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Winter Weather Anomalies and Individual Destination Choice

Author

Listed:
  • Martin Falk

    (Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO), Arsenal Objekt 20, A-1030 Vienna, Austria)

  • Eva Hagsten

    (School of Social Sciences, University of Iceland, Sæmundargata 2, 101 Reykjavík, Iceland)

Abstract

Recently, several winter seasons in the European Alps have been unexpectedly warm. In the Austrian mountains, December 2015 was the warmest since weather records began, with a temperature deviation of +6.6 °C compared to the long-term average. By use of data on 6200 individual trips from the Austrian travel survey, a multinomial Logit model is employed to estimate if weather anomalies affect the choice of winter trips. A substitution for more distant trips may create additional environmental burdens, given that they require longer travels or alternative transportation modes. Estimation results reveal that the choice of a mountain destination is not yet affected by extreme winter weather conditions. The result is valid for December 2015, as well as for the total winter season 2015/2016. However, December 2015 and 2016 exhibit a separate development with a significant increase in the likelihood of trips to non-mountains in Europe (mostly city breaks), although no traces of a direct substitution effect can be found. Younger and older people, as well as women, are less likely to go on a winter trip to the mountains. Residents with a tertiary degree and students are more interested in this, as well as large travel groups.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Falk & Eva Hagsten, 2018. "Winter Weather Anomalies and Individual Destination Choice," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-14, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:8:p:2630-:d:160168
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    References listed on IDEAS

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