IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jlands/v12y2023i2p424-d1059376.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Land Use Conflicts Assessment in Xiamen, China under Multiple Scenarios

Author

Listed:
  • Ming Zhang

    (School of Management, Zhengzhou University, No. 100 Science Avenue, Zhengzhou 450001, China)

  • Xiaojie Liu

    (Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, 11A Datun 7 Road, Beijing 100101, China)

  • Dan Yan

    (Center for Energy, Environment & Economy Research, School of Management, Zhengzhou University, No. 100 Science Avenue, Zhengzhou 450001, China)

Abstract

The accelerated urbanization process has resulted in increasingly prominent conflicts in land resource utilization and caused numerous ecological and environmental issues. Simulating the evolutionary patterns of land use conflicts (LUCs) is the foundation for promoting sustainable land use. The Markov and GeoSOS-FLUS models were used to predict the land use patterns under three different development scenarios, and to analyze the spatio-temporal characteristics of LUCs in Xiamen, China in 2030. Results showed the following: (1) From 2010 to 2020, land use/cover in Xiamen has changed substantially, with an increase of 6.93% in area of construction land and a decrease of 5.40% in area of cropland. (2) In the natural development scenario, the area of construction land in Xiamen is projected to increase, while the areas of cropland and other land types reduce. In the policy intervention scenario, the area of cropland continues increasing and the growth of construction land is effectively controlled. Under the sustainable development scenario, cropland, grassland, and wetlands of high quality that serve important ecological functions have been effectively protected. (3) LUCs in Xiamen differ greatly under the three scenarios in 2030. The sustainable development scenario (SDS) balances the land use needs of both socio-economic development and regional ecological security with the least LUCs, which could be an optimum solution for the long-term sustainable development in Xiamen. The results of this study provide support for decisions about eco-city construction and geospatial planning.

Suggested Citation

  • Ming Zhang & Xiaojie Liu & Dan Yan, 2023. "Land Use Conflicts Assessment in Xiamen, China under Multiple Scenarios," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-16, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:12:y:2023:i:2:p:424-:d:1059376
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/2/424/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/2/424/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Orr, Alastair & Mwale, Blessings, 2001. "Adapting to Adjustment: Smallholder Livelihood Strategies in Southern Malawi," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 29(8), pages 1325-1343, August.
    2. Dingrao Feng & Wenkai Bao & Meichen Fu & Min Zhang & Yiyu Sun, 2021. "Current and Future Land Use Characters of a National Central City in Eco-Fragile Region—A Case Study in Xi’an City Based on FLUS Model," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-25, March.
    3. Xu, Hongtao & Song, Youcheng & Tian, Yi, 2022. "Simulation of land-use pattern evolution in hilly mountainous areas of North China: A case study in Jincheng," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    4. Yang, Yuanyuan & Bao, Wenkai & Liu, Yansui, 2020. "Scenario simulation of land system change in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yiting Zuo & Jie Cheng & Meichen Fu, 2022. "Analysis of Land Use Change and the Role of Policy Dimensions in Ecologically Complex Areas: A Case Study in Chongqing," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-27, April.
    2. Zhiwei Deng & Bin Quan, 2022. "Intensity Characteristics and Multi-Scenario Projection of Land Use and Land Cover Change in Hengyang, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(14), pages 1-18, July.
    3. Houssa, Romain & Verpoorten, Marijke, 2015. "The Unintended Consequence of an Export Ban: Evidence from Benin’s Shrimp Sector," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 138-150.
    4. Xinbei Huang & Chengming Ye & Hongyu Tao & Junjie Zou & Yuzhan Zhou & Shufan Zheng, 2024. "Integrating Future Multi-Scenarios to Evaluate the Effectiveness of Ecological Restoration: A Case Study of the Yellow River Basin," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-19, July.
    5. Savath, Vivien & Fletschner, Diana & Peterman, Amber & Santos, Florence, 2014. "Land, assets, and livelihoods: Gendered analysis of evidence from Odisha State in India:," IFPRI discussion papers 1323, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    6. Jingeng Huo & Zhenqin Shi & Wenbo Zhu & Hua Xue & Xin Chen, 2022. "A Multi-Scenario Simulation and Optimization of Land Use with a Markov–FLUS Coupling Model: A Case Study in Xiong’an New Area, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-20, February.
    7. Meizhe Liao & Zongwen Zhang & Ruirui Yan & Keyu Bai, 2024. "The Assessment of Biodiversity Changes and Sustainable Agricultural Development in The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-20, July.
    8. Fei, Rilong & Lin, Ziyi & Chunga, Joseph, 2021. "How land transfer affects agricultural land use efficiency: Evidence from China’s agricultural sector," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    9. Helmy, Imane, 2020. "Livelihood Diversification Strategies: Resisting Vulnerability in Egypt," GLO Discussion Paper Series 441, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    10. Wei Guo & Yongjia Teng & Yueguan Yan & Chuanwu Zhao & Wanqiu Zhang & Xianglin Ji, 2022. "Simulation of Land Use and Carbon Storage Evolution in Multi-Scenario: A Case Study in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-19, October.
    11. Fraval, Simon & Hammond, James & Lannerstad, Mats & Oosting, Simon J. & Sayula, George & Teufel, Nils & Silvestri, Silvia & Poole, E. Jane & Herrero, Mario & van Wijk, Mark T., 2018. "Livelihoods and food security in an urban linked, high potential region of Tanzania: Changes over a three year period," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 87-95.
    12. Grabowski, Philip & Schmitt Olabisi, Laura & Adebiyi, Jelili & Waldman, Kurt & Richardson, Robert & Rusinamhodzi, Leonard & Snapp, Sieglinde, 2019. "Assessing adoption potential in a risky environment: The case of perennial pigeonpea," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 89-99.
    13. Chenjia Zhang & Yiping Fang & Xiujuan Chen & Tian Congshan, 2019. "Bibliometric Analysis of Trends in Global Sustainable Livelihood Research," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-28, February.
    14. Rui Bian & Anzhou Zhao & Lidong Zou & Xianfeng Liu & Ruihao Xu & Ziyang Li, 2024. "Simulation and Prediction of Land Use Change and Carbon Emission under Multiple Development Scenarios at the City Level: A Case Study of Xi’an, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-18, July.
    15. Xuebin Zhang & Litang Yao & Jun Luo & Wenjuan Liang, 2022. "Exploring Changes in Land Use and Landscape Ecological Risk in Key Regions of the Belt and Road Initiative Countries," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-22, June.
    16. Wang, Quan & Wang, Haijun & Chang, Ruihan & Zeng, Haoran & Bai, Xuepiao, 2022. "Dynamic simulation patterns and spatiotemporal analysis of land-use/land-cover changes in the Wuhan metropolitan area, China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 464(C).
    17. Lesong Zhao & Guangsheng Liu & Chunlong Xian & Jiaqi Nie & Yao Xiao & Zhigang Zhou & Xiting Li & Hongmei Wang, 2022. "Simulation of Land Use Pattern Based on Land Ecological Security: A Case Study of Guangzhou, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(15), pages 1-20, July.
    18. Ellis, Frank & Kutengule, Milton & Nyasulu, Alfred, 2003. "Livelihoods and Rural Poverty Reduction in Malawi," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 31(9), pages 1495-1510, September.
    19. Branka Cuca & Athos Agapiou, 2021. "Contribution of Earth Observation and Geospatial Information for Urban Planning of Historic Cities’ Centres: The Case Study of Nicosia, Cyprus," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-19, June.
    20. Ran Yu & Hongsheng Cheng & Yun Ye & Qin Wang & Shuping Fan & Tan Li & Cheng Wang & Yue Su & Xingyu Zhang, 2023. "Optimization of the Territorial Spatial Patterns Based on MOP and PLUS Models: A Case Study from Hefei City, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-15, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:12:y:2023:i:2:p:424-:d:1059376. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.