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Influence of Rainfall Changes on the Temperature Regime of Permafrost in Central Yakutia

Author

Listed:
  • Aleksandr Zhirkov

    (Melnikov Permafrost Institute SB RAS, 677010 Yakutsk, Russia)

  • Petr Permyakov

    (Melnikov Permafrost Institute SB RAS, 677010 Yakutsk, Russia)

  • Zhi Wen

    (State Key Laboratory of Frozen Soil Engineering, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources CAS, Lanzhou 730000, China)

  • Anatolii Kirillin

    (Melnikov Permafrost Institute SB RAS, 677010 Yakutsk, Russia)

Abstract

Climate change effects, such as melting of glaciers and sea ice in response to rising temperatures, may lead to an increase in global water availability and thus in precipitation. In Central Yakutia, as one of the possible options for climate change, an increase in rainfall is possible, which makes up more than 60% of the annual precipitation. Rainfall is a highly variable meteorological parameter both spatially and temporally. In order to assess its effect on the ground temperature regime in Central Yakutia, we conducted manipulation and numerical experiments with increased rainfall. The manipulation experiment results suggest that a significant (three-fold) increase in rainfall can lower the mean annual ground temperatures locally. The long-term simulation predicts that a 50% increase in rainfall would have a warming effect on the ground thermal regime on a regional scale. For Central Yakutia, infiltration of increased precipitation has been shown to have both warming and cooling effect depending on the area affected.

Suggested Citation

  • Aleksandr Zhirkov & Petr Permyakov & Zhi Wen & Anatolii Kirillin, 2021. "Influence of Rainfall Changes on the Temperature Regime of Permafrost in Central Yakutia," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-19, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:10:y:2021:i:11:p:1230-:d:677127
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. V. E. Romanovsky & T. E. Osterkamp, 2000. "Effects of unfrozen water on heat and mass transport processes in the active layer and permafrost," Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(3), pages 219-239, July.
    2. Yoshihiro Iijima & Alexander N. Fedorov & Hotaek Park & Kazuyoshi Suzuki & Hironori Yabuki & Trofim C. Maximov & Tetsuo Ohata, 2010. "Abrupt increases in soil temperatures following increased precipitation in a permafrost region, central Lena River basin, Russia," Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 21(1), pages 30-41, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aleksandr Zhirkov & Maksim Sivtsev & Vasylii Lytkin & Anatolii Kirillin & Antoine Séjourné & Zhi Wen, 2023. "An Assessment of the Possibility of Restoration and Protection of Territories Disturbed by Thermokarst in Central Yakutia, Eastern Siberia," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-17, January.
    2. Mikhail Yu. Filimonov & Yaroslav K. Kamnev & Aleksandr N. Shein & Nataliia A. Vaganova, 2022. "Modeling the Temperature Field in Frozen Soil under Buildings in the City of Salekhard Taking into Account Temperature Monitoring," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-21, July.

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