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Household Flood Severity and Migration Extent in Central Java: Analysis of the Indonesian Family Life Survey

Author

Listed:
  • Breanne K. Langlois

    (Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA 02111, USA)

  • Leah Beaulac

    (Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA 02111, USA)

  • Katherine Berry

    (Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA 02111, USA)

  • Oyedolapo Anyanwu

    (Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA 02111, USA)

  • Ryan B. Simpson

    (Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA 02111, USA)

  • Aris Ismanto

    (Department of Oceanography, Faculty of Fisheries and Marine Science, Universitas Diponegoro, Semarang 50275, Indonesia)

  • Magaly Koch

    (Center for Remote Sensing, Department of Earth & Environment, Boston University, Boston, MA 02215, USA)

  • Erin Coughlan de Perez

    (Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA 02111, USA
    Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, 2502 KC The Hague, The Netherlands)

  • Timothy Griffin

    (Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA 02111, USA)

  • Elena N. Naumova

    (Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, MA 02111, USA)

Abstract

Central Java, Indonesia, is prone to river and coastal flooding due to climate changes and geological factors. Migration is one possible adaptation to flooding, but research is limited due to lack of longitudinal spatially granular datasets on migration and metrics to identify flood-affected households. The available literature indicates social and economic barriers may limit mobility from flood prone areas. The Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) provides self-reported data on household experiences with natural disasters among 1501 Central Java households followed over two waves (2007 and 2014). We examined how the severity of flooding, defined by household-level impacts captured by the IFLS (death, injury, financial loss, or relocation of a household member), influenced the extent of household movement in Central Java using a generalized ordered logit/partial proportional odds model. Households severely impacted by floods had 75% lower odds of moving farther away compared to those that did not experience floods. The most severely impacted households may be staying within flood-affected areas in Central Java. Public health, nutrition, and economic surveys should include modules focused on household experiences, impacts, and adaptations to facilitate the study of how climate changes are impacting these outcomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Breanne K. Langlois & Leah Beaulac & Katherine Berry & Oyedolapo Anyanwu & Ryan B. Simpson & Aris Ismanto & Magaly Koch & Erin Coughlan de Perez & Timothy Griffin & Elena N. Naumova, 2023. "Household Flood Severity and Migration Extent in Central Java: Analysis of the Indonesian Family Life Survey," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(9), pages 1-12, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:20:y:2023:i:9:p:5706-:d:1138078
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Allan M. Findlay, 2012. "Flooding and the scale of migration," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(6), pages 401-402, June.
    2. Hélène Benveniste & Michael Oppenheimer & Marc Fleurbaey, 2022. "Climate change increases resource-constrained international immobility," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 12(7), pages 634-641, July.
    3. Ian Douglas, 2009. "Climate change, flooding and food security in south Asia," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 1(2), pages 127-136, June.
    4. Muh Aris Marfai & Lorenz King & Junun Sartohadi & Sudrajat Sudrajat & Sri Rahayu Budiani & Fajar Yulianto, 2008. "The impact of tidal flooding on a coastal community in Semarang, Indonesia," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 237-248, September.
    5. Richard Black & Stephen R. G. Bennett & Sandy M. Thomas & John R. Beddington, 2011. "Migration as adaptation," Nature, Nature, vol. 478(7370), pages 447-449, October.
    6. Joyce J. Chen & Valerie Mueller & Yuanyuan Jia & Steven Kuo-Hsin Tseng, 2017. "Validating Migration Responses to Flooding Using Satellite and Vital Registration Data," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(5), pages 441-445, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Breanne K. Langlois & Aris Ismanto & Leah Beaulac & Katherine Berry & Magaly Koch & Timothy Griffin & Erin Coughlan de Perez & Elena N. Naumova, 2024. "Recurrent Flooding and Household Food Access in Central Java, Indonesia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 21(10), pages 1-14, October.

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