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Comparing Two House-Price Booms

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Abstract

In this Economic Commentary, we compare characteristics of the 2000–2006 house-price boom that preceded the Great Recession to the house-price boom that began in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. These two episodes of high house-price growth have important differences, including the behavior of rental rates, the dynamics of housing supply and demand, and the state of the mortgage market. The absence of changes in fundamentals during the 2000s is consistent with the literature emphasizing house-price beliefs during this prior episode. In contrast to during the 2000s boom, changes in fundamentals (including rent and demand growth) played a more dominant role in the 2020s house-price boom.

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  • Lara Loewenstein & Jason Meyer, 2024. "Comparing Two House-Price Booms," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2024(04), pages 1-9, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedcec:97872
    DOI: 10.26509/frbc-ec-202404
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christopher L Foote & Lara Loewenstein & Paul S Willen, 2021. "Cross-Sectional Patterns of Mortgage Debt during the Housing Boom: Evidence and Implications," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 88(1), pages 229-259.
    2. Christopher L. Foote & Kristopher Gerardi & Paul S. Willen, 2012. "Why did so many people make so many ex post bad decisions? the causes of the foreclosure crisis," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2012-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    3. Andreas Fuster & Paul S. Willen, 2017. "Payment Size, Negative Equity, and Mortgage Default," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 9(4), pages 167-191, November.
    4. Lara Loewenstein, 2020. "Subprime May Not Have Caused the 2000s Housing Crisis: Evidence from Cleveland, Ohio," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2020(25), pages 1-8, October.
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