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A Threshold Estimator for Ruin Probability Using the Fourier-Cosine Method in the Wiener–Poisson Risk Model

Author

Listed:
  • Chongkai Xie

    (School of Statistics and Data Science, Qufu Normal University, Qufu 273165, China)

  • Honglong You

    (School of Statistics and Data Science, Qufu Normal University, Qufu 273165, China)

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a nonparametric estimator of ruin probability in the Wiener–Poisson risk model based on high-frequency data. The estimator is constructed via the Fourier-cosine method and the threshold technique, and the convergence rate is also studied for a large sample size. Finally, we verify the effectiveness of our estimator through some simulation studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Chongkai Xie & Honglong You, 2024. "A Threshold Estimator for Ruin Probability Using the Fourier-Cosine Method in the Wiener–Poisson Risk Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-14, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:12:y:2024:i:18:p:2945-:d:1483098
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhimin Zhang, 2017. "Estimating the Gerber–Shiu function by Fourier–Sinc series expansion," Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2017(10), pages 898-919, November.
    2. Shimizu, Yasutaka, 2009. "A new aspect of a risk process and its statistical inference," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 70-77, February.
    3. Andreas Karathanasopoulos & Chia Chun Lo & Xiaorong Ma & Zhenjiang Qin, 2021. "Maintaining cost and ruin probability," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 759-793, August.
    4. Fang, Fang & Oosterlee, Kees, 2008. "A Novel Pricing Method For European Options Based On Fourier-Cosine Series Expansions," MPRA Paper 9319, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Lee, Wing Yan & Li, Xiaolong & Liu, Fangda & Shi, Yifan & Yam, Sheung Chi Phillip, 2021. "A Fourier-cosine method for finite-time ruin probabilities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 256-267.
    6. Zhimin Zhang & Wen Su, 2018. "A new efficient method for estimating the Gerber–Shiu function in the classical risk model," Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2018(5), pages 426-449, May.
    7. Chau, K.W. & Yam, S.C.P. & Yang, H., 2015. "Fourier-cosine method for Gerber–Shiu functions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 170-180.
    8. Xie, Jiayi & Zhang, Zhimin, 2020. "Statistical estimation for some dividend problems under the compound Poisson risk model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 101-115.
    9. Zhang, Zhimin & Yang, Hailiang, 2013. "Nonparametric estimate of the ruin probability in a pure-jump Lévy risk model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 24-35.
    10. You, Honglong & Guo, Junyi & Jiang, Jiancheng, 2020. "Interval estimation of the ruin probability in the classical compound Poisson risk model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    11. Zhang, Zhimin, 2017. "Approximating The Density Of The Time To Ruin Via Fourier-Cosine Series Expansion," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(1), pages 169-198, January.
    12. Yang, Yang & Su, Wen & Zhang, Zhimin, 2019. "Estimating the discounted density of the deficit at ruin by Fourier cosine series expansion," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 147-155.
    13. Comte, F. & Genon-Catalot, V., 2009. "Nonparametric estimation for pure jump Lévy processes based on high frequency data," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 119(12), pages 4088-4123, December.
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