-Gabriela Turtureanu & Rodica Pripoaie & Carmen-Mihaela Cretu & Carmen-Gabriela Sirbu & Emanuel Ştefan Marinescu & Laurentiu-Gabriel Talaghir & Florentina Chițu, 2022. "A Projection Approach of Tourist Circulation under Conditions of Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-21, February.
    7. Ritchie, Brent W. & Jiang, Yawei, 2019. "A review of research on tourism risk, crisis and disaster management: Launching the annals of tourism research curated collection on tourism risk, crisis and disaster management," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    8. Fernando Rebola & Luís Loures & Paulo Ferreira & Ana Loures, 2022. "Inland or Coastal: That’s the Question! Different Impacts of COVID-19 on the Tourism Sector in Portugal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-9, December.
    9. Francesco Angelini & Paolo Figini & Veronica Leoni, 2024. "High tide, low price? Flooding alerts and hotel prices in Venice," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(4), pages 876-899, June.
    10. Pimlapas Pongsakornrungsilp & Siwarit Pongsakornrungsilp & Akawut Jansom & Sydney Chinchanachokchai, 2022. "Rethinking Sustainable Tourism Management: Learning from the COVID-19 Pandemic to Co-Create Future of Krabi Tourism, Thailand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-18, September.
    11. Ghialy Yap & Shrabani Saha & Nelson O Ndubisi & Saif S Alsowaidi & Ali S Saleh, 2023. "Can tourism market diversification mitigate the adverse effects of a blockade on tourism? Evidence from Qatar," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(4), pages 880-905, June.
    12. Diego R. Toubes & Noelia Araújo-Vila & José A. Fraiz-Brea, 2021. "Organizational Learning Capacity and Sustainability Challenges in Times of Crisis: A Study on Tourism SMEs in Galicia (Spain)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-17, October.
    13. Dębski Maciej & Borkowska-Niszczota Małgorzata & Andrzejczyk Robert, 2021. "Tourist Accommodation Establishments during the Pandemic – Consequences and Aid Report on a Survey among Polish Micro-enterprises Offering Accommodation Services," Journal of Intercultural Management, Sciendo, vol. 13(1), pages 1-25, March.
    14. Ji-Hae Lee & Hye-Kyung Cho & Min-Jun Kim, 2022. "Does Self-Monitoring Influence Golfers? Analysis of Golf Tourism Using the Existence–Relatedness–Growth Theory," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-14, September.
    15. Emrah Kocak & Fevzi Okumus & Mehmet Altin, 2023. "Global pandemic uncertainty, pandemic discussion and visitor behaviour: A comparative tourism demand estimation for the US," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(5), pages 1225-1250, August.
    16. Çalişkan, Uğur & Gursoy, Dogan & Özer, Özgür & Chi, Oscar Hengxuan, 2022. "Effects of Tourism on Local Residents’ Quality of Life, Happiness and Life Satisfaction: Moderating Role of the COVID-19 Risk Perceptions," Journal of Tourism, Sustainability and Well-being, Cinturs - Research Centre for Tourism, Sustainability and Well-being, University of Algarve, vol. 10(4), pages 274-291.
    17. Xi Wu & Adam Blake, 2023. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Air Travel Demand: Some Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(1), pages 21582440231, January.
    18. Tadahiro Okuyama, 2023. "A simultaneous valuation model on positive and negative tourism benefits under suppressed consumption," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(5), pages 1391-1404, August.
    19. Ulrich Gunter, 2021. "Improving Hotel Room Demand Forecasts for Vienna across Hotel Classes and Forecast Horizons: Single Models and Combination Techniques Based on Encompassing Tests," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-36, November.
    20. Davide Provenzano & Serena Volo, 2022. "Tourism recovery amid COVID-19: The case of Lombardy, Italy," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(1), pages 110-130, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:21:p:11750-:d:663790. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.