IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v13y2020i24p6712-d465067.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Genetic Algorithm Approach as a Self-Learning and Optimization Tool for PV Power Simulation and Digital Twinning

Author

Listed:
  • Dorian Esteban Guzman Razo

    (Fraunhofer ISE, Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems, Heidenhofstrasse 2, 79110 Freiburg, Germany)

  • Björn Müller

    (Fraunhofer ISE, Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems, Heidenhofstrasse 2, 79110 Freiburg, Germany)

  • Henrik Madsen

    (Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science (DTU Compute), Technical University of Denmark, DK-2800 Lyngby, Denmark)

  • Christof Wittwer

    (Fraunhofer ISE, Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems, Heidenhofstrasse 2, 79110 Freiburg, Germany)

Abstract

A key aspect for achieving a high-accuracy Photovoltaic (PV) power simulation, and reliable digital twins, is a detailed description of the PV system itself. However, such information is not always accurate, complete, or even available. This work presents a novel approach to learn features of unknown PV systems or subsystems using genetic algorithm optimization. Based on measured PV power, this approach learns and optimizes seven PV system parameters: nominal power, tilt and azimuth angles, albedo, irradiance and temperature dependency, and the ratio of nominal module to nominal inverter power (DC/AC ratio). By optimizing these parameters, we create a digital twin that accurately reflects the actual properties and behaviors of the unknown PV systems or subsystems. To develop this approach, on-site measured power, ambient temperature, and satellite-derived irradiance of a PV system located in south-west Germany are used. The approach proposed here achieves a mean bias error of about 10% for nominal power, 3° for azimuth and tilt angles, between 0.01%/C and 0.09%/C for temperature coefficient, and now-casts with an accuracy of around 6%. In summary, we present a new solution to parametrize and simulate PV systems accurately with limited or no previous knowledge of their properties and features.

Suggested Citation

  • Dorian Esteban Guzman Razo & Björn Müller & Henrik Madsen & Christof Wittwer, 2020. "A Genetic Algorithm Approach as a Self-Learning and Optimization Tool for PV Power Simulation and Digital Twinning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-20, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:24:p:6712-:d:465067
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/24/6712/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/24/6712/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bastidas-Rodriguez, J.D. & Petrone, G. & Ramos-Paja, C.A. & Spagnuolo, G., 2017. "A genetic algorithm for identifying the single diode model parameters of a photovoltaic panel," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 38-54.
    2. Kichou, Sofiane & Silvestre, Santiago & Guglielminotti, Letizia & Mora-López, Llanos & Muñoz-Cerón, Emilio, 2016. "Comparison of two PV array models for the simulation of PV systems using five different algorithms for the parameters identification," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 270-279.
    3. Reno, Matthew J. & Hansen, Clifford W., 2016. "Identification of periods of clear sky irradiance in time series of GHI measurements," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 520-531.
    4. Muhsen, Dhiaa Halboot & Ghazali, Abu Bakar & Khatib, Tamer & Abed, Issa Ahmed, 2016. "A comparative study of evolutionary algorithms and adapting control parameters for estimating the parameters of a single-diode photovoltaic module's model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA), pages 377-389.
    5. Alberto Dolara & Francesco Grimaccia & Sonia Leva & Marco Mussetta & Emanuele Ogliari, 2015. "A Physical Hybrid Artificial Neural Network for Short Term Forecasting of PV Plant Power Output," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-16, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Grzegorz Ostasz & Dominika Siwiec & Andrzej Pacana, 2022. "Universal Model to Predict Expected Direction of Products Quality Improvement," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-18, February.
    2. Jesús Polo & Nuria Martín-Chivelet & Carlos Sanz-Saiz, 2022. "BIPV Modeling with Artificial Neural Networks: Towards a BIPV Digital Twin," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-11, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Khan, Firoz & Al-Ahmed, Amir & Al-Sulaiman, Fahad A., 2021. "Critical analysis of the limitations and validity of the assumptions with the analytical methods commonly used to determine the photovoltaic cell parameters," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    2. Peñaranda Chenche, Luz Elena & Hernandez Mendoza, Oscar Saul & Bandarra Filho, Enio Pedone, 2018. "Comparison of four methods for parameter estimation of mono- and multi-junction photovoltaic devices using experimental data," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P2), pages 2823-2838.
    3. Abbassi, Rabeh & Abbassi, Abdelkader & Jemli, Mohamed & Chebbi, Souad, 2018. "Identification of unknown parameters of solar cell models: A comprehensive overview of available approaches," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 453-474.
    4. Kichou, Sofiane & Silvestre, Santiago & Guglielminotti, Letizia & Mora-López, Llanos & Muñoz-Cerón, Emilio, 2016. "Comparison of two PV array models for the simulation of PV systems using five different algorithms for the parameters identification," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 270-279.
    5. Vincenzo Stornelli & Mirco Muttillo & Tullio de Rubeis & Iole Nardi, 2019. "A New Simplified Five-Parameter Estimation Method for Single-Diode Model of Photovoltaic Panels," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-20, November.
    6. Shen-Tsu Wang, 2016. "Integrating grey sequencing with the genetic algorithm--immune algorithm to optimise touch panel cover glass polishing process parameter design," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(16), pages 4882-4893, August.
    7. Trigo-González, Mauricio & Batlles, F.J. & Alonso-Montesinos, Joaquín & Ferrada, Pablo & del Sagrado, J. & Martínez-Durbán, M. & Cortés, Marcelo & Portillo, Carlos & Marzo, Aitor, 2019. "Hourly PV production estimation by means of an exportable multiple linear regression model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 303-312.
    8. Federica Cucchiella & Idiano D’Adamo & Paolo Rosa, 2015. "Industrial Photovoltaic Systems: An Economic Analysis in Non-Subsidized Electricity Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-16, November.
    9. Gueymard, Christian A. & Bright, Jamie M. & Lingfors, David & Habte, Aron & Sengupta, Manajit, 2019. "A posteriori clear-sky identification methods in solar irradiance time series: Review and preliminary validation using sky imagers," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 412-427.
    10. Agga, Ali & Abbou, Ahmed & Labbadi, Moussa & El Houm, Yassine, 2021. "Short-term self consumption PV plant power production forecasts based on hybrid CNN-LSTM, ConvLSTM models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 101-112.
    11. Mohamed Massaoudi & Ines Chihi & Lilia Sidhom & Mohamed Trabelsi & Shady S. Refaat & Fakhreddine S. Oueslati, 2021. "Enhanced Random Forest Model for Robust Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Using Weather Measurements," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-20, July.
    12. Muhsen, Dhiaa Halboot & Khatib, Tamer & Nagi, Farrukh, 2017. "A review of photovoltaic water pumping system designing methods, control strategies and field performance," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 68(P1), pages 70-86.
    13. Alessandro Niccolai & Alberto Dolara & Emanuele Ogliari, 2021. "Hybrid PV Power Forecasting Methods: A Comparison of Different Approaches," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-18, January.
    14. Bright, Jamie M. & Sun, Xixi & Gueymard, Christian A. & Acord, Brendan & Wang, Peng & Engerer, Nicholas A., 2020. "Bright-Sun: A globally applicable 1-min irradiance clear-sky detection model," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    15. Seyed Mahdi Miraftabzadeh & Cristian Giovanni Colombo & Michela Longo & Federica Foiadelli, 2023. "A Day-Ahead Photovoltaic Power Prediction via Transfer Learning and Deep Neural Networks," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-16, February.
    16. Tamer Khatib & Dhiaa Halboot Muhsen, 2020. "Optimal Sizing of Standalone Photovoltaic System Using Improved Performance Model and Optimization Algorithm," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-18, March.
    17. Jadoon, Ihtesham & Raja, Muhammad Asif Zahoor & Junaid, Muhammad & Ahmed, Ashfaq & Rehman, Ata ur & Shoaib, Muhammad, 2021. "Design of evolutionary optimized finite difference based numerical computing for dust density model of nonlinear Van-der Pol Mathieu’s oscillatory systems," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 444-470.
    18. Stavros-Andreas Logothetis & Vasileios Salamalikis & Bijan Nouri & Jan Remund & Luis F. Zarzalejo & Yu Xie & Stefan Wilbert & Evangelos Ntavelis & Julien Nou & Niels Hendrikx & Lennard Visser & Manaji, 2022. "Solar Irradiance Ramp Forecasting Based on All-Sky Imagers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-17, August.
    19. Le Cam, M. & Daoud, A. & Zmeureanu, R., 2016. "Forecasting electric demand of supply fan using data mining techniques," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 541-557.
    20. Honglu Zhu & Weiwei Lian & Lingxing Lu & Songyuan Dai & Yang Hu, 2017. "An Improved Forecasting Method for Photovoltaic Power Based on Adaptive BP Neural Network with a Scrolling Time Window," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-18, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:24:p:6712-:d:465067. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.