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Systematic Mapping Study of Sales Forecasting: Methods, Trends, and Future Directions

Author

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  • Hamid Ahaggach

    (LIB Laboratory, University of Burgundy, 21000 Dijon, France
    Syartec, 13290 Aix-en-Provence, France)

  • Lylia Abrouk

    (LIB Laboratory, University of Burgundy, 21000 Dijon, France
    MISTEA, INRAE & Institut Agro, University of Montpellier, 34000 Montpellier, France)

  • Eric Lebon

    (Syartec, 13290 Aix-en-Provence, France)

Abstract

In a dynamic business environment, the accuracy of sales forecasts plays a pivotal role in strategic decision making and resource allocation. This article offers a systematic review of the existing literature on techniques and methodologies used in forecasting, especially in sales forecasting across various domains, aiming to provide a nuanced understanding of the field. Our study examines the literature from 2013 to 2023, identifying key techniques and their evolution over time. The methodology involves a detailed analysis of 516 articles, categorized into classical qualitative approaches, traditional statistical methods, machine learning models, deep learning techniques, and hybrid approaches. The results highlight a significant shift towards advanced methods, with machine learning and deep learning techniques experiencing an explosive increase in adoption. The popularity of these models has surged, as evidenced by a rise from 10 articles in 2013 to over 110 by 2023. This growth underscores their growing prominence and effectiveness in handling complex time series data. Additionally, we explore the challenges and limitations that influence forecasting accuracy, focusing on complex market structures and the benefits of extensive data availability.

Suggested Citation

  • Hamid Ahaggach & Lylia Abrouk & Eric Lebon, 2024. "Systematic Mapping Study of Sales Forecasting: Methods, Trends, and Future Directions," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-31, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jforec:v:6:y:2024:i:3:p:28-532:d:1429582
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    References listed on IDEAS

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