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Almost Sure Central Limit Theorem for Error Variance Estimator in Pth-Order Nonlinear Autoregressive Processes

Author

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  • Kaiyu Liang

    (School of Mathematic, Jilin University, Changchun 130012, China)

  • Yong Zhang

    (School of Mathematic, Jilin University, Changchun 130012, China)

Abstract

In this paper, under some suitable assumptions, using the Taylor expansion, Borel–Cantelli lemma and the almost sure central limit theorem for independent random variables, the almost sure central limit theorem for error variance estimator in the pth-order nonlinear autoregressive processes with independent and identical distributed errors was established. Four examples, first-order autoregressive processes, self-exciting threshold autoregressive processes, threshold-exponential AR progresses and multilayer perceptrons progress, are given to verify the results.

Suggested Citation

  • Kaiyu Liang & Yong Zhang, 2024. "Almost Sure Central Limit Theorem for Error Variance Estimator in Pth-Order Nonlinear Autoregressive Processes," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-16, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:12:y:2024:i:10:p:1482-:d:1391826
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    3. Jian-Feng Yao, 2000. "On Least Squares Estimation for Stable Nonlinear AR Processes," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 52(2), pages 316-331, June.
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    5. Cheng, Fuxia & Sun, Shuxia, 2008. "A goodness-of-fit test of the errors in nonlinear autoregressive time series models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(1), pages 50-59, January.
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    7. Cheng, Fuxia, 2015. "Strong consistency of the distribution estimator in the nonlinear autoregressive time series," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 41-47.
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