IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jjrfmx/v15y2022i3p137-d771364.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Further Tests of the ZCAPM Asset Pricing Model

Author

Listed:
  • James W. Kolari

    (Department of Finance, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843, USA)

  • Jianhua Z. Huang

    (Department of Statistics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843, USA)

  • Wei Liu

    (USAA Bank, San Antonio, TX 78288, USA)

  • Huiling Liao

    (Department of Statistics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843, USA)

Abstract

In a recent book, Kolari et al. developed a new theoretical capital asset pricing model dubbed the ZCAPM . Based on out-of-sample cross-sectional tests using U.S. stocks, the ZCAPM consistently outperformed well-known multifactor models popular in the finance literature. This paper presents further evidence that expands their sample period from 1927 to 2020. Results are provided for the subperiods 1927 to 1964 and 1965 to 2020. Our results corroborate those of KLH. In cross-sectional tests, the ZCAPM outperforms the CAPM as well as the Fama and French three-factor model and Carhart four-factor model. Outperformance is found in terms of both higher goodness of fit and the statistical significance of factor loadings. Interestingly, the earlier subperiod results highlight problems with the endogeneity of test assets in cross-sectional tests of multifactor models.

Suggested Citation

  • James W. Kolari & Jianhua Z. Huang & Wei Liu & Huiling Liao, 2022. "Further Tests of the ZCAPM Asset Pricing Model," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-23, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:15:y:2022:i:3:p:137-:d:771364
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/15/3/137/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/15/3/137/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rıza Demirer & Shrikant P. Jategaonkar, 2013. "The conditional relation between dispersion and return," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 22(3), pages 125-134, September.
    2. Geert Bekaert & Campbell R. Harvey, 2000. "Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(2), pages 565-613, April.
    3. Stivers, Christopher T., 2003. "Firm-level return dispersion and the future volatility of aggregate stock market returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 389-411, May.
    4. Lewellen, Jonathan & Nagel, Stefan & Shanken, Jay, 2010. "A skeptical appraisal of asset pricing tests," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 175-194, May.
    5. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R., 1997. "Emerging equity market volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 29-77, January.
    6. Eugene F Fama & Kenneth R French & Andrew KarolyiEditor, 2020. "Comparing Cross-Section and Time-Series Factor Models," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 33(5), pages 1891-1926.
    7. Gibbons, Michael R. & Ferson, Wayne, 1985. "Testing asset pricing models with changing expectations and an unobservable market portfolio," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 217-236, June.
    8. Robert Connolly & Chris Stivers, 2003. "Momentum and Reversals in Equity‐Index Returns During Periods of Abnormal Turnover and Return Dispersion," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(4), pages 1521-1556, August.
    9. Eugene F. Fama, 1968. "Risk, Return And Equilibrium: Some Clarifying Comments," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(1), pages 29-40, March.
    10. Lettau, Martin & Maggiori, Matteo & Weber, Michael, 2014. "Conditional risk premia in currency markets and other asset classes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 197-225.
    11. Chang, Bo Young & Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris, 2013. "Market skewness risk and the cross section of stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(1), pages 46-68.
    12. Luboš Pástor & Pietro Veronesi, 2009. "Technological Revolutions and Stock Prices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(4), pages 1451-1483, September.
    13. Kewei Hou & Chen Xue & Lu Zhang, 2015. "Editor's Choice Digesting Anomalies: An Investment Approach," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(3), pages 650-705.
    14. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 2015. "A five-factor asset pricing model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(1), pages 1-22.
    15. Fama, Eugene F & MacBeth, James D, 1973. "Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 607-636, May-June.
    16. P. N. Jones & G. J. McLachlan, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation from Grouped and Truncated Data with Finite Normal Mixture Models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 39(2), pages 273-282, June.
    17. Chichernea, Doina C. & Holder, Anthony D. & Petkevich, Alex, 2015. "Does return dispersion explain the accrual and investment anomalies?," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 133-148.
    18. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1992. "The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 427-465, June.
    19. Xiaoquan Jiang, 2010. "Return dispersion and expected returns," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 24(2), pages 107-135, June.
    20. William F. Sharpe, 1963. "A Simplified Model for Portfolio Analysis," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 9(2), pages 277-293, January.
    21. Tarun Chordia & Amit Goyal & Alessio Saretto & Andrew KarolyiEditor, 2020. "Anomalies and False Rejections," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 33(5), pages 2134-2179.
    22. John H. Cochrane, 2011. "Presidential Address: Discount Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(4), pages 1047-1108, August.
    23. Christie, W. G. & Huang, R. D., 1994. "The changing functional relation between stock returns and dividend yields," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 1(2), pages 161-191, January.
    24. Bekaert, Geert & Hodrick, Robert J. & Zhang, Xiaoyan, 2012. "Aggregate Idiosyncratic Volatility," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(6), pages 1155-1185, December.
    25. Roll, Richard, 1977. "A critique of the asset pricing theory's tests Part I: On past and potential testability of the theory," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 129-176, March.
    26. Carhart, Mark M, 1997. "On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 57-82, March.
    27. Eugene F Fama & Kenneth R French, 2020. "Comparing Cross-Section and Time-Series Factor Models," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(5), pages 1891-1926.
    28. Loungani, Prakash & Rush, Mark & Tave, William, 1990. "Stock market dispersion and unemployment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 367-388, June.
    29. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1996. "The CAPM Is Wanted, Dead or Alive," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(5), pages 1947-1958, December.
    30. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1995. "Size and Book-to-Market Factors in Earnings and Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(1), pages 131-155, March.
    31. Campbell R. Harvey & Yan Liu, 2016. "Rethinking Performance Evaluation," NBER Working Papers 22134, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    32. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    33. William F. Sharpe, 1964. "Capital Asset Prices: A Theory Of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions Of Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 425-442, September.
    34. Bollerslev, Tim & Li, Sophia Zhengzi & Zhao, Bingzhi, 2020. "Good Volatility, Bad Volatility, and the Cross Section of Stock Returns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 55(3), pages 751-781, May.
    35. Daniel, Kent & Titman, Sheridan, 2012. "Testing Factor-Model Explanations of Market Anomalies," Critical Finance Review, now publishers, vol. 1(1), pages 103-139, January.
    36. Wayne E. Ferson & Dennis H. Locke, 1998. "Estimating the Cost of Capital Through Time: An Analysis of the Sources of Error," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(4), pages 485-500, April.
    37. Tarun Chordia & Amit Goyal & Alessio Saretto, 2020. "Anomalies and False Rejections," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(5), pages 2134-2179.
    38. Eugene F. Fama & Kenneth R. French, 2004. "The Capital Asset Pricing Model: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 18(3), pages 25-46, Summer.
    39. Wayne E. Ferson, 2022. "Asset Pricing Models," Springer Books, in: Cheng-Few Lee & Alice C. Lee (ed.), Encyclopedia of Finance, edition 0, chapter 9, pages 613-627, Springer.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kolari, James W. & Huang, Jianhua Z. & Butt, Hilal Anwar & Liao, Huiling, 2022. "International tests of the ZCAPM asset pricing model," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    2. Wei Liu & James W. Kolari, 2022. "Multifactor Market Indexes," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-26, March.
    3. Demirer, Rıza & Jategaonkar, Shrikant P., 2013. "The conditional relation between dispersion and return," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 125-134.
    4. Chichernea, Doina C. & Holder, Anthony D. & Petkevich, Alex, 2015. "Does return dispersion explain the accrual and investment anomalies?," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 133-148.
    5. Sebastien Valeyre, 2020. "Refined model of the covariance/correlation matrix between securities," Papers 2001.08911, arXiv.org.
    6. Boons, M.F., 2014. "Sorting out commodity and macroeconomic risk in expected stock returns," Other publications TiSEM 1ebdac58-bf37-499d-8835-1, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    7. Cakici, Nusret & Zaremba, Adam, 2023. "Recency bias and the cross-section of international stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    8. Joel M. Vanden, 2021. "Equilibrium asset pricing and the cross section of expected returns," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 153-186, June.
    9. Cujean, Julien & Andrei, Daniel & Fournier, Mathieu, 2019. "The Low-Minus-High Portfolio and the Factor Zoo," CEPR Discussion Papers 14153, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2023. "The long-run risk premium in the intertemporal CAPM: International evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    11. Kelly, Bryan T. & Pruitt, Seth & Su, Yinan, 2019. "Characteristics are covariances: A unified model of risk and return," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(3), pages 501-524.
    12. Virk, Nader Shahzad & Butt, Hilal Anwar, 2022. "Asset pricing anomalies: Liquidity risk hedgers or liquidity risk spreaders?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    13. Kim, Soohun & Skoulakis, Georgios, 2018. "Ex-post risk premia estimation and asset pricing tests using large cross sections: The regression-calibration approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(2), pages 159-188.
    14. Glenn Pettengill & George Chang, 2019. "Validating empirically identified risk factors," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 43(1), pages 162-179, January.
    15. Kaserer Christoph & Hanauer Matthias X., 2017. "25 Jahre Fama-French-Modell: Erklärungsgehalt, Anomalien und praktische Implikationen," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 18(2), pages 98-116, June.
    16. Johan Knif & James W. Kolari & Gregory Koutmos & Seppo Pynnönen, 2019. "Measuring the relative return contribution of risk factors," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(4), pages 263-272, July.
    17. Cakici, Nusret & Zaremba, Adam, 2022. "Salience theory and the cross-section of stock returns: International and further evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 689-725.
    18. Vitor Azevedo & Christopher Hoegner, 2023. "Enhancing stock market anomalies with machine learning," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 195-230, January.
    19. Grobys, Klaus & Heinonen, Jari-Pekka & Kolari, James, 2018. "Return dispersion risk in FX and global equity markets: Does it explain currency momentum?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 264-280.
    20. Calvet, Laurent E. & Betermier, Sebastien & Jo, Evan, 2019. "A Supply and Demand Approach to Equity Pricing," CEPR Discussion Papers 13974, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:15:y:2022:i:3:p:137-:d:771364. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.