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Investigating the Future Dynamics of Multi-Port Systems: The Case of Poland and the Rhine–Scheldt Delta Region

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  • Dariusz Bernacki

    (Department of Maritime Economics and Transport Systems, Faculty of Transport Engineering and Economics, Institute of Transport Management, Maritime University of Szczecin, 70-500 Szczecin, Poland)

  • Christian Lis

    (Department of Econometrics and Statistics, Faculty of Economics, Finance and Management, Institute of Economics and Finance, University of Szczecin, 71-101 Szczecin, Poland)

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to investigate the future evolution of port systems considering the development of major and minor ports, inter-port competition, and feasible cargo shifts resulting from improved capacity or congestion faced by ports. The literature review on port system dynamics indicates that the relationships that emerge between major and minor ports located in the range stem from competition and cooperation. However, we argue that there are essential ports that play a predominant role in shaping these relationships, while inter-port relations in the system are based on competition. With the use of transshipment forecasts, existing and emerging interdependencies among major and minor ports in the system, and capacity development and/or changes in the level of capacity utilisation, the ex-ante dynamics of the port system are evaluated. The subject of research is two port systems, namely, the Polish port system and the Rhine–Scheldt Delta port system. We investigate the future dynamics in each port system and find that the evolution pattern has different features if the minor ports improve capacity or challenge the major ports by offering free capacity. This paper contributes to research on the evolution of multi-port formations and provides new insights to the peripheral port challenge phenomenon.

Suggested Citation

  • Dariusz Bernacki & Christian Lis, 2022. "Investigating the Future Dynamics of Multi-Port Systems: The Case of Poland and the Rhine–Scheldt Delta Region," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-26, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:18:p:6614-:d:911319
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dariusz Bernacki & Christian Lis, 2021. "Investigating the Sustainable Impact of Seaport Infrastructure Provision on Maritime Component of Supply Chain," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-22, June.
    2. Wouter Jacobs & Theo Notteboom, 2010. "A theory on the co-evolution of seaports with application to container terminal development in the Rhine-Scheldt Delta," Papers in Evolutionary Economic Geography (PEEG) 1003, Utrecht University, Department of Human Geography and Spatial Planning, Group Economic Geography, revised Feb 2010.
    3. Dariusz Bernacki, 2021. "Assessing the Link between Vessel Size and Maritime Supply Chain Sustainable Performance," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-21, May.
    4. Notteboom, Theo, 2016. "The adaptive capacity of container ports in an era of mega vessels: The case of upstream seaports Antwerp and Hamburg," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 295-309.
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