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Anatomy of the Post-Pandemic Monetary Tightening Cycle

Author

Listed:
  • Andrew Foerster
  • Zinnia Martinez

Abstract

The Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy rapidly between 2021 and 2023. In addition, a weekly proxy federal funds rate shows that markets perceived the policy stance as tightening significantly even in weeks without explicit policy changes. The proxy rate uses financial market data to infer the broad stance of monetary policy as determined by funds rate changes, forward guidance about projected future rates, and balance sheet changes. Results show that the weekly proxy rate can capture changes that reflect both policy tools and market reactions to changing economic news.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew Foerster & Zinnia Martinez, 2024. "Anatomy of the Post-Pandemic Monetary Tightening Cycle," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2024(16), pages 1-5, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:98466
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jason Choi & Taeyoung Doh, 2016. "Measuring the Stance of Monetary Policy on and off the Zero Lower Bound," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q III, pages 5-24.
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