IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v14y2021i18p5854-d636558.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Multi-Scenario Simulation of a Water–Energy Coupling System Based on System Dynamics: A Case Study of Ningbo City

Author

Listed:
  • Yitong Yin

    (College of Geoscience and Surveying Engineering, China University of Mining & Technology, Beijing 100083, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Gang Lin

    (Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
    College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Dong Jiang

    (Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
    College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
    Key Laboratory of Carrying Capacity Assessment for Resource and Environment, Ministry of Natural Resources, Beijing 100101, China)

  • Jingying Fu

    (Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
    College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

  • Donglin Dong

    (College of Geoscience and Surveying Engineering, China University of Mining & Technology, Beijing 100083, China)

Abstract

In this work, based on the concept of collaborative water–energy development, a multi-scenario system dynamics simulation model of a water–energy coupling system was constructed by using the system dynamics modeling method. The model was composed of four subsystems: society, economic, water resources, and energy. Taking Ningbo City as the research location to run the simulation model, the analysis of the validity of the model showed that the relative error between the historical data and the simulation results of the model was less than 10%, which proved that the model passed the test. In this paper, based on the scenario of business an usual (BAU), three scenarios of water-saving scenario (WSS), energy-saving scenario (ESS), and comprehensive savings (CS, the comprehensive scenario considers water-saving and energy-saving together) were designed, and the simulation indexes in the three scenarios were refined in order to strengthen the control of water-saving policies, improve the effective use of water, optimize the industrial energy structure, improve the level of energy-saving-related technologies, and advance the urbanization process. The simulation results for Ningbo City from 2010 to 2030 show that the water–energy coupling system is affected by many factors, and the adjustment of a driving factor of any subsystem will have an impact on the water–energy coupling system. There are two driving factors: the first is a constant variable related to water resources, energy, society, and economic, and the second is a variable affected by time. The coupling system is based on the law of real development and is composed of causal and functional relationships between variables. Therefore, within the prediction range of 2030, the driving factors in the coupling system are controllable, and there is no uncontrollable situation. The strengthening of water-saving policies and the improvement of the coefficient of the effective utilization of water will have the optimal saving effects on water resources and energy at both the single and the coupling level; this also demonstrates that the water resource management in Ningbo City plays an extremely important role in the relationship of the water–energy coupling. The results of this study are expected to provide a valuable reference for the management and conservation of water–energy coupling in Ningbo City.

Suggested Citation

  • Yitong Yin & Gang Lin & Dong Jiang & Jingying Fu & Donglin Dong, 2021. "Multi-Scenario Simulation of a Water–Energy Coupling System Based on System Dynamics: A Case Study of Ningbo City," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-22, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:18:p:5854-:d:636558
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/18/5854/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/18/5854/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Natalia Naval & Jose M. Yusta, 2020. "Water-Energy Management for Demand Charges and Energy Cost Optimization of a Pumping Stations System under a Renewable Virtual Power Plant Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-21, June.
    2. R. Quentin Grafton & Mahala McLindin & Karen Hussey & Paul Wyrwoll & Dennis Wichelns & Claudia Ringler & Dustin Garrick & Jamie Pittock & Sarah Wheeler & Stuart Orr & Nathanial Matthews & Erik Ansink , 2016. "Responding to Global Challenges in Food, Energy, Environment and Water: Risks and Options Assessment for Decision-Making," Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 3(2), pages 275-299, May.
    3. Cai, Yanpeng & Cai, Jianying & Xu, Linyu & Tan, Qian & Xu, Qiao, 2019. "Integrated risk analysis of water-energy nexus systems based on systems dynamics, orthogonal design and copula analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 125-137.
    4. Gabriela Shirkey & Megan Belongeay & Susie Wu & Xiaoguang Ma & Hassan Tavakol & Annick Anctil & Sandra Marquette-Pyatt & Rodney A. Stewart & Parikith Sinha & Richard Corkish & Jiquan Chen & Ilke Celik, 2021. "An Environmental and Societal Analysis of the US Electrical Energy Industry Based on the Water–Energy Nexus," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-20, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Xipan & Song, Junnian & Xing, Jiahao & Duan, Haiyan & Wang, Xian'en, 2022. "System nexus consolidates coupling of regional water and energy efficiencies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xinxin Liu & Xiaosheng Wang & Haiying Guo & Xiaojie An, 2021. "Benefit Allocation in Shared Water-Saving Management Contract Projects Based on Modified Expected Shapley Value," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(1), pages 39-62, January.
    2. Lv, J. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Suo, C. & Mei, H. & Li, Y., 2020. "Quantifying the impact of water availability on China's energy system under uncertainties: A perceptive of energy-water nexus," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    3. Megan Belongeay & Gabriela Shirkey & Marina Monteiro Lunardi & Gonzalo Rodriguez-Garcia & Parikhit Sinha & Richard Corkish & Rodney A. Stewart & Annick Anctil & Jiquan Chen & Ilke Celik, 2023. "Photovoltaic Systems through the Lens of Material-Energy-Water Nexus," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-12, March.
    4. Ding, Tao & Liang, Liang & Zhou, Kaile & Yang, Min & Wei, Yuqi, 2020. "Water-energy nexus: The origin, development and prospect," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 419(C).
    5. Dominika Kaczorowska & Jacek Rezmer & Michal Jasinski & Tomasz Sikorski & Vishnu Suresh & Zbigniew Leonowicz & Pawel Kostyla & Jaroslaw Szymanda & Przemyslaw Janik, 2020. "A Case Study on Battery Energy Storage System in a Virtual Power Plant: Defining Charging and Discharging Characteristics," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-22, December.
    6. Gao, Xuerui & Zhao, Yong & Lu, Shibao & Chen, Qianyun & An, Tingli & Han, Xinxueqi & Zhuo, La, 2019. "Impact of coal power production on sustainable water resources management in the coal-fired power energy bases of Northern China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 821-833.
    7. Zhou, Wei & Chen, Yan & Chen, Jin, 2022. "Risk spread in multiple energy markets: Extreme volatility spillover network analysis before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    8. Wang, Qingyuan & Zhang, Guomin & Wu, Qihong & Li, Wenyuan & Shi, Long, 2022. "A combined wall and roof solar chimney in one building," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    9. Zhang, Fan & Cui, Ningbo & Guo, Shanshan & Yue, Qiong & Jiang, Shouzheng & Zhu, Bin & Yu, Xiuyun, 2023. "Irrigation strategy optimization in irrigation districts with seasonal agricultural drought in southwest China: A copula-based stochastic multiobjective approach," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    10. Grafton, Rupert Quentin, 2019. "Policy review of water reform in the Murray– Darling Basin, Australia: the “do’s” and “do’nots”," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 63(1), January.
    11. Zhang, Tianyuan & Tan, Qian & Wang, Shuping & Zhang, Tong & Hu, Kejia & Zhang, Shan, 2022. "Assessment and management of composite risk in irrigated agriculture under water-food-energy nexus and uncertainty," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    12. Cheng, Xudong & Shi, Zhicheng & Nguyen, Kate & Zhang, Lihai & Zhou, Yong & Zhang, Guomin & Wang, Jinhui & Shi, Long, 2020. "Solar chimney in tunnel considering energy-saving and fire safety," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    13. Yachen Xie & Jiaguo Qi & Rui Zhang & Xiaomiao Jiao & Gabriela Shirkey & Shihua Ren, 2022. "Toward a Carbon-Neutral State: A Carbon–Energy–Water Nexus Perspective of China’s Coal Power Industry," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-24, June.
    14. Zhenyu Zhang & Jinliang Huang & Min Zhou & Yaling Huang & Yimin Lu, 2019. "A Coupled Modeling Approach for Water Management in a River–Reservoir System," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-14, August.
    15. Yuri Ermoliev & Anatolij G. Zagorodny & Vjacheslav L. Bogdanov & Tatiana Ermolieva & Petr Havlik & Elena Rovenskaya & Nadejda Komendantova & Michael Obersteiner, 2022. "Linking Distributed Optimization Models for Food, Water, and Energy Security Nexus Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-14, January.
    16. Maryam Piran & Alireza Sharifi & Mohammad Mahdi Safari, 2023. "Exploring the Roles of Education, Renewable Energy, and Global Warming on Health Expenditures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-11, September.
    17. Naval, Natalia & Yusta, Jose M., 2021. "Virtual power plant models and electricity markets - A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    18. Cheng, Yang & Jin, Lei & Fu, Haiyan & Fan, Yurui & Bai, Ruolin & Wei, Yi, 2024. "Investigating the impact of climate change and policy orientation on energy–carbon–water nexus under multi-criteria analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 189(PB).
    19. Yue, Wencong & Su, Meirong & Cai, Yanpeng & Rong, Qiangqiang & Tan, Zhenkun, 2021. "Reactive nitrogen loss from livestock-based food and biofuel production systems considering climate change and dietary transition," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    20. Miao, Rui & Guo, Peng & Huang, Wenjie & Li, Qi & Zhang, Bo, 2022. "Profit model for electric vehicle rental service: Sensitive analysis and differential pricing strategy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:18:p:5854-:d:636558. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.