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Fed tapering news and emerging markets

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  • Fernanda Nechio

Abstract

In 2013, the Federal Reserve publicly described conditions for scaling back and ultimately ending its highly accommodative monetary policy. Some emerging market countries subsequently experienced sharp reversals of capital inflows, resulting in sizable currency depreciation. But others did not. Variations in financial market reactions from one country to another appear to have been related to differences in economic conditions, which partly reflected a country?s policies before the Fed?s tapering comments.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernanda Nechio, 2014. "Fed tapering news and emerging markets," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:00007
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Edwards, Sebastian, 2007. "Capital controls, capital flow contractions, and macroeconomic vulnerability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 814-840, September.
    2. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2013. "Expectations for monetary policy liftoff," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov18.
    3. Forbes, Kristin J. & Warnock, Francis E., 2012. "Capital flow waves: Surges, stops, flight, and retrenchment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 235-251.
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    Cited by:

    1. Eduardo Olaberría, 2015. "US Long-Term Interest Rates and Capital Flows to Emerging Economies," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(02), pages 1-32.
    2. Gamboa-Estrada, Fredy, 2019. "The effectiveness of foreign exchange intervention in Latin America: A nonlinear approach to the coordination channel," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 13-27.
    3. Yoshito Funashima, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and unconventional monetary policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(3), pages 278-292, June.
    4. Shehadeh, Ali A. & Li, Youwei & Vigne, Samuel A. & Almaharmeh, Mohammad I. & Wang, Yizhi, 2021. "The existence and severity of the forward premium puzzle during tranquil and turbulent periods: Developed versus developing country currencies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    5. Goyal, Ashima & Verma, Akhilesh K, 2023. "Cross border flows, financial intermediation and interactions of policy rules in a small open economy," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 369-393.
    6. Joshua Aizenman & Mahir Binici & Michael M. Hutchison, 2016. "The Transmission of Federal Reserve Tapering News to Emerging Financial Markets," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 12(2), pages 317-356, June.
    7. Avdjiev, Stefan & Hale, Galina, 2019. "U.S. monetary policy and fluctuations of international bank lending," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 251-268.
    8. Annette Meinusch & Peter Tillmann, 2017. "Quantitative Easing and Tapering Uncertainty: Evidence from Twitter," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(4), pages 227-258, December.
    9. Mehmet ORHAN & Halil İbrahim ÇELİKEL, 2014. "The Spillover Effects of Fed’s Policies with Emphasis to the Fragile Five," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 6(12), pages 1011-1020.
    10. CĂLIN, Adrian Cantemir, 2015. "The Effects Of The Federal Reserve’S Tapering Announcements On The Us Real Estate Market," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 19(3), pages 79-90.
    11. Park, Hyuna, 2015. "Emerging market hedge funds in the United States," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 25-42.
    12. Hanno Lustig & Robert J. Richmond, 2017. "Gravity in FX R-Squared: Understanding the Factor Structure in Exchange Rates," NBER Working Papers 23773, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Dahlhaus, Tatjana & Vasishtha, Garima, 2020. "Monetary policy news in the US: Effects on emerging market capital flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    14. Szabó, Zsolt, 2014. "A Fed szigorodó monetáris politikájának hatása az eszközárakra a feltörekvő piacokon [The effect of incipient tapering on asset prices in emerging markets]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 693-718.
    15. Dahlhaus, Tatjana & Vasishtha, Garima, 2021. "Reprint: Monetary policy news in the US: Effects on emerging market capital flows," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    16. Shakill Hassan & Merrisa Paul & Siobhan Redford, 2015. "Vulnerability to Normalization of Global Financing Conditions An Operational Approach," Working Papers 6941, South African Reserve Bank.

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