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An Analysis of Hazardous Chemical Accidents in China between 2006 and 2017

Author

Listed:
  • Laijun Zhao

    (Sino-US Global Logistics Institute, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030, China
    China Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030, China
    Antai College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030, China)

  • Ying Qian

    (School of Management, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444, China)

  • Qing-Mi Hu

    (Antai College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030, China)

  • Ran Jiang

    (Antai College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030, China)

  • Meiting Li

    (China Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030, China)

  • Xulei Wang

    (College of Economics and Management, Qingdao Agriculture University, Qingdao 266109, China)

Abstract

From the perspective of characteristics and causes, probability and forecast, and safety management evaluation, this paper analyzes 3974 hazardous chemical casualty accidents that occurred between 2006 and 2017 in China. The trends, monthly and hourly distributions, lifecycles, chemical and accident types, and the direct and indirect causes of casualty accidents are analyzed first. To estimate the probability of casualty accidents, the Poisson regression model is employed. The time series model is developed to forecast the number of casualty accidents. The safety management of hazardous chemicals is evaluated based on an inverted U-shaped curve that fits the relationship between the number of casualty accidents and petrochemical industry outputs. Moreover, measures for improving the safety management of hazardous chemicals are provided based on the analysis, forecast, and evaluation. The results show that the probability of 200–600 casualty accidents occurring per year in China is 59.10%. Sixteen of thirty provinces are identified as having better safety management with regard to hazardous chemicals.

Suggested Citation

  • Laijun Zhao & Ying Qian & Qing-Mi Hu & Ran Jiang & Meiting Li & Xulei Wang, 2018. "An Analysis of Hazardous Chemical Accidents in China between 2006 and 2017," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-18, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:8:p:2935-:d:164383
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Diana Mariana Cocârţă & Mihaela Alexandra Stoian & Aykan Karademir, 2017. "Crude Oil Contaminated Sites: Evaluation by Using Risk Assessment Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-16, August.
    2. Ettore Trulli & Cristiana Morosini & Elena C. Rada & Vincenzo Torretta, 2016. "Remediation in Situ of Hydrocarbons by Combined Treatment in a Contaminated Alluvial Soil due to an Accidental Spill of LNAPL," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-14, October.
    3. Tim Verslycke & Kim Reid & Teresa Bowers & Sagar Thakali & Ari Lewis & Johnny Sanders & Denise Tuck, 2014. "The Chemistry Scoring Index (CSI): A Hazard-Based Scoring and Ranking Tool for Chemicals and Products Used in the Oil and Gas Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(7), pages 1-17, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shanshan Wei & Xiaoyan Shen & Minhua Shao & Lijun Sun, 2021. "Applying Data Mining Approaches for Analyzing Hazardous Materials Transportation Accidents on Different Types of Roads," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-20, November.
    2. David M. Goldberg & Sukhwa Hong, 2019. "Minimizing the Risks of Highway Transport of Hazardous Materials," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-10, November.
    3. Guoqing Qian & Chuansong Duanmu & Nisar Ali & Adnan Khan & Sumeet Malik & Yong Yang & Muhammad Bilal, 2022. "Hazardous wastes, adverse impacts, and management strategies: a way forward to environmental sustainability," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(8), pages 9731-9756, August.
    4. Keping Zhou & Luwei Xiao & Yun Lin & Danling Yuan & Jiachuang Wang, 2022. "A Statistical Analysis of Hazardous Chemical Fatalities (HCFs) in China between 2015 and 2021," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-21, February.

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