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Uncovering Contributing Factors to Interruptions in the Power Grid: An Arctic Case

Author

Listed:
  • Odin Foldvik Eikeland

    (Department of Physics and Technology, UiT the Arctic University of Norway, 9037 Tromso, Norway)

  • Filippo Maria Bianchi

    (Department of Mathematics and Statistics, UiT the Arctic University of Norway, 9037 Tromso, Norway
    NORCE, The Norwegian Research Centre AS, 5008 Bergen, Norway)

  • Inga Setså Holmstrand

    (Distribution System Operator Arva, 9024 Tromso, Norway)

  • Sigurd Bakkejord

    (Distribution System Operator Arva, 9024 Tromso, Norway)

  • Sergio Santos

    (Department of Physics and Technology, UiT the Arctic University of Norway, 9037 Tromso, Norway)

  • Matteo Chiesa

    (Department of Physics and Technology, UiT the Arctic University of Norway, 9037 Tromso, Norway
    Laboratory for Energy and NanoScience (LENS), Masdar Institute Campus, Khalifa University of Science and Technology, Abu Dhabi 127788, United Arab Emirates)

Abstract

Electric failures are a problem for customers and grid operators. Identifying causes and localizing the source of failures in the grid is critical. Here, we focus on a specific power grid in the Arctic region of Northern Norway. First, we collected data pertaining to the grid topology, the topography of the area, the historical meteorological data, and the historical energy consumption/production data. Then, we exploited statistical and machine-learning techniques to predict the occurrence of failures. The classification models achieve good performance, meaning that there is a significant relationship between the collected variables and fault occurrence. Thus, we interpreted the variables that mostly explain the classification results to be the main driving factors of power interruption. Wind speed of gust and local industry activity are found to be the main controlling parameters in explaining the power failure occurrences. The result could provide important information to the distribution system operator for implementing strategies to prevent and mitigate incoming failures.

Suggested Citation

  • Odin Foldvik Eikeland & Filippo Maria Bianchi & Inga Setså Holmstrand & Sigurd Bakkejord & Sergio Santos & Matteo Chiesa, 2022. "Uncovering Contributing Factors to Interruptions in the Power Grid: An Arctic Case," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-21, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:1:p:305-:d:716583
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. LaCommare, Kristina Hamachi & Eto, Joseph H., 2006. "Cost of power interruptions to electricity consumers in the United States (US)," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(12), pages 1845-1855.
    2. Meles, Tensay Hadush, 2020. "Impact of power outages on households in developing countries: Evidence from Ethiopia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Ingebrigtsen, Karoline & Bianchi, Filippo Maria & Bakkejord, Sigurd & Holmstrand, Inga Setså & Chiesa, Matteo, 2024. "Identifying conditions leading to power quality events in Arctic Norway: Feature selection," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
    2. Ekaterina Samylovskaya & Alexey Makhovikov & Alexander Lutonin & Dmitry Medvedev & Regina-Elizaveta Kudryavtseva, 2022. "Digital Technologies in Arctic Oil and Gas Resources Extraction: Global Trends and Russian Experience," Resources, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-30, March.
    3. Durmaz, Tunç & Acar, Sevil & Kızılkaya, Simay, 2024. "Generation failures, strategic withholding, and capacity payments in the Turkish electricity market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).

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