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Evolution, impact, and limitations of unusual central bank policy activism

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  • Mohamed A. El-Erian

Abstract

In the United States and Europe, central banks have essentially been the only policymaking entities consistently willing and able to take bold measures to deal with an unusually complex set of national, regional, and global economic and financial challenges since the onset of the Great Recession and financial crisis. The author advocates for other agencies, in both the public and private sectors, to urgently work in conjunction with central bank policies. He states that it is critical that policymakers, business leaders, investors, and researchers alike understand better why so many unthinkable events have become facts, why the outlook remains ?unusually uncertain,? and what changes are needed to limit the risks of further disruptions and bad surprises down the road. Central banks may find themselves facing one of two extremes: complementing policies by other agencies that put the global economy back on the path of high sustained growth and ample job creation or cleaning up in the midst of a global recession, forced deleveraging, and disorderly debt deflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohamed A. El-Erian, 2012. "Evolution, impact, and limitations of unusual central bank policy activism," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 94(July), pages 243-264.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlrv:y:2012:i:july:p:243-264:n:v.94no.4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2014. "This Time is Different: A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 15(2), pages 215-268, November.
    2. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "Varieties of Crises and Their Dates," Introductory Chapters, in: This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, Princeton University Press.
    3. Ben S. Bernanke, 2012. "Recent Developments in the Labor Market : a speech at the National Association for Business Economics Annual Conference, Arlington, Virginia, March 26, 2012," Speech 636, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Charles I. Plosser, 2012. "Restoring central banks after the crisis: Re-examining central bank orthodoxy for unorthodox times: Inaugural meeting of the Global Society of Fellows of the Global Interdependence Center, Banque de F," Speech 65, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    5. repec:fip:fedpsp:y:2012:i:mar26 is not listed on IDEAS
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    1. Jagjit S. Chadha & Philip Turner & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2013. "The ties that bind: monetary policy and government debt management," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 29(3), pages 548-581, AUTUMN.
    2. Rosa, Carlo, 2014. "The high-frequency response of energy prices to U.S. monetary policy: Understanding the empirical evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 295-303.
    3. Philip Turner, 2013. "Benign neglect of the long-term interest rate," BIS Working Papers 403, Bank for International Settlements.
    4. Aslam, Faheem & Hunjra, Ahmed Imran & Memon, Bilal Ahmed & Zhang, Mingda, 2024. "Interplay of multifractal dynamics between shadow policy rates and energy markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    5. Semeyutin, Artur & Downing, Gareth, 2022. "Co-jumps in the U.S. interest rates and precious metals markets and their implications for investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    6. Frederik Kunze & Mario Gruppe, 2014. "Performance of Survey Forecasts by Professional Analysts: Did the European Debt Crisis Make it Harder or Perhaps Even Easier?," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-12, February.

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