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Comparison of Different Machine Learning Models for Modelling the Higher Heating Value of Biomass

Author

Listed:
  • Ivan Brandić

    (Faculty of Agriculture, University of Zagreb, Svetošimunska Cesta 25, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Lato Pezo

    (Institute of General and Physical Chemistry, University of Belgrade, Studentski trg 12/V, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia)

  • Nikola Bilandžija

    (Faculty of Agriculture, University of Zagreb, Svetošimunska Cesta 25, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Anamarija Peter

    (Faculty of Agriculture, University of Zagreb, Svetošimunska Cesta 25, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Jona Šurić

    (Faculty of Agriculture, University of Zagreb, Svetošimunska Cesta 25, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Neven Voća

    (Faculty of Agriculture, University of Zagreb, Svetošimunska Cesta 25, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia)

Abstract

The aim of this study was to investigate the potential of using structural analysis parameters for estimating the higher heating value (HHV) of biomass by obtaining information on the composition of cellulose, lignin, and hemicellulose. To achieve this goal, several nonlinear mathematical models were developed, including polynomials, support vector machines (SVMs), random forest regression (RFR) and artificial neural networks (ANN) for predicting HHV. The performed statistical analysis “goodness of fit” showed that the ANN model has the best performance in terms of coefficient of determination (R 2 = 0.90) and the lowest level of model error for the parameters X 2 (0.25), RMSE (0.50), and MPE (2.22). Thus, the ANN model was identified as the most appropriate model for determining the HHV of different biomasses based on the specified input parameters. In conclusion, the results of this study demonstrate the potential of using structural analysis parameters as input for HHV modeling, which is a promising approach for the field of biomass energy production. The development of the model ANN and the comparative analysis of the different models provide important insights for future research in this field.

Suggested Citation

  • Ivan Brandić & Lato Pezo & Nikola Bilandžija & Anamarija Peter & Jona Šurić & Neven Voća, 2023. "Comparison of Different Machine Learning Models for Modelling the Higher Heating Value of Biomass," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-14, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:11:y:2023:i:9:p:2098-:d:1135653
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Xing, Jiangkuan & Luo, Kun & Wang, Haiou & Gao, Zhengwei & Fan, Jianren, 2019. "A comprehensive study on estimating higher heating value of biomass from proximate and ultimate analysis with machine learning approaches," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
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    3. Ivan Brandić & Lato Pezo & Nikola Bilandžija & Anamarija Peter & Jona Šurić & Neven Voća, 2022. "Artificial Neural Network as a Tool for Estimation of the Higher Heating Value of Miscanthus Based on Ultimate Analysis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(20), pages 1-12, October.
    4. Gérard Biau & Erwan Scornet, 2016. "A random forest guided tour," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 25(2), pages 197-227, June.
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    6. Kartal, Furkan & Özveren, Uğur, 2020. "A deep learning approach for prediction of syngas lower heating value from CFB gasifier in Aspen plus®," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    7. Gérard Biau & Erwan Scornet, 2016. "Rejoinder on: A random forest guided tour," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 25(2), pages 264-268, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nithin Isaac & Akshay K. Saha, 2024. "Forecasting Hydrogen Vehicle Refuelling for Sustainable Transportation: A Light Gradient-Boosting Machine Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-24, May.
    2. Ivan Brandić & Lato Pezo & Neven Voća & Ana Matin, 2024. "Biomass Higher Heating Value Estimation: A Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-11, April.

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