IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jmathe/v11y2023i3p650-d1048524.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Public Debt, Governance, and Growth in Developing Countries: An Application of Quantile via Moments

Author

Listed:
  • Kazi Musa

    (Accounting Research Institute (ARI), Universiti Teknologi MARA, Shah Alam 40450, Malaysia)

  • Kazi Sohag

    (Graduate School of Economics and Management (GSEM), Ural Federal University (UrFU), Yekaterinburg 620078, Russia)

  • Jamaliah Said

    (Accounting Research Institute (ARI), Universiti Teknologi MARA, Shah Alam 40450, Malaysia)

  • Farha Ghapar

    (Faculty of Accountancy, Business and Social Sciences, Kolej Universiti Poly-Tech MARA, Cheras, Kuala Lumpur 56100, Malaysia)

  • Norli Ali

    (Faculty of Accountancy, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Shah Alam 40450, Malaysia)

Abstract

Developing countries often encounter budget deficits by taking loans from internal and external sources. The effectiveness of public debt has been a long debate in the seminal and empirical literature. In this study, we investigate the effectiveness of public debt on economic growth, incorporating the role of governance in 44 developing countries. In doing so, we applied the Quantile Via Moments approach to analyze heterogeneous panel data ranging 1990–2000 considering the scale and location properties under different economic circumstances. Our results show that public debt impedes economic growth in all quantiles. Our empirical finding corroborates our proposition that in the presence of good governance, public debt promotes economic growth in the medium to higher quantiles. The empirical findings of this study confirm that governance is far more important in promoting economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Kazi Musa & Kazi Sohag & Jamaliah Said & Farha Ghapar & Norli Ali, 2023. "Public Debt, Governance, and Growth in Developing Countries: An Application of Quantile via Moments," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-13, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:11:y:2023:i:3:p:650-:d:1048524
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/3/650/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/3/650/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Topcu, Ebru & Altinoz, Buket & Aslan, Alper, 2020. "Global evidence from the link between economic growth, natural resources, energy consumption, and gross capital formation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    2. Nermin Yasar, 2021. "The Causal Relationship Between Foreign Debt and Economic Growth: Evidence from Commonwealth Independent States," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 56(4), pages 415-429, November.
    3. Erum, Naila & Hussain, Shahzad, 2019. "Corruption, natural resources and economic growth: Evidence from OIC countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
    4. Hadj Fraj, Salma & Hamdaoui, Mekki & Maktouf, Samir, 2018. "Governance and economic growth: The role of the exchange rate regime," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 326-364.
    5. Steve Yaw Sarpong & Murad A. Bein, 2021. "Effects of good governance, sustainable development and aid on quality of life: Evidence from sub‐saharan Africa," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 33(1), pages 25-37, March.
    6. Gómez-Puig, Marta & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón & Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada, 2022. "On the heterogeneous link between public debt and economic growth," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    7. Eberhardt, Markus & Presbitero, Andrea F., 2015. "Public debt and growth: Heterogeneity and non-linearity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 45-58.
    8. Bankole Awuzie & Thabiso Godfrey Monyane, 2020. "Conceptualizing Sustainability Governance Implementation for Infrastructure Delivery Systems in Developing Countries: Success Factors," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-13, January.
    9. Cooray, Arusha & Dzhumashev, Ratbek & Schneider, Friedrich, 2017. "How Does Corruption Affect Public Debt? An Empirical Analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 115-127.
    10. Stephen Knack & Philip Keefer, 1995. "Institutions And Economic Performance: Cross‐Country Tests Using Alternative Institutional Measures," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(3), pages 207-227, November.
    11. Nicolas Barreyre & Nicolas Delalande, 2020. "A World of Public Debts. A Political History," Post-Print hal-03376284, HAL.
    12. Ivan A. Canay, 2011. "A simple approach to quantile regression for panel data," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 14(3), pages 368-386, October.
    13. Koenker, Roger, 2004. "Quantile regression for longitudinal data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(1), pages 74-89, October.
    14. Qamar Abbas & Li Junqing & Muhammad Ramzan & Sumbal Fatima, 2021. "Role of Governance in Debt-Growth Relationship: Evidence from Panel Data Estimations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-19, May.
    15. Talknice Saungweme & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2019. "Government debt, government debt service and economic growth nexus in Zambia: a multivariate analysis," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 1622998-162, January.
    16. Aspromourgos, Tony, 2018. "Keynes, Public Debt, And The Complex Of Interest Rates," Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(4), pages 493-512, December.
    17. Awan, Ashar & Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Rej, Soumen & Bandyopadhyay, Arunava & Lv, Kangjuan, 2022. "The impact of renewable energy, internet use and foreign direct investment on carbon dioxide emissions: A method of moments quantile analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 454-466.
    18. Seth Nana Kwame Appiah-Kubi & Karel Malec & Joseph Phiri & Mikhail Krivko & Kamil Maitah & Mansoor Maitah & Luboš Smutka, 2022. "Key Drivers of Public Debt Levels: Empirical Evidence from Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-15, January.
    19. Gauti B. Eggertsson & Paul Krugman, 2012. "Debt, Deleveraging, and the Liquidity Trap: A Fisher-Minsky-Koo Approach," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 127(3), pages 1469-1513.
    20. Hammudeh, Shawkat & Sohag, Kazi & Husain, Shaiara & Husain, Humaira & Said, Jamaliah, 2020. "Nonlinear relationship between economic growth and nuances of globalisation with income stratification: Roles of financial development and governance," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(3).
    21. Law, Siong Hook & Ng, Chee Hung & Kutan, Ali M. & Law, Zhi Kei, 2021. "Public debt and economic growth in developing countries: Nonlinearity and threshold analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 26-40.
    22. Dimitrios Asteriou & Keith Pilbeam & Cecilia Eny Pratiwi, 2021. "Public debt and economic growth: panel data evidence for Asian countries," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 45(2), pages 270-287, April.
    23. repec:eme:jbsed0:jbsed-06-2021-0084 is not listed on IDEAS
    24. Nicolas Barreyre & Nicolas Delalande, 2020. "A World of Public Debts. A Political History," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03376284, HAL.
    25. Kharusi, Sami Al & Ada, Mbah Stella, 2018. "External Debt and Economic Growth : The Case of Emerging Economy," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 33(1), pages 1141-1157.
    26. Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim & Giovanni Pellegrino, 2018. "Macroeconomic Policies in a Low Interest Rate Environment: Back to Keynes?," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 51(1), pages 70-86, March.
    27. Navarat Temsumrit, 2022. "Democracy, institutional quality and fiscal policy cycle: evidence from developing countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(1), pages 75-98, January.
    28. Victor Chernozhukov & Roberto Rigobon & Thomas M. Stoker, 2010. "Set identification and sensitivity analysis with Tobin regressors," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 1(2), pages 255-277, November.
    29. Hernán Ricardo Briceño & Javier Perote, 2020. "Determinants of the Public Debt in the Eurozone and Its Sustainability Amid the Covid-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-29, August.
    30. Mindaugas Butkus & Janina Seputiene, 2018. "Growth Effect of Public Debt: The Role of Government Effectiveness and Trade Balance," Economies, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-27, November.
    31. Kaufmann, Daniel & Kraay, Aart & Zoido-Lobaton, Pablo, 1999. "Aggregating governance indicators," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2195, The World Bank.
    32. Alexander Bilson Darku & Richard Yeboah, 2018. "Economic openness and income growth in developing countries: a regional comparative analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(8), pages 855-869, February.
    33. Lefteris Tsoulfidis, 2007. "Classical economists and public debt," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 54(1), pages 1-12, March.
    34. Mohsin, Muhammad & Ullah, Hafeez & Iqbal, Nadeem & Iqbal, Wasim & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2021. "How external debt led to economic growth in South Asia: A policy perspective analysis from quantile regression," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 423-437.
    35. Islam, Md. Rabiul & McGillivray, Mark, 2020. "Wealth inequality, governance and economic growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-13.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Byaro, Mwoya & Pelizzo, Riccardo & Kinyondo, Abel, 2023. "What are the Main Drivers Behind the Acceleration of Tanzania's Economic Growth Over the Past Three Decades?," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 11(4), June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kazi Musa & Norli Ali & Jamaliah Said & Farha Ghapar & Oleg Mariev & Norhayati Mohamed & Hirnissa Mohd Tahir, 2023. "Does the Effectiveness of Budget Deficit Vary between Welfare and Non-Welfare Countries?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-22, February.
    2. Mindaugas Butkus & Diana Cibulskiene & Lina Garsviene & Janina Seputiene, 2021. "Empirical Evidence on Factors Conditioning the Turning Point of the Public Debt–Growth Relationship," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-22, December.
    3. Bilgili, Faik & Soykan, Erkan & Dumrul, Cüneyt & Awan, Ashar & Önderol, Seyit & Khan, Kamran, 2023. "Disaggregating the impact of natural resource rents on environmental sustainability in the MENA region: A quantile regression analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    4. Lau, Evan & Moll de Alba, Jaime & Liew, Kim-Hing, 2022. "Debt and economic growth in Asian developing countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 599-612.
    5. Khan, Syed Abdul Rehman & Ponce, Pablo & Yu, Zhang & Ponce, Katerine, 2022. "Investigating economic growth and natural resource dependence: An asymmetric approach in developed and developing economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    6. Savranlar, Buket & Atay Polat, Melike & Aslan, Alper, 2023. "What are the mistakes we think are correct about the ‘Natural resource curse’ hypothesis? New insights from quantile regressions via method of moments for EU," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    7. Anis Ochi & Yosra Saidi & Mohamed Ali Labidi, 2023. "Non-linear Threshold Effect of Governance Quality on Economic Growth in African Countries: Evidence from Panel Smooth Transition Regression Approach," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(4), pages 4707-4729, December.
    8. Samson Edo, 2024. "Comparative Performance of Trade Openness and Sovereign Debt Accumulation in Fostering Economic Growth of Sub-Saharan African Countries," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 59(1), pages 98-116, February.
    9. Khan, Yasir & Hassan, Taimoor & Guiqin, Huang & Nabi, Ghulam, 2023. "Analyzing the impact of natural resources and rule of law on sustainable environment: A proposed policy framework for BRICS economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    10. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Nwani, Chinazaekpere & Bekun, Festus Victor & Gyamfi, Bright Akwasi & Agozie, Divine Q., 2022. "Discerning the role of renewable energy and energy efficiency in finding the path to cleaner consumption and production patterns: New insights from developing economies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    11. Gu, Yanwei & Guo, Jing & Liang, Xiao & Zhao, Yajun, 2022. "Does the debt-growth link differ across private and public debt? Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    12. Inuwa, Nasiru & Adamu, Sagir & Hamza, Yusuf & Sani, Mohammed Bello, 2023. "Does dichotomy between resource dependence and resource abundance matters for resource curse hypothesis? New evidence from quantiles via moments," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    13. Mindaugas Butkus & Diana Cibulskiene & Lina Garsviene & Janina Seputiene, 2021. "The Heterogeneous Public Debt–Growth Relationship: The Role of the Expenditure Multiplier," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-22, April.
    14. Law, Siong Hook & Ng, Chee Hung & Kutan, Ali M. & Law, Zhi Kei, 2021. "Public debt and economic growth in developing countries: Nonlinearity and threshold analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 26-40.
    15. Qamar Abbas & Li Junqing & Muhammad Ramzan & Sumbal Fatima, 2021. "Role of Governance in Debt-Growth Relationship: Evidence from Panel Data Estimations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-19, May.
    16. Mihaela Onofrei & Ionel Bostan & Bogdan Narcis Firtescu & Angela Roman & Valentina Diana Rusu, 2022. "Public Debt and Economic Growth in EU Countries," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-23, October.
    17. Mohammed Shakib, 2023. "Innovation-Export Diversification Nexus in Russian Regions: Does Trade Globalization, Business Potential and Geopolitics Matter?," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 22(4), pages 932-974.
    18. Oguzhan Bozatli & Seref Can Serin & Murat Demir, 2024. "The causal relationship between public debt and economic growth in G7 countries: new evidence from time and frequency domain approaches," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 1-27, June.
    19. Abdullah Albaker & Kashif Raza Abbasi & Akram Masoud Haddad & Magdalena Radulescu & Catalin Manescu & Georgiana Tatiana Bondac, 2023. "Analyzing the Impact of Renewable Energy and Green Innovation on Carbon Emissions in the MENA Region," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-19, August.
    20. Zeeshan, Muhammad & han, Jiabin & Rehman, Alam & Ullah, Irfan & Hussain, Arif & Alam Afridi, Fakhr E., 2022. "Exploring symmetric and asymmetric nexus between corruption, political instability, natural resources and economic growth in the context of Pakistan," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:11:y:2023:i:3:p:650-:d:1048524. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.