IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jlands/v12y2023i3p667-d1095129.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatial–Temporal Evolution and Prediction of Habitat Quality in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region Based on Land Use Change

Author

Listed:
  • Li Zhao

    (College of Land and Resources, Hebei Agricultural University, Baoding 071000, China
    Research Center of Local Culture and Rural Governance, Hebei Agricultural University, Baoding 071001, China
    Key Laboratory for Farmland Eco-Environment of Hebei Province, Baoding 071000, China)

  • Mengwei Su

    (College of Land and Resources, Hebei Agricultural University, Baoding 071000, China)

  • Xueyan Wang

    (College of Land and Resources, Hebei Agricultural University, Baoding 071000, China)

  • Xiaoqing Li

    (College of Land and Resources, Hebei Agricultural University, Baoding 071000, China)

  • Xinhan Chang

    (College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Hebei Agricultural University, Baoding 071000, China)

  • Pengtao Zhang

    (College of Land and Resources, Hebei Agricultural University, Baoding 071000, China
    Research Center of Local Culture and Rural Governance, Hebei Agricultural University, Baoding 071001, China
    Key Laboratory for Farmland Eco-Environment of Hebei Province, Baoding 071000, China)

Abstract

In order to solve the problem of habitat fragmentation in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region and realize the sustainable use of land, based on remote sensing data from 2010 to 2020, this paper uses GIS and the CA–Markov model to predict the land use structure in 2030, and uses the InVEST model to quantitatively analyze the changes in habitat quality in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region from 2010 to 2030. The results indicate that (1) from 2010 to 2020, the area of construction land increased significantly, mainly from cultivated land, woodland and grassland; the proportion of cultivated land decreased by 7.2%. It was predicted that by 2030, the area of construction land will continue to expand, accounting for 19.6%. According to the results of land use dynamic degree, the conversion speed between land types in 2010–2015 was higher than that in 2015–2020. (2) The average habitat quality indexes of the study area in 2010, 2015, 2020 and 2030 were 0.57, 0.56, 0.55 and 0.52, respectively, and the habitat quality level was moderate and continued to decline. The habitat center of gravity moved in the north, from Fengning Manchu Autonomous County to the junction of Fengning Manchu Autonomous County and Longhua County, and then moved to the Mentougou District of Beijing. Therefore, in order to amendthe continuous decline in habitat quality, scientific measures should be taken according to local conditions to promote the improvement of habitat quality and the rational use of land.

Suggested Citation

  • Li Zhao & Mengwei Su & Xueyan Wang & Xiaoqing Li & Xinhan Chang & Pengtao Zhang, 2023. "Spatial–Temporal Evolution and Prediction of Habitat Quality in Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region Based on Land Use Change," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-16, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:12:y:2023:i:3:p:667-:d:1095129
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/3/667/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/3/667/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ye, Sijing & Song, Changqing & Shen, Shi & Gao, Peichao & Cheng, Changxiu & Cheng, Feng & Wan, Changjun & Zhu, Dehai, 2020. "Spatial pattern of arable land-use intensity in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    2. Cheng Zhong & Yiming Bei & Hongliang Gu & Pengfei Zhang, 2022. "Spatiotemporal Evolution of Ecosystem Services in the Wanhe Watershed Based on Cellular Automata (CA)-Markov and InVEST Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-18, October.
    3. Boumans, Roelof & Roman, Joe & Altman, Irit & Kaufman, Les, 2015. "The Multiscale Integrated Model of Ecosystem Services (MIMES): Simulating the interactions of coupled human and natural systems," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 30-41.
    4. Hao Ye & Yongyong Song & Dongqian Xue, 2022. "Multi-Scenario Simulation of Land Use and Habitat Quality in the Guanzhong Plain Urban Agglomeration, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(14), pages 1-22, July.
    5. Dike Zhang & Jianpeng Wang & Ying Wang & Lei Xu & Liang Zheng & Bowen Zhang & Yuzhe Bi & Hui Yang, 2022. "Is There a Spatial Relationship between Urban Landscape Pattern and Habitat Quality? Implication for Landscape Planning of the Yellow River Basin," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-17, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Meizhe Liao & Zongwen Zhang & Ruirui Yan & Keyu Bai, 2024. "The Assessment of Biodiversity Changes and Sustainable Agricultural Development in The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-20, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ruibing Meng & Jiale Cai & Hui Xin & Zhongju Meng & Xiaohong Dang & Yanlong Han, 2023. "Spatio-Temporal Changes in Land Use and Habitat Quality of Hobq Desert along the Yellow River Section," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(4), pages 1-24, February.
    2. Laura McKinney & Devin C. Wright, 2021. "Climate Change and Water Dynamics in Rural Uganda," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-12, July.
    3. Mostafa Shaaban & Carmen Schwartz & Joseph Macpherson & Annette Piorr, 2021. "A Conceptual Model Framework for Mapping, Analyzing and Managing Supply–Demand Mismatches of Ecosystem Services in Agricultural Landscapes," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-19, January.
    4. Yu, Zhenning & She, Shuoqi & Xia, Chuyu & Luo, Jiaojiao, 2023. "How to solve the dilemma of China’s land fallow policy: Application of voluntary bidding mode in the Yangtze River Delta of China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    5. Shiliang Liu & Yuhong Dong & Hua Liu & Fangfang Wang & Lu Yu, 2023. "Review of Valuation of Forest Ecosystem Services and Realization Approaches in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-16, May.
    6. Jianhui Dong & Wenju Yun & Kening Wu & Shaoshuai Li & Bingrui Liu & Qiaoyuan Lu, 2023. "Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Cultivated Land from 2010 to 2020 in Long’an County, Karst Region, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-22, February.
    7. Dike Zhang & Jianpeng Wang & Ying Wang & Lei Xu & Liang Zheng & Bowen Zhang & Yuzhe Bi & Hui Yang, 2022. "Is There a Spatial Relationship between Urban Landscape Pattern and Habitat Quality? Implication for Landscape Planning of the Yellow River Basin," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-17, September.
    8. Jixian Mo & Jie Li & Ziying Wang & Ziwei Song & Jingyi Feng & Yanjing Che & Jiandong Rong & Siyu Gu, 2023. "Spatiotemporal Evolution of Wind Erosion and Ecological Service Assessments in Northern Songnen Plain, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-20, March.
    9. Sun, Xueqing & Xiang, Pengcheng & Cong, Kexin, 2023. "Research on early warning and control measures for arable land resource security," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    10. Tianyue Ma & Jing Li & Shuang Bai & Fangzhe Chang & Zhai Jiang & Xingguang Yan & Jiahao Shao, 2022. "Optimization and Construction of Ecological Security Patterns Based on Natural and Cultivated Land Disturbance," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-19, December.
    11. Kenny, Daniel C. & Costanza, Robert & Dowsley, Tom & Jackson, Nichelle & Josol, Jairus & Kubiszewski, Ida & Narulla, Harkiran & Sese, Saioa & Sutanto, Anna & Thompson, Jonathan, 2019. "Australia's Genuine Progress Indicator Revisited (1962–2013)," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 1-10.
    12. Li, Xiaoliang & Wu, Kening & Yang, Qijun & Hao, Shiheng & Feng, Zhe & Ma, Jinliang, 2023. "Quantitative assessment of cultivated land use intensity in Heilongjiang Province, China, 2001–2015," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    13. Hongmi Koo & Janina Kleemann & Christine Fürst, 2018. "Land Use Scenario Modeling Based on Local Knowledge for the Provision of Ecosystem Services in Northern Ghana," Land, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-21, May.
    14. Xinyu Ouyang & Xiangyu Luo, 2022. "Models for Assessing Urban Ecosystem Services: Status and Outlooks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-20, April.
    15. Yirui Han & Qinqin Pan & Yuee Cao & Jianhong Zhang & Jiaxuan Yuan & Borui Li & Saiqiang Li & Renfeng Ma & Xu Luo & Longbin Sha & Xiaodong Yang, 2022. "Estimation of Grain Crop Yields after Returning the Illegal Nurseries and Orchards to Cultivated Land in the Yangtze River Delta Region," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-19, November.
    16. Staes, Jan & Broekx, Steven & Van Der Biest, Katrien & Vrebos, Dirk & Olivier, Beauchard & De Nocker, Leo & Liekens, Inge & Poelmans, Lien & Verheyen, Kris & Jeroen, Panis & Meire, Patrick, 2017. "Quantification of the potential impact of nature conservation on ecosystem services supply in the Flemish Region: A cascade modelling approach," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 124-137.
    17. Jianfang Liu & Qian Zhang & Qianyi Wang & Yaoping Lv & Yingqi Tang, 2023. "Gross Ecosystem Product Accounting of a Globally Important Agricultural Heritage System: The Longxian Rice–Fish Symbiotic System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-16, July.
    18. You Zuo & Lin Zhang, 2023. "Research on Local Ecosystem Cultural Services in the Jiangnan Water Network Rural Areas: A Case Study of the Ecological Green Integration Demonstration Zone in the Yangtze River Delta, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-21, July.
    19. Longlong Tang & Kiyotada Hayashi & Kazunori Kohyama & Ai Leon, 2018. "Reconciling Life Cycle Environmental Impacts with Ecosystem Services: A Management Perspective on Agricultural Land Use," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-16, February.
    20. Lopes, Rita & Videira, Nuno, 2017. "Modelling feedback processes underpinning management of ecosystem services: The role of participatory systems mapping," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 28(PA), pages 28-42.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:12:y:2023:i:3:p:667-:d:1095129. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.