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Exploring the Climate Temperature Effects on Settlement Intentions of Older Migrants: Evidence from China

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  • Hongjie Wang

    (Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resource Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
    College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
    Department of Geography and Planning, Queen’s University, Kingston, ON K7L 3N6, Canada)

  • Xiaolu Gao

    (Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resource Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
    College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

  • Zening Xu

    (China Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030, China)

  • Yuan Li

    (Department of Geography and Planning, Queen’s University, Kingston, ON K7L 3N6, Canada)

  • Xinyue Zhang

    (Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resource Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
    College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

  • Mark W. Rosenberg

    (Department of Geography and Planning, Queen’s University, Kingston, ON K7L 3N6, Canada)

Abstract

Permanent migration across provinces in China has become an important strategy for Chinese older people to respond to a temperature-unfriendly place of residence in late life. However, the relation between temperature effects and permanent settlements of older migrants remains unclear. Based on the data obtained from China Migrants Dynamic Survey, this paper examined how four temperature effects (i.e., cold effect, heat effect, temperature gap effect, and temperature zone effect) play a role in shaping older migrants’ intentions to settle permanently in a destination place by conducting logistic regression analysis. Our findings show that: (1) extreme cold (rather than extreme heat or mild temperature) was found to have significant effects on settlement intentions of older people; (2) relative winter temperature between origin and destination places rather than absolute winter temperature in the destination place has a significant positive effect on the settlement intentions; (3) spatially, older migrants tend to migrate to geographically adjacent temperature zones. Our findings will inform a more effective planning and allocation of services for supporting older people by better understanding trends and intentions of older migrants.

Suggested Citation

  • Hongjie Wang & Xiaolu Gao & Zening Xu & Yuan Li & Xinyue Zhang & Mark W. Rosenberg, 2022. "Exploring the Climate Temperature Effects on Settlement Intentions of Older Migrants: Evidence from China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(8), pages 1-15, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:8:p:4896-:d:796020
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Jingyi Tian & Jun Nagayasu, 2023. "Financial Systemic Risk behind Artificial Intelligence:Evidence from China," TUPD Discussion Papers 44, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University.

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