IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v17y2020i13p4865-d380969.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effects of Climate Change on Land Cover Change and Vegetation Dynamics in Xinjiang, China

Author

Listed:
  • Haochen Yu

    (School of Environment Science and Spatial Informatics, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China
    School of Public Policy and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China)

  • Zhengfu Bian

    (School of Environment Science and Spatial Informatics, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China
    School of Public Policy and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China)

  • Shouguo Mu

    (School of Environment Science and Spatial Informatics, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China
    School of Public Policy and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China)

  • Junfang Yuan

    (School of Environment Science and Spatial Informatics, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China
    School of Public Policy and Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China)

  • Fu Chen

    (School of Environment Science and Spatial Informatics, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, China
    Low Carbon Energy Institute, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221008, China)

Abstract

Since the Silk-road Economic belt initiatives were proposed, Xinjiang has provided a vital strategic link between China and Central Asia and even Eurasia. However, owing to the weak and vulnerable ecosystem in this arid region, even a slight climate change would probably disrupt vegetation dynamics and land cover change. Thus, there is an urgent need to determine the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Land-use/Land-cover (LULC) responses to climate change. Here, the extreme-point symmetric mode decomposition (ESMD) method and linear regression method (LRM) were applied to recognize the variation trends of the NDVI, temperature, and precipitation between the growing season and other seasons. Combining the transfer matrix of LULC, the Pearson correlation analysis was utilized to reveal the response of NDVI to climate change and climate extremes. The results showed that: (1) Extreme temperature showed greater variation than extreme precipitation. Both the ESMD and the LRM exhibited an increased volatility trend for the NDVI, with the significant improvement regions mainly located in the margin of basins. (2) Since climate change had a warming trend, the permanent snow has been reduced by 20,436 km 2 . The NDVI has a higher correlation to precipitation than temperature. Furthermore, the humid trend could provide more suitable conditions for vegetation growth, but the warm trend might prevent vegetation growth. Spatially, the response of the NDVI in North Xinjiang (NXC) was more sensitive to precipitation than that in South Xinjiang (SXC). Seasonally, the NDVI has a greater correlation to precipitation in spring and summer, but the opposite occurs in autumn. (3) The response of the NDVI to extreme precipitation was stronger than the response to extreme temperature. The reduction in diurnal temperature variation was beneficial to vegetation growth. Therefore, continuous concentrated precipitation and higher night-time-temperatures could enhance vegetation growth in Xinjiang. This study could enrich the understanding of the response of land cover change and vegetation dynamics to climate extremes and provide scientific support for eco-environment sustainable management in the arid regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Haochen Yu & Zhengfu Bian & Shouguo Mu & Junfang Yuan & Fu Chen, 2020. "Effects of Climate Change on Land Cover Change and Vegetation Dynamics in Xinjiang, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(13), pages 1-25, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2020:i:13:p:4865-:d:380969
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/17/13/4865/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/17/13/4865/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Christopher White & Trevor Tanton & David Rycroft, 2014. "The Impact of Climate Change on the Water Resources of the Amu Darya Basin in Central Asia," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(15), pages 5267-5281, December.
    2. Haiming Yan & Jinyan Zhan & Bing Liu & Yongwei Yuan, 2014. "Model Estimation of Water Use Efficiency for Soil Conservation in the Lower Heihe River Basin, Northwest China during 2000–2008," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(9), pages 1-17, September.
    3. Alistair W. R. Seddon & Marc Macias-Fauria & Peter R. Long & David Benz & Kathy J. Willis, 2016. "Sensitivity of global terrestrial ecosystems to climate variability," Nature, Nature, vol. 531(7593), pages 229-232, March.
    4. Nana Luo & Dehua Mao & Bolong Wen & Xingtu Liu, 2020. "Climate Change Affected Vegetation Dynamics in the Northern Xinjiang of China: Evaluation by SPEI and NDVI," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-18, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lina Tang & Alimujiang Kasimu & Haitao Ma & Mamattursun Eziz, 2023. "Monitoring Multi-Scale Ecological Change and Its Potential Drivers in the Economic Zone of the Tianshan Mountains’ Northern Slopes, Xinjiang, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(4), pages 1-20, February.
    2. Ruxandra Bejinaru, 2022. "Cluster Analysis Of Risks And Vulnerabilities For Environment Sustainable Management," Oradea Journal of Business and Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 7(2), pages 35-48, Septembri.
    3. Yu Zhang & Na Gong & Huade Zhu, 2023. "Vegetation Dynamics and Food Security against the Background of Ecological Restoration in Hubei Province, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(2), pages 1-18, January.
    4. Miyesier Jumai & Alimujiang Kasimu & Hongwu Liang & Lina Tang & Yimuranzi Aizizi & Xueling Zhang, 2023. "A Study on the Spatial and Temporal Variation of Summer Surface Temperature in the Bosten Lake Basin and Its Influencing Factors," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-18, June.
    5. Hongwu Liang & Alimujiang Kasimu & Haitao Ma & Yongyu Zhao & Xueling Zhang & Bohao Wei, 2022. "Exploring the Variations and Influencing Factors of Land Surface Temperature in the Urban Agglomeration on the Northern Slope of the Tianshan Mountains," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-22, August.
    6. Jushuang Qin & Menglu Ma & Jiabin Shi & Shurui Ma & Baoguo Wu & Xiaohui Su, 2023. "The Time-Lag Effect of Climate Factors on the Forest Enhanced Vegetation Index for Subtropical Humid Areas in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-18, January.
    7. Yang Yan & Junhui Cheng & Yongkang Li & Jie Fan & Hongqi Wu, 2023. "Characteristics of NDVI Changes in the Altay Region from 1981 to 2018 and Their Relationship to Climatic Factors," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-18, February.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Deg-Hyo Bae & Toshio Koike & Jehangir Awan & Moon-Hwan Lee & Kyung-Hwan Sohn, 2015. "Climate Change Impact Assessment on Water Resources and Susceptible Zones Identification in the Asian Monsoon Region," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(14), pages 5377-5393, November.
    2. Meng Luo & Shengwei Zhang & Lei Huang & Zhiqiang Liu & Lin Yang & Ruishen Li & Xi Lin, 2022. "Temporal and Spatial Changes of Ecological Environment Quality Based on RSEI: A Case Study in Ulan Mulun River Basin, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-19, October.
    3. Sharaniya Vijitharan & Nophea Sasaki & Manjunatha Venkatappa & Nitin Kumar Tripathi & Issei Abe & Takuji W. Tsusaka, 2022. "Assessment of Forest Cover Changes in Vavuniya District, Sri Lanka: Implications for the Establishment of Subnational Forest Reference Emission Level," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-25, July.
    4. Li Yang & Yue Xu & Junqi Zhu & Keyu Sun, 2024. "Research on Water Ecological Resilience Measurement and Influencing Factors: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-23, August.
    5. Shulin Chen & Zhenghao Zhu & Xiaotong Liu & Li Yang, 2022. "Variation in Vegetation and Its Driving Force in the Pearl River Delta Region of China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(16), pages 1-15, August.
    6. Huang, Ze & Liu, Yu & Qiu, Kaiyang & López-Vicente, Manuel & Shen, Weibo & Wu, Gao-Lin, 2021. "Soil-water deficit in deep soil layers results from the planted forest in a semi-arid sandy land: Implications for sustainable agroforestry water management," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
    7. Xiaoyan Tang & Yongjiu Feng & Chen Gao & Zhenkun Lei & Shurui Chen & Rong Wang & Yanmin Jin & Xiaohua Tong, 2023. "Entropy-weight-based spatiotemporal drought assessment using MODIS products and Sentinel-1A images in Urumqi, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 119(1), pages 387-408, October.
    8. Liu, Minghuan & Jiang, Yao & Xu, Xu & Huang, Quanzhong & Huo, Zailin & Huang, Guanhua, 2018. "Long-term groundwater dynamics affected by intense agricultural activities in oasis areas of arid inland river basins, Northwest China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 37-52.
    9. Yuhao Jin & Han Zhang & Yuchao Yan & Peitong Cong, 2020. "A Semi-Parametric Geographically Weighted Regression Approach to Exploring Driving Factors of Fractional Vegetation Cover: A Case Study of Guangdong," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-19, September.
    10. Henry R. Scharf & Ann M. Raiho & Sierra Pugh & Carl A. Roland & David K. Swanson & Sarah E. Stehn & Mevin B. Hooten, 2022. "Multivariate Bayesian clustering using covariate‐informed components with application to boreal vegetation sensitivity," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 78(4), pages 1427-1440, December.
    11. Oiliam Stolarski & João A. Santos & André Fonseca & Chenyao Yang & Henrique Trindade & Helder Fraga, 2023. "Climate Change Impacts on Grassland Vigour in Northern Portugal," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-18, October.
    12. Shanshan Xu & Qinghe Zhao & Shengyan Ding & Mingzhou Qin & Lixin Ning & Xiaoyu Ji, 2018. "Improving Soil and Water Conservation of Riparian Vegetation Based on Landscape Leakiness and Optimal Vegetation Pattern," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-16, May.
    13. Cecilia Parracciani & Robert Buitenwerf & Jens-Christian Svenning, 2023. "Impacts of Climate Change on Vegetation in Kenya: Future Projections and Implications for Protected Areas," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-20, November.
    14. Hasibuan, Abdul Muis & Gregg, Daniel & Stringer, Randy, 2020. "Accounting for diverse risk attitudes in measures of risk perceptions: A case study of climate change risk for small-scale citrus farmers in Indonesia," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    15. Shuang Liu & Xuefei Li & Long Chen & Qing Zhao & Chaohui Zhao & Xisheng Hu & Jian Li, 2022. "A New Approach to Investigate the Spatially Heterogeneous in the Cooling Effects of Landscape Pattern," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-21, February.
    16. Yi-ping Fang & Fu-biao Zhu & Shu-hua Yi & Xiao-ping Qiu & Yong-jiang Ding, 2021. "Ecological carrying capacity of alpine grassland in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau based on the structural dynamics method," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(8), pages 12550-12578, August.
    17. Thaís Pacheco Kasecker & Mario Barroso Ramos-Neto & Jose Maria Cardoso Silva & Fabio Rubio Scarano, 2018. "Ecosystem-based adaptation to climate change: defining hotspot municipalities for policy design and implementation in Brazil," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 23(6), pages 981-993, August.
    18. Didovets, Iulii & Lobanova, Anastasia & Krysanova, Valentina & Menz, Christoph & Babagalieva, Zhanna & Nurbatsina, Aliya & Gavrilenko, Nadejda & Khamidov, Vohid & Umirbekov, Atabek & Qodirov, Sobir & , 2021. "Central Asian rivers under climate change: Impacts assessment in eight representative catchments," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 34.
    19. Yu-Pin Lin & Chi-Ju Chen & Wan-Yu Lien & Wen-Hao Chang & Joy R. Petway & Li-Chi Chiang, 2019. "Landscape Conservation Planning to Sustain Ecosystem Services under Climate Change," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-18, March.
    20. Meng Wang & Zhengfeng An, 2022. "Regional and Phased Vegetation Responses to Climate Change Are Different in Southwest China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-21, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2020:i:13:p:4865-:d:380969. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.