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Analysis of Spatial Heterogeneity and the Scale of the Impact of Changes in PM 2.5 Concentrations in Major Chinese Cities between 2005 and 2015

Author

Listed:
  • Feili Wei

    (Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China)

  • Shuang Li

    (Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China)

  • Ze Liang

    (Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China)

  • Aiqiong Huang

    (Foreign Language School, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, China)

  • Zheng Wang

    (Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China)

  • Jiashu Shen

    (Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China)

  • Fuyue Sun

    (Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China)

  • Yueyao Wang

    (Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China)

  • Huan Wang

    (Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China)

  • Shuangcheng Li

    (Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes of the Ministry of Education, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China)

Abstract

Deteriorating air quality is one of the most important environmental factors posing significant health risks to urban dwellers. Therefore, an exploration of the factors influencing air pollution and the formulation of targeted policies to address this issue are critically needed. Although many studies have used semi-parametric geographically weighted regression and geographically weighted regression to study the spatial heterogeneity characteristics of influencing factors of PM 2.5 concentration change, due to the fixed bandwidth of these methods and other reasons, those studies still lack the ability to describe and explain cross-scale dynamics. The multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) method allows different variables to have different bandwidths, which can produce more realistic and useful spatial process models. By applying the MGWR method, this study investigated the spatial heterogeneity and spatial scales of impact of factors influencing PM 2.5 concentrations in major Chinese cities during the period 2005–2015. This study showed the following: (1) Factors influencing changes in PM 2.5 concentrations, such as technology, foreign investment levels, wind speed, precipitation, and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), evidenced significant spatial heterogeneity. Of these factors, precipitation, NDVI, and wind speed had small-scale regional effects, whose bandwidth ratios are all less than 20%, while foreign investment levels and technologies had medium-scale regional effects, whose bandwidth levels are 23% and 32%, respectively. Population, urbanization rates, and industrial structure demonstrated weak spatial heterogeneity, and the scale of their influence was predominantly global. (2) Overall, the change of NDVI was the most influential factor, which can explain 15.3% of the PM 2.5 concentration change. Therefore, an enhanced protection of urban surface vegetation would be of universal significance. In some typical areas, dominant factors influencing pollution were evidently heterogeneous. Change in wind speed is a major factor that can explain 51.6% of the change in PM 2.5 concentration in cities in the Central Plains, and change in foreign investment levels is the dominant influencing factor in cities in the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau and the Sichuan Basin, explaining 30.6% and 44.2% of the PM 2.5 concentration change, respectively. In cities located within the lower reaches of the Yangtze River, NDVI is a key factor, reducing PM 2.5 concentrations by 9.7%. Those results can facilitate the development of region-specific measures and tailored urban policies to reduce PM 2.5 pollution levels in different regions such as Northeast China and the Sichuan Basin.

Suggested Citation

  • Feili Wei & Shuang Li & Ze Liang & Aiqiong Huang & Zheng Wang & Jiashu Shen & Fuyue Sun & Yueyao Wang & Huan Wang & Shuangcheng Li, 2021. "Analysis of Spatial Heterogeneity and the Scale of the Impact of Changes in PM 2.5 Concentrations in Major Chinese Cities between 2005 and 2015," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-20, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:11:p:3232-:d:566842
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yuhao Jin & Han Zhang & Yuchao Yan & Peitong Cong, 2020. "A Semi-Parametric Geographically Weighted Regression Approach to Exploring Driving Factors of Fractional Vegetation Cover: A Case Study of Guangdong," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-19, September.
    2. Ziqi Li & A. Stewart Fotheringham & Taylor M. Oshan & Levi John Wolf, 2020. "Measuring Bandwidth Uncertainty in Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression Using Akaike Weights," Annals of the American Association of Geographers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 110(5), pages 1500-1520, September.
    3. Xiaopeng Guo & Xiaodan Guo, 2016. "A Panel Data Analysis of the Relationship Between Air Pollutant Emissions, Economics, and Industrial Structure of China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(6), pages 1315-1324, June.
    4. A. Stewart Fotheringham & Wenbai Yang & Wei Kang, 2017. "Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR)," Annals of the American Association of Geographers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(6), pages 1247-1265, November.
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    3. Chan Lu & Lei Shi & Lihua Fu & Simian Liu & Jianqiao Li & Zhenchun Mo, 2023. "Urban Ecological Environment Quality Evaluation and Territorial Spatial Planning Response: Application to Changsha, Central China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(4), pages 1-20, February.

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