IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jagris/v15y2024i1p43-d1554897.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Maintenance System and Profitability of Pig Production in Poland Under Conditions of ASF Occurrence

Author

Listed:
  • Krzysztof Piotr Pawłowski

    (Department of Economics and Economic Policy in Agribusiness, Faculty of Economics, Poznan University of Life Sciences, Wojska Polskiego 28, 60-637 Poznan, Poland)

  • Paulina Karolina Firlej

    (Department of Economics and Economic Policy in Agribusiness, Faculty of Economics, Poznan University of Life Sciences, Wojska Polskiego 28, 60-637 Poznan, Poland)

  • Kamila Pietrzak

    (Department of Economics and Economic Policy in Agribusiness, Faculty of Economics, Poznan University of Life Sciences, Wojska Polskiego 28, 60-637 Poznan, Poland)

  • Zofia Bartkowiak

    (Department of Economics and Economic Policy in Agribusiness, Faculty of Economics, Poznan University of Life Sciences, Wojska Polskiego 28, 60-637 Poznan, Poland)

  • Gabriela Sołtysiak

    (Department of Economics and Economic Policy in Agribusiness, Faculty of Economics, Poznan University of Life Sciences, Wojska Polskiego 28, 60-637 Poznan, Poland)

Abstract

In the last two decades, the pig market in Poland has been influenced by two key events: accession to the European Union and the spread of African swine fever (ASF). During this time, the pig population in Poland has almost doubled, and the number of farms keeping pigs has fallen almost tenfold. On the other hand, the import of piglets intended for further rearing has increased significantly, which reduces the value added to production retained in the country. The changes taking place in the pig market in Poland in the conditions of ASF have, therefore, prompted the question of which pig-keeping systems are more profitable for pig producers, and identifying this relationship was the main objective of the analysis in this study. This research was conducted using source data from the databases of the Central Statistical Office, the FADN, and the Integrated Agricultural Market Information System of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development. Factors influencing the value of pig production were identified using panel regression, and profitability analysis was performed based on changes in the levels of and relationship between feed costs and live pig prices. Feed consumption was determined based on feed rations for individual utility groups in both products. As the analysis has shown, a closed cycle of pig farming is characterized by better stability and resistance to market shocks compared to an open cycle (over the entire period under review, only the closed system ensured a positive surplus of production value over feed costs), which significantly increases the possibility of obtaining a positive surplus of production value over the value of the main cost, which is the feed cost. However, with the occurrence of extraordinary situations, such as an ASF outbreak in the herd, rebuilding production in a closed cycle may be much more difficult and expensive than production in an open cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Krzysztof Piotr Pawłowski & Paulina Karolina Firlej & Kamila Pietrzak & Zofia Bartkowiak & Gabriela Sołtysiak, 2024. "The Maintenance System and Profitability of Pig Production in Poland Under Conditions of ASF Occurrence," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-30, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jagris:v:15:y:2024:i:1:p:43-:d:1554897
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/15/1/43/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/15/1/43/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hausman, Jerry, 2015. "Specification tests in econometrics," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 38(2), pages 112-134.
    2. Vito Biondi & Salvatore Monti & Alessandra Landi & Michela Pugliese & Elena Zema & Annamaria Passantino, 2022. "Has the Spread of African Swine Fever in the European Union Been Impacted by COVID-19 Pandemic?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(9), pages 1-7, April.
    3. Bocian, Monika & Ziętara, Wojciech, 2023. "Efficiency of Live Pig Production Depending on the Type of Rearing," International Journal of Agricultural Sciences and Technology (IJAGST), SvedbergOpen, vol. 377(4), December.
    4. Shiyong Piao & Xijie Jin & Shuangyu Hu & Ji-Yong Lee, 2024. "The Impact of African Swine Fever on the Efficiency of China’s Pig Farming Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-18, September.
    5. Georgios I. Papakonstantinou & Nikolaos Voulgarakis & Georgia Terzidou & Lampros Fotos & Elisavet Giamouri & Vasileios G. Papatsiros, 2024. "Precision Livestock Farming Technology: Applications and Challenges of Animal Welfare and Climate Change," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-17, April.
    6. Sara Rodríguez & Lluis Plà & Javier Faulin, 2014. "New opportunities in operations research to improve pork supply chain efficiency," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 219(1), pages 5-23, August.
    7. Arellano, Manuel, 2003. "Panel Data Econometrics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199245291.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Geweke, J. & Joel Horowitz & Pesaran, M.H., 2006. "Econometrics: A Bird’s Eye View," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0655, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    2. Amiri, Hossein & Samadian, Farzaneh & Yahoo, Masoud & Jamali, Seyed Jafar, 2019. "Natural resource abundance, institutional quality and manufacturing development: Evidence from resource-rich countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 550-560.
    3. Krzysztof Piotr Pawłowski & Gabriela Sołtysiak, 2024. "The Potential Impact of the European Green Deal on Farm Production in Poland," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-23, December.
    4. Ana Angulo & Jesús Mur & Javier Trivez, 2014. "Measure of the resilience to Spanish economic crisis: the role of specialization," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 263-275.
    5. Cheng Hsiao, 2007. "Panel data analysis—advantages and challenges," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 16(1), pages 1-22, May.
    6. María Angeles García Valiñas, 2005. "Promotion and remuneration of university professors: from the LRU to the COU," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 172(1), pages 119-143, June.
    7. Berit Gerritzen, 2016. "Women's Empowerment and HIV Prevention in Rural Malawi," Feminist Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(3), pages 1-25, July.
    8. Alexandre Momparler & Francisco Climent & Jose Ballester, 2012. "The impact of scale effects on the prevailing internet-based banking model in the US," Service Business, Springer;Pan-Pacific Business Association, vol. 6(2), pages 177-195, June.
    9. Mayer, Alexander, 2022. "On the local power of some tests of strict exogeneity in linear fixed effects models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 49-74.
    10. Badi H. Baltagi, 2021. "Dynamic Panel Data Models," Springer Texts in Business and Economics, in: Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, edition 6, chapter 0, pages 187-228, Springer.
    11. Bernardo Bortolotti & Carlo Cambini & Laura Rondi & Yossi Spiegel, 2011. "Capital Structure and Regulation: Do Ownership and Regulatory Independence Matter?," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(2), pages 517-564, June.
    12. Pillai N., Vijayamohanan, 2016. "Panel Data Analysis with Stata Part 1 Fixed Effects and Random Effects Models," MPRA Paper 76869, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Carlo Cambini & Elena Fumagalli & Laura Rondi, 2016. "Incentives to quality and investment: evidence from electricity distribution in Italy," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 1-32, February.
    14. Drakos, A.A. & Bekiris, F.V., 2010. "Corporate performance, managerial ownership and endogeneity: A simultaneous equations analysis for the Athens stock exchange," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 24-38, January.
    15. Xiaohong Chen & Andres Santos, 2018. "Overidentification in Regular Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(5), pages 1771-1817, September.
    16. Seemab Ahmad & Dilawar Khan & Róbert Magda, 2022. "Assessing the Influence of Financial Inclusion on Environmental Degradation in the ASEAN Region through the Panel PMG-ARDL Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-17, June.
    17. Donata Bessey, 2012. "International student migration to Germany," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 345-361, February.
    18. Tudorel Andrei & Andreea Iluzia Iacob & Claudiu Herţeliu, 2011. "The Identification Of Economic Phenomena Trends At Regional Level," Analele Stiintifice ale Universitatii "Alexandru Ioan Cuza" din Iasi - Stiinte Economice (1954-2015), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 2011, pages 209-214, july.
    19. Helder Mendonça & Renato Villela Loures, 2009. "Market discipline in the Brazilian banking industry: an analysis for the subordinated debt holders," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 286-307, December.
    20. Bande, Roberto & Fernández, Melchor & Montuenga, Víctor, 2008. "Regional unemployment in Spain: Disparities, business cycle and wage setting," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(5), pages 885-914, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jagris:v:15:y:2024:i:1:p:43-:d:1554897. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.