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Federal deficits and the stock market

Author

Listed:
  • V. Vance Roley
  • Lawrence D. Schall

Abstract

Empirical evidence shows that federal budget deficits have historically tended to increase stock market prices. Because deficits rose to unprecedented levels in the 1980s, however, increasing concern about their impact on interest rates and inflation may have contributed to the October 1987 decline in stock prices.

Suggested Citation

  • V. Vance Roley & Lawrence D. Schall, 1988. "Federal deficits and the stock market," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 73(Apr), pages 17-27.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedker:y:1988:i:apr:p:17-27:n:v.73no.4
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    File URL: https://www.kansascityfed.org/documents/1239/1988-Federal%20Deficits%20and%20the%20Stock%20Market.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Igbinedion Sunday Osahon & Oriakhi Dickson, 2013. "Fiscal Deficits And Stock Prices In Nigeria: An Empirical Evidence," Economic Thought and Practice, Department of Economics and Business, University of Dubrovnik, vol. 22(1), pages 259-274, june.
    2. Insukindro INSUKINDRO & Arti ADJI & Aryo ALIYUDANTO, 2016. "Analysis of the Unanticipated Factors in Portfolio Inflows to Indonesia: A SVAR Approach: 2001-2012," Journal of Economics Library, KSP Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 327-341, June.
    3. Mr Insukindro & Arti Adji & Aryo Aliyudanto, 2014. "Analysis of the Unanticipated Factors in Portfolio Inflows to Indonesia: A SCVAR Approach, 2000: Q1 - 2012: Q4," EcoMod2014 7019, EcoMod.
    4. Pooja Joshi & Arun Kumar Giri, 2015. "Fiscal Deficits and Stock Prices in India: Empirical Evidence," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-18, August.
    5. Mercan Hatipoglu, 2023. "What Determined Stock Returns in Turkey from 1990 to 2022: Evidence from Structural Break Regression," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 73(73-1), pages 185-202, June.
    6. Luqman SAFDAR, 2014. "The relationship between twin deficit and stock market: An ARDL approach from Pakistan," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 1(33), pages 109-121, May.

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