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The Macroeconomic Effects of the 2018 Bipartisan Budget Act

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The 2018 Bipartisan Budget Act raised government spending caps by $300 billion for fiscal years 2018 and 2019. While spending does not increase immediately, private sector investment and consumption may respond ahead of an anticipated fiscal stimulus. This Economic Perspectives article assesses the strength of this mechanism based on the private sector?s expectations.

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  • Jeffrey R. Campbell & Filippo Ferroni & Jonas D. M. Fisher & Leonardo Melosi, 2019. "The Macroeconomic Effects of the 2018 Bipartisan Budget Act," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue 2, pages 2-12.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhep:00035
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    1. Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2015. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(2), pages 436-451, May.
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    Keywords

    Budget; Vector autoregression;

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