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Brexit: Whither the Pound?

Author

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  • Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
  • Galina Hale

Abstract

People of the United Kingdom voted to exit the European Union last June, a process dubbed ?Brexit.? The persistent depreciation of the British pound since the vote suggests that U.K. economic conditions will be weakened over the long run following the separation from the EU. This projection of a persistent economic loss is based on the expected reversal of earlier gains from trade with other EU members and reduced cross-border labor flows.

Suggested Citation

  • Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Galina Hale, 2017. "Brexit: Whither the Pound?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:00126
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kristin Forbes & Ida Hjortsoe & Tsvetelina Nenova, 2017. "Current Account Deficits During Heightened Risk: Menacing or Mitigating?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 0(601), pages 571-623, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Arthur Korus & Kaan Celebi, 2019. "The impact of Brexit news on British pound exchange rates," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 161-192, March.
    2. Swati Dhingra & Thomas Sampson, 2022. "Expecting Brexit," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 14(1), pages 495-519, August.
    3. Fernandes, Ana P. & Winters, L. Alan, 2021. "Exporters and shocks: The impact of the Brexit vote shock on bilateral exports to the UK," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).

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