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Linkage Analysis among China’s Seven Emissions Trading Scheme Pilots

Author

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  • Xuedi Li

    (School of Economics & Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100083, China
    Graduate School, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China)

  • Jie Ma

    (School of Economics & Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100083, China)

  • Zhu Chen

    (School of Economics & Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100083, China)

  • Haitao Zheng

    (School of Economics & Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100083, China)

Abstract

This paper focuses on the time-varying correlation among China’s seven emissions trading scheme markets. Correlation analysis shows a weak connection among these markets for the whole sample period, which spans from 9 June 2014 to 30 June 2017. The return rate series of the seven markets show the characteristics of a fat-tailed and skewed distribution, and the Vector Autoregression (VAR) residuals present a significant Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) effect. Therefore, we adopt Vector Autoregression Generalized ARCH model with Dynamic Conditional Correlation (VAR-DCC-GARCH) to capture the time-varying correlation coefficients. The results of the VAR-DCC-GARCH show that the conditional correlation coefficients fluctuate fiercely over time. At some points, the different markets present a significant correlation with the value of the even peaks of the coefficient at 0.8, which indicates that these markets are closely connected. However, the connection between each market does not last long. According to the actual situation of China’s regional carbon emission markets, policy factors may explain most of the temporary, significant co-movement among markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Xuedi Li & Jie Ma & Zhu Chen & Haitao Zheng, 2018. "Linkage Analysis among China’s Seven Emissions Trading Scheme Pilots," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-13, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:10:p:3389-:d:171598
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    2. Shi, Yangyan & Feng, Yu & Zhang, Qi & Shuai, Jing & Niu, Jiangxin, 2023. "Does China's new energy vehicles supply chain stock market have risk spillovers? Evidence from raw material price effect on lithium batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PA).
    3. Li, Meng & Gao, Yuning & Meng, Bo & Yang, Zhusong, 2021. "Managing the mitigation: Analysis of the effectiveness of target-based policies on China's provincial carbon emission and transfer," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
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    5. Zhong Wang & Mingyu Wu & Shixiang Li & Changji Wang, 2021. "The Effect Evaluation of China’s Energy-Consuming Right Trading Policy: Empirical Analysis Based on PSM-DID," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-16, October.

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