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The Survey of Firms’ Inflation Expectations

Author

Listed:
  • Christian Garciga
  • Edward S. Knotek
  • Mathieu Pedemonte
  • Taylor Shiroff

Abstract

The inflation expectations of individuals who lead firms can influence the prices that their firms charge customers and hence can influence overall inflation. This Economic Commentary summarizes results from the Survey of Firms’ Inflation Expectations (SoFIE), which asks top business executives for their inflation expectations once per quarter alongside a second question from a rotating set. We document that this group’s inflation expectations increased with the run-up in inflation over 2021 and 2022 but then began to decline in early 2023. The Cleveland Fed will post estimates from the Survey of Firms’ Inflation Expectations each quarter, available via clefed.org/SoFIE

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Garciga & Edward S. Knotek & Mathieu Pedemonte & Taylor Shiroff, 2023. "The Survey of Firms’ Inflation Expectations," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2023(10), pages 1-7, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedcec:96187
    DOI: 10.26509/frbc-ec-202310
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Candia, Bernardo & Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, 2024. "The inflation expectations of U.S. firms: Evidence from a new survey," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
    2. Coibion, Olivier & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Kumar, Saten & Pedemonte, Mathieu, 2020. "Inflation expectations as a policy tool?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Keywords

    Inflation; SoFIE;

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