IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jjrfmx/v17y2024i10p458-d1494716.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

On the Effects of Physical Climate Risks on the Chinese Energy Sector

Author

Listed:
  • Christian Oliver Ewald

    (Adam Smith Business School—Economics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, UK
    HINN Lillehammer, 2624 Lillehammer, Norway
    Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Umeå University, 901 87 Umeå, Sweden)

  • Chuyao Huang

    (Adam Smith Business School—Economics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, UK)

  • Yuyu Ren

    (Beijing Climate Centre, Beijing 100081, China)

Abstract

We examine the impact of physical climate risks on energy markets in China, distinguishing between traditional energy and new energy stock markets, and the energy commodity market, utilizing a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model with stochastic volatility (TVP-SV-VAR). Specifically, we investigate the dynamic effects of five specific subtypes of physical climate risks, namely waterlogging by rain, drought, typhoon, cryogenic freezing, and high temperature, on WTI oil prices and coal prices. The findings reveal that these physical climate risks exhibit time-varying similar effects on the returns of traditional energy and new energy stocks, but heterogeneous effects on the returns of WTI oil prices and coal prices. Finally, we categorize and examine the impact of both acute and chronic physical risks on the energy commodity market.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Oliver Ewald & Chuyao Huang & Yuyu Ren, 2024. "On the Effects of Physical Climate Risks on the Chinese Energy Sector," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-15, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:17:y:2024:i:10:p:458-:d:1494716
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/17/10/458/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/17/10/458/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Saunders, Edward M, Jr, 1993. "Stock Prices and Wall Street Weather," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(5), pages 1337-1345, December.
    2. Chang, Shao-Chi & Chen, Sheng-Syan & Chou, Robin K. & Lin, Yueh-Hsiang, 2008. "Weather and intraday patterns in stock returns and trading activity," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(9), pages 1754-1766, September.
    3. Gu, Qinen & Li, Shaofang & Tian, Sihua & Wang, Yuyouting, 2023. "Climate, geopolitical, and energy market risk interconnectedness: Evidence from a new climate risk index," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
    4. Ma, Dandan & Zhang, Yunhan & Ji, Qiang & Zhao, Wan-Li & Zhai, Pengxiang, 2024. "Heterogeneous impacts of climate change news on China's financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    5. Ding, Qian & Huang, Jianbai & Chen, Jinyu & Luo, Xianfeng, 2024. "Climate warming, renewable energy consumption and rare earth market: Evidence from the United States," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    6. Faccini, Renato & Matin, Rastin & Skiadopoulos, George, 2023. "Dissecting climate risks: Are they reflected in stock prices?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, Yaojie & Song, Bingheng & He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong, 2024. "Abnormal temperature and the cross-section of stock returns in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    2. Nicholas Apergis & Alexandros Gabrielsen & Lee Smales, 2016. "(Unusual) weather and stock returns—I am not in the mood for mood: further evidence from international markets," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 30(1), pages 63-94, February.
    3. Hyein Shim & Maria H. Kim & Doojin Ryu, 2017. "Effects of intraday weather changes on asset returns and volatilities," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 35(2), pages 301-330.
    4. Bertrand, Jean-Louis & Brusset, Xavier & Fortin, Maxime, 2015. "Assessing and hedging the cost of unseasonal weather: Case of the apparel sector," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 244(1), pages 261-276.
    5. Siganos, Antonios & Vagenas-Nanos, Evangelos & Verwijmeren, Patrick, 2014. "Facebook's daily sentiment and international stock markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 107(PB), pages 730-743.
    6. Hasan, Amena & Dowla, Asif-Ud & Tarannum, Ramisa, 2024. "Financial Inclusion and Economic Growth in Developing Nations: A Case Study of Bangladesh," MPRA Paper 120213, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Feb 2024.
    7. Daglis, Theodoros & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Papadakis, Theodoulos Eleftherios, 2020. "The forecasting ability of solar and space weather data on NASDAQ’s finance sector price index volatility," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    8. Levy, Tamir & Yagil, Joseph, 2011. "Air pollution and stock returns in the US," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 374-383, June.
    9. Svetlana Vlady & Ekrem Tufan, PhD, 2011. "Causality Of Weather Conditions In Australian Stock Equity Returns," Revista Tinerilor Economisti (The Young Economists Journal), University of Craiova, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 1(17), pages 184-197, November.
    10. Jochen M. Schmittmann & Jenny Pirschel & Steffen Meyer & Andreas Hackethal, 2015. "The Impact of Weather on German Retail Investors," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 1143-1183.
    11. Zhuhua Jiang & Rangan Gupta & Sowmya Subramaniam & Seong-Min Yoon, 2021. "The Effect of Air Quality and Weather on the Chinese Stock: Evidence from Shenzhen Stock Exchange," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-20, March.
    12. Sharad Asthana & Rachana Kalelkar, 2023. "Effect of geomagnetic activity on investors and managers: evidence from the pricing and timing of disclosure of earnings news," Asian Review of Accounting, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 31(3), pages 387-413, February.
    13. Anthony Heyes & Matthew Neidell & Soodeh Saberian, 2016. "The Effect of Air Pollution on Investor Behavior: Evidence from the S&P 500," NBER Working Papers 22753, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Renatas Kizys & Wael Rouatbi & Zaghum Umar & Adam Zaremba, 2024. "Air temperature and sovereign bond returns," Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(2), pages 179-209, May.
    15. Edimilson Costa Lucas & Wesley Mendes Da Silva & Gustavo Silva Araujo, 2017. "Does Extreme Rainfall Lead to Heavy Economic Losses in the Food Industry?," Working Papers Series 462, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    16. Wang, He-tong & Qi, Shao-zhou & Li, Kai, 2023. "Impact of risk-taking on enterprise value under extreme temperature: From the perspectives of external and internal governance," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    17. Bradrania, Reza & Gao, Ya, 2024. "Lottery demand, weather and the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    18. Brian Lucey, 2010. "Lunar seasonality in precious metal returns?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(9), pages 835-838.
    19. Emon Kalyan Chowdhury, 2024. "Do weather patterns effect investment decisions in the stock market? A South Asian perspective," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(2), pages 162-171, March.
    20. Filiz, Ibrahim & Nahmer, Thomas & Spiwoks, Markus, 2019. "Herd behavior and mood: An experimental study on the forecasting of share prices," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:17:y:2024:i:10:p:458-:d:1494716. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.