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COVID-19 and the Energy Price Volatility

Author

Listed:
  • Apostolos G. Christopoulos

    (Department of Business Administration, University of the Aegean, 81100 Mytilene, Greece)

  • Petros Kalantonis

    (Department of Tourism Management, University of West Attica, 12244 Athens, Greece)

  • Ioannis Katsampoxakis

    (Department of Statistics and Actuarial—Financial Mathematics, University of the Aegean, 81100 Mytilene, Greece)

  • Konstantinos Vergos

    (Department of Economics and Finance, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth PO13DE, UK)

Abstract

The challenges of the world economy and their societies, after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic have led policy-makers to seek for effective solutions. This paper examines the oil price volatility response to the COVID-19 pandemic and stock market volatility using daily data. A general econometric panel model is applied to investigate the relationship between COVID-19 infection and death announcements with oil price volatility. The paper uses data from six geographical zones, Europe, Africa, Asia, North America, South America, and Oceania for the period 21 January 2020 until 13 May 2021 and the empirical findings show that COVID-19 deaths affected oil volatility significantly. This conclusion is confirmed by a second stage analysis applied separately for each geographical area. The only geographical area where the existence of correlation is not confirmed between the rate of increase in deaths and the volatility of the price of crude oil is Asia. The conclusions of this study clearly suggest that COVID-19 is a new risk component on top of economic and market uncertainty that affects oil prices and volatility. Overall, our results are useful for policy-makers, especially in the case of a new wave of infection and deaths in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Apostolos G. Christopoulos & Petros Kalantonis & Ioannis Katsampoxakis & Konstantinos Vergos, 2021. "COVID-19 and the Energy Price Volatility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-15, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:20:p:6496-:d:653293
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. Dogan, Eyup & Majeed, Muhammad Tariq & Luni, Tania, 2022. "Analyzing the nexus of COVID-19 and natural resources and commodities: Evidence from time-varying causality," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    4. Wang, Zhuo & Chen, Xiaodan & Zhou, Chunyan & Zhang, Yifeng & Wei, Yu, 2024. "Examining the quantile cross-coherence between fossil energy and clean energy: Is the dependence structure changing with the COVID-19 outbreak?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    5. Chen, Yan & Qiao, Gaoxiu & Zhang, Feipeng, 2022. "Oil price volatility forecasting: Threshold effect from stock market volatility," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    6. Qiao, Gaoxiu & Ma, Xuekun & Jiang, Gongyue & Wang, Lu, 2024. "Crude oil volatility index forecasting: New evidence based on positive and negative jumps from Chinese stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 415-437.
    7. Ha, Le Thanh, 2022. "Storm after the Gloomy days: Influences of COVID-19 pandemic on volatility of the energy market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    8. Zhang, Hongwei & Zhang, Yubo & Gao, Wang & Li, Yingli, 2023. "Extreme quantile spillovers and drivers among clean energy, electricity and energy metals markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).

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