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The Impact of Discretionary Measurement Criteria on Investors’ Judgement and Decisions

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  • Tiago Cruz Gonçalves

    (Advance/CSG, ISEG—Lisbon School of Economics & Management, Universidade de Lisboa, 1200-781 Lisboa, Portugal)

Abstract

This study investigates the effect on nonprofessional investors’ judgements and decisions of discretionary measurement choices. Using a paper-and-pencil experience, we collect and analyze information regarding investment amounts as well as past and future financial performance judgements of firms’ earnings by manipulating fair value (mark-to-market and mark-to-model) criteria and benchmarking it with historical cost-based financial statements. We proxy nonprofessional investors with graduate students from a business school. Our results show evidence that nonprofessional investors view fair value changes as permanent. We argue for a cashflow volatility factor. Contrary to previous research, we do not find evidence of any effect on investors’ willingness to invest (average budget amounts invested) or performance judgments (past and future). We corroborate previous evidence that investors rank measurement concepts’ relevance differently for different classes, although, on average, mark-to-market fair values and historical cost are rated more relevant and reliable than mark-to-model fair values.

Suggested Citation

  • Tiago Cruz Gonçalves, 2021. "The Impact of Discretionary Measurement Criteria on Investors’ Judgement and Decisions," Games, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-14, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jgames:v:13:y:2021:i:1:p:3-:d:709060
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gonçalves, Tiago & Gaio, Cristina & Lélis, Carlos, 2020. "Accrual mispricing: Evidence from European sovereign debt crisis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    2. Stephen Penman, 2007. "Financial reporting quality: is fair value a plus or a minus?," Accounting and Business Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(S1), pages 33-44.
    3. Joachim Gassen & Kristina Schwedler, 2010. "The Decision Usefulness of Financial Accounting Measurement Concepts: Evidence from an Online Survey of Professional Investors and their Advisors," European Accounting Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 495-509.
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    1. Tânia Saraiva & Tiago Cruz Gonçalves, 2022. "The Role of Emotions and Knowledge on Preference for Uncertainty: Follow Your Heart but Listen to Your Brain!," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, December.

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